Language:English
Nautico PE v Atletico Goianiense
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Nautico PE (Local)
Prediction 35.41%2.82fair odd
EV -0.135%
Edge -0.048%
Kelly -0.074%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.38%35.47%35.24%37.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.562.522.8242.55%39.03%39.60%35.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Atletico Goianiense (Visit)
Prediction 34.18%2.93fair odd
EV -1.55%
Edge -0.538%
Kelly -0.823%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.22%34.13%34.43%35.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.732.752.8840.00%36.60%36.36%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.40%3.29fair odd
EV -2.71%
Edge -0.848%
Kelly -1.23%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.41%30.41%30.34%32.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.023.003.2034.72%33.12%33.33%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nautico PE (Local): 35.41%; Atletico Goianiense (Visit): 34.18%; Draw: 30.40%. For Nautico PE (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.824. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.820, with an expected value of -0.135%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.38%EV -0.135%E -0.048%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.61%EV -7.02%E -2.58%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.02%EV -10.62%E -3.61%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-09 18:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.38%EV -0.135%E -0.048%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.61%EV -7.02%E -2.58%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.02%EV -10.62%E -3.61%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-09 18:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.38%EV -0.135%E -0.048%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.61%EV -7.02%E -2.58%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.02%EV -10.62%E -3.61%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-09 18:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV -2.26%E -0.819%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.79%EV -5.31%E -1.92%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.30%EV -3.32%E -1.04%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-09 18:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -4.38%E -1.62%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -7.70%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.27%E -2.38%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 18:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -4.38%E -1.62%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -7.70%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-09 18:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.56%EV -5.09%E -1.90%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.56%EV -8.39%E -3.13%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-09 18:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.56%EV -5.09%E -1.90%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.56%EV -8.39%E -3.13%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-09 18:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -6.16%E -2.32%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -9.41%E -3.55%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-09 18:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -6.16%E -2.32%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -9.41%E -3.55%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-09 18:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.09%EV -6.16%E -2.32%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -11.12%E -4.28%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -11.83%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-09 18:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.38%EV -7.22%E -2.75%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -5.99%E -2.18%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-09 18:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.47%EV -7.22%E -2.75%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.42%EV -12.83%E -5.03%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-09 18:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.47%EV -7.22%E -2.75%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.42%EV -12.83%E -5.03%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-09 18:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -7.22%E -2.75%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -10.44%E -3.98%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -11.83%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-09 18:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.93%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -11.12%E -4.28%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-09 18:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 35.71%EV -8.28%E -3.20%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.64%EV -8.73%E -3.27%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.65%EV -5.14%E -1.65%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-09 18:53 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.15%EV -9.70%E -3.80%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.24%EV -2.57%E -0.903%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -2.71%E -0.848%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-09 18:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -9.70%E -3.80%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -4.28%E -1.53%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -4.23%E -1.34%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-09 18:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%EV -9.70%E -3.80%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.80%EV -7.70%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-09 18:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -11.47%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -1.55%E -0.538%K -0.823%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 18:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -11.47%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -1.55%E -0.538%K -0.823%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 18:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -11.47%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -1.55%E -0.538%K -0.823%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 18:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -11.47%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -1.55%E -0.538%K -0.823%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 18:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -11.47%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -1.55%E -0.538%K -0.823%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 18:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -11.47%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -1.55%E -0.538%K -0.823%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 18:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -11.47%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -1.55%E -0.538%K -0.823%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-09 18:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -11.47%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -5.99%E -2.18%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-09 18:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -11.47%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -5.99%E -2.18%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-09 18:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -11.47%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -5.99%E -2.18%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-09 18:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -11.47%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -5.99%E -2.18%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-09 18:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -11.47%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -5.99%E -2.18%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-09 18:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -11.47%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -14.54%E -5.82%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-09 18:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -13.24%E -5.40%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -4.28%E -1.53%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-09 18:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -15.01%E -6.25%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -5.99%E -2.18%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-09 18:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -15.01%E -6.25%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.49%EV -5.99%E -2.18%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.29%EV -10.31%E -3.50%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-09 18:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -15.01%E -6.25%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.49%EV -5.99%E -2.18%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.29%EV -10.31%E -3.50%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-09 18:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.23%EV -15.72%E -6.60%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.22%EV -5.99%E -2.18%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -11.83%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-09 18:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.23%EV -16.78%E -7.14%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.40%EV -7.70%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.37%EV -12.44%E -4.32%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-09 18:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.23%EV -16.78%E -7.14%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.40%EV -7.70%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.37%EV -12.44%E -4.32%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-09 18:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.64% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.88% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48% | 0.9% | 2026-08-09 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.64% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.88% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48% | 0.9% | 2026-08-09 18:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.32% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.80% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.88% | 1.2% | 2026-08-09 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.47% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.72% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.81% | 1.4% | 2026-08-09 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.71% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.71% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59% | 2.2% | 2026-08-09 18:55 |
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