L’École des cotesFrançais
Nautico PE v Ponte Preta
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Nautico PE (Local)
Prévision 54.43%1.84cote équitable
EV -5.28%
Avantage -3.04%
Kelly -7.14%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.74
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.63%54.57%54.38%55.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.621.691.701.7461.73%59.11%58.82%57.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Ponte Preta (Visiteur)
Prévision 17.79%5.62cote équitable
EV +4.95%
Avantage +0.840%
Kelly +1.01%
Croissance +0.050%
avec la cote maximale 5.90
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.82%17.61%17.95%18.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.175.105.9022.22%19.35%19.61%16.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 27.78%3.60cote équitable
EV -4.17%
Avantage -1.21%
Kelly -1.70%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.45
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.93%27.82%27.67%28.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.343.353.4533.33%29.96%29.85%28.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.89%EV -9.09%E -5.45%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.82%EV +4.95%E +0.840%K +1.01%G +0.050% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| Pinnacle | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.18%EV -5.28%E -3.04%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.85I 17.09%NM 16.41%EV +4.07%E +0.695%K +0.838%G +0.034% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.41%EV -6.11%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 20:49 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.85%EV -6.92%E -4.05%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.47%EV +3.18%E +0.548%K +0.662%G +0.021% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.68%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.85%EV -6.92%E -4.05%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.47%EV +3.18%E +0.548%K +0.662%G +0.021% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.68%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| BetUS | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.96%EV -10.18%E -6.17%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV +2.29%E +0.398%K +0.481%G +0.011% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-04 20:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -6.92%E -4.05%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.21%EV -2.16%E -0.393%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.44%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| SportsBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.41%EV -9.64%E -5.81%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.72%EV -2.16%E -0.393%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-04 20:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.53%EV -11.82%E -7.29%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.36%EV -2.16%E -0.393%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.11%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.55%EV -7.46%E -4.39%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.17%EV -3.94%E -0.730%K -0.895%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.27%EV -8.89%E -2.71%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| Betsson | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.13%EV -6.37%E -3.71%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.08%EV -8.39%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -6.95%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-04 20:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.13%EV -6.37%E -3.71%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.08%EV -8.39%E -1.63%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -6.95%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| Unibet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.47%EV -6.37%E -3.71%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV -9.28%E -1.82%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 20:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.47%EV -6.37%E -3.71%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV -9.28%E -1.82%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 20:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.47%EV -6.37%E -3.71%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV -9.28%E -1.82%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 20:45 |
| Casumo | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.47%EV -6.37%E -3.71%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV -9.28%E -1.82%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 20:45 |
| betPARX | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.47%EV -6.37%E -3.71%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV -9.28%E -1.82%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 20:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.47%EV -6.37%E -3.71%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV -9.28%E -1.82%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 20:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.47%EV -6.37%E -3.71%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV -9.28%E -1.82%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 20:45 |
| BetRivers | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.62%EV -6.92%E -4.05%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -9.28%E -1.82%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.07%EV -4.17%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 20:44 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.69%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -11.06%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -6.95%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-04 20:55 |
| Betway | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.47%EV -5.83%E -3.37%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -11.06%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.76%EV -6.92%E -4.05%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.39%EV -11.06%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| Grosvenor | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -8.55%E -5.09%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -11.06%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-04 20:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.64%EV -8.55%E -5.09%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -11.06%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -5.56%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-04 20:45 |
| 888sport | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.44%EV -7.46%E -4.39%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -11.06%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| William Hill | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.44%EV -7.46%E -4.39%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -11.06%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.44%EV -7.46%E -4.39%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -11.06%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.44%EV -7.46%E -4.39%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -11.06%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-04 20:55 |
| Bet Victor | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -10.18%E -6.17%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV -11.06%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -8.34%E -2.53%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-04 20:53 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.87%EV -11.82%E -7.29%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -11.06%E -2.21%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.35%EV -9.73%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| TABtouch | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.37%EV -9.09%E -5.45%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.53%EV -12.83%E -2.62%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -6.95%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-04 20:23 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.67%EV -10.18%E -6.17%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.41%EV -12.83%E -2.62%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -6.95%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-04 20:23 |
| LeoVegas | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.67%EV -10.18%E -6.17%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.41%EV -12.83%E -2.62%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -6.95%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-04 20:23 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.67%EV -10.18%E -6.17%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.41%EV -12.83%E -2.62%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -6.95%E -2.07%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-04 20:23 |
| PlayUp | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.37%EV -7.46%E -4.39%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.71%EV -13.72%E -2.83%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -9.73%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 52.63%EV -11.82%E -7.29%K -19.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.95%EV -19.95%E -4.43%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.42%EV -16.67%E -5.56%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-04-04 16:10 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.47% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.53% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00% | 0.6% | 2026-04-04 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.61% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.48% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91% | 0.9% | 2026-04-04 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.61% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.48% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91% | 0.9% | 2026-04-04 20:54 |