La scuola delle quote

Nautico PE v Juventude

Inizio: 2026-07-05 23:30 UTC

Finale: Nautico PE 0–0 Juventude

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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38 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Nautico PE (Casa)

Previsione 39.96%2.50quota equa
EV -6.10%
Vantaggio -2.60%
Kelly -4.52%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.98%39.97%39.95%41.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.232.312.302.3544.84%43.32%43.48%42.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Juventude (Trasferta)

Previsione 28.68%3.49quota equa
EV -0.476%
Vantaggio -0.137%
Kelly -0.193%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.47

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.54%28.66%28.76%29.89%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.953.193.203.4733.90%31.39%31.25%28.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 31.36%3.19quota equa
EV -3.09%
Vantaggio -1.00%
Kelly -1.48%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.09

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.88%31.37%31.29%32.06%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.802.942.953.0935.71%34.07%33.90%32.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.28%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -4.35%E -1.43%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 23:10
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -5.91%E -1.97%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-05 23:14
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.54%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -9.65%E -3.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.91%E -1.97%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-05 23:00
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.54%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -9.65%E -3.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.91%E -1.97%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-05 23:00
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.54%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -9.65%E -3.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.91%E -1.97%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-05 23:00
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 39.54%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -9.65%E -3.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.91%E -1.97%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-05 23:00
betPARX2.35I 42.55%NM 39.54%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -9.65%E -3.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.91%E -1.97%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-05 23:00
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.54%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -9.65%E -3.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.91%E -1.97%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-05 23:00
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.54%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -9.65%E -3.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.91%E -1.97%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-05 23:00
NordicBet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.70%EV -8.42%E -2.88%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-05 23:15
Betsson2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.70%EV -8.42%E -2.88%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-05 23:15
Unibet (UK)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -9.05%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-05 23:15
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -6.10%E -2.60%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -11.09%E -3.58%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -7.48%E -2.54%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-05 23:15
Pinnacle2.34I 42.74%NM 41.12%EV -6.50%E -2.78%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.73%EV -0.476%E -0.137%K -0.193%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.14%EV -3.09%E -1.00%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-05 23:15
Codere (IT)2.34I 42.74%NM 39.22%EV -6.50%E -2.78%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.13%EV -9.65%E -3.06%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -9.05%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-05 23:15
LowVig.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 40.47%EV -7.30%E -3.15%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -3.92%E -1.17%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.51%EV -6.54%E -2.20%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 23:25
BetOnline.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 40.47%EV -7.30%E -3.15%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -3.92%E -1.17%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.51%EV -6.54%E -2.20%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 23:25
BetRivers2.32I 43.10%NM 39.26%EV -7.30%E -3.15%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -12.52%E -4.11%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -7.48%E -2.54%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-05 23:00
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -2.48%E -0.731%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -7.48%E -2.54%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-05 23:19
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -5.91%E -1.97%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-05 23:15
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.35%E -1.62%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -7.48%E -2.54%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-05 23:25
LeoVegas2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -7.48%E -2.54%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-05 23:20
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -9.68%E -3.36%K -5.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-05 23:10
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -9.68%E -3.36%K -5.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-05 23:14
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -9.68%E -3.36%K -5.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-05 23:10
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -6.79%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -9.68%E -3.36%K -5.15%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-05 23:10
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.09%E -3.58%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.05%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-05 23:25
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -8.10%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -13.96%E -4.65%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -9.68%E -3.36%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-05 23:15
Marathon Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.66%EV -8.90%E -3.90%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.92%EV -4.78%E -1.44%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.42%EV -7.48%E -2.54%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-05 23:25
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 39.19%EV -8.90%E -3.90%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.78%EV -13.96%E -4.65%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.03%EV -9.68%E -3.36%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-05 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 39.19%EV -8.90%E -3.90%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.78%EV -13.96%E -4.65%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.03%EV -9.68%E -3.36%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-05 23:00
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.05%EV -10.10%E -4.49%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.88%EV -10.51%E -3.37%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.07%EV -9.05%E -3.12%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-05 23:18
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -10.10%E -4.49%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -8.22%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -12.19%E -4.35%K -6.77%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-05 23:24
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 39.18%EV -10.10%E -4.49%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.88%EV -15.39%E -5.22%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.93%EV -10.62%E -3.73%K -5.74%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-05 22:59
Bovada2.24I 44.64%NM 41.19%EV -10.50%E -4.69%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -3.92%E -1.17%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.27%EV -7.48%E -2.54%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-05 23:23
BetUS2.24I 44.64%NM 41.19%EV -10.50%E -4.69%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -3.92%E -1.17%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.27%EV -7.48%E -2.54%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-05 23:24
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 39.18%EV -10.90%E -4.89%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.62%EV -15.39%E -5.22%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.20%EV -12.19%E -4.35%K -6.77%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-05 23:00
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 39.18%EV -10.90%E -4.89%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.62%EV -15.39%E -5.22%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.20%EV -12.19%E -4.35%K -6.77%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-05 23:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.48I 40.32%NM 40.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.96%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.7%2026-07-05 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91%1.1%2026-07-05 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91%1.1%2026-07-05 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.22%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91%1.1%2026-07-05 23:25
Smarkets2.44I 40.98%NM 40.25%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.68%1.8%2026-07-05 23:20