语言:简体中文
Nautico PE v Juventude
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Nautico PE (主队)
预测 39.96%2.50公平赔率
EV -6.10%
优势 -2.60%
Kelly -4.52%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.35
博彩公司预测分布
38.98%39.97%39.95%41.19%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.232.312.302.3544.84%43.32%43.48%42.55%最小值均值中位数最大值
Juventude (客队)
预测 28.68%3.49公平赔率
EV -0.476%
优势 -0.137%
Kelly -0.193%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.47
博彩公司预测分布
27.54%28.66%28.76%29.89%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.953.193.203.4733.90%31.39%31.25%28.82%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 31.36%3.19公平赔率
EV -3.09%
优势 -1.00%
Kelly -1.48%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.09
博彩公司预测分布
30.88%31.37%31.29%32.06%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.802.942.953.0935.71%34.07%33.90%32.36%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Nautico PE (主队)：39.96%；Juventude (客队)：28.68%；平局：31.36%。 对于“Juventude (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.49。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为3.47，期望值为-0.476%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (38 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.28%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -4.35%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 23:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -5.91%E -1.97%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-05 23:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.54%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -9.65%E -3.06%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.91%E -1.97%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-05 23:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.54%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -9.65%E -3.06%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.91%E -1.97%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-05 23:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.54%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -9.65%E -3.06%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.91%E -1.97%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-05 23:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.54%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -9.65%E -3.06%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.91%E -1.97%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-05 23:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.54%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -9.65%E -3.06%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.91%E -1.97%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-05 23:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.54%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -9.65%E -3.06%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.91%E -1.97%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-05 23:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.54%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -9.65%E -3.06%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.91%E -1.97%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-05 23:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.70%EV -8.42%E -2.88%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-05 23:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.70%EV -8.42%E -2.88%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-05 23:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -9.05%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-05 23:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -11.09%E -3.58%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -7.48%E -2.54%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-05 23:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.12%EV -6.50%E -2.78%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.73%EV -0.476%E -0.137%K -0.193%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.14%EV -3.09%E -1.00%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-05 23:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.22%EV -6.50%E -2.78%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -9.65%E -3.06%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -9.05%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-05 23:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.47%EV -7.30%E -3.15%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -3.92%E -1.17%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.51%EV -6.54%E -2.20%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-05 23:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.47%EV -7.30%E -3.15%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -3.92%E -1.17%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.51%EV -6.54%E -2.20%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-05 23:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.26%EV -7.30%E -3.15%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -12.52%E -4.11%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -7.48%E -2.54%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-05 23:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -2.48%E -0.731%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -7.48%E -2.54%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-05 23:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -5.91%E -1.97%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-05 23:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -7.48%E -2.54%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-05 23:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -7.48%E -2.54%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-05 23:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -9.68%E -3.36%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-05 23:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -9.68%E -3.36%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-05 23:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -9.68%E -3.36%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-05 23:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -9.68%E -3.36%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-05 23:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.09%E -3.58%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.05%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-05 23:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -13.96%E -4.65%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -9.68%E -3.36%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-05 23:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.66%EV -8.90%E -3.90%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.92%EV -4.78%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.42%EV -7.48%E -2.54%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-05 23:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.19%EV -8.90%E -3.90%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.78%EV -13.96%E -4.65%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.03%EV -9.68%E -3.36%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-05 23:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.19%EV -8.90%E -3.90%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.78%EV -13.96%E -4.65%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.03%EV -9.68%E -3.36%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-05 23:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.05%EV -10.10%E -4.49%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.88%EV -10.51%E -3.37%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.07%EV -9.05%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-05 23:18 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -10.10%E -4.49%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -12.19%E -4.35%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-05 23:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.18%EV -10.10%E -4.49%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.88%EV -15.39%E -5.22%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.93%EV -10.62%E -3.73%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-07-05 22:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.19%EV -10.50%E -4.69%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -3.92%E -1.17%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.27%EV -7.48%E -2.54%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-05 23:23 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.19%EV -10.50%E -4.69%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -3.92%E -1.17%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.27%EV -7.48%E -2.54%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-05 23:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.18%EV -10.90%E -4.89%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.62%EV -15.39%E -5.22%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.20%EV -12.19%E -4.35%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-07-05 23:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 39.18%EV -10.90%E -4.89%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.62%EV -15.39%E -5.22%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.20%EV -12.19%E -4.35%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-07-05 23:00 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.02% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.96% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.7% | 2026-07-05 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.22% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91% | 1.1% | 2026-07-05 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.22% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91% | 1.1% | 2026-07-05 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.22% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91% | 1.1% | 2026-07-05 23:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.25% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.68% | 1.8% | 2026-07-05 23:20 |