Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nautico PE v Atletico Goianiense

2026-08-09 19:00 UTC — Brazil Série B

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Nautico PE (Local)

Prediction 41.74%2.40fair odd
EV -3.99%
Edge -1.74%
Kelly -3.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.86%41.54%41.74%42.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.232.202.3047.62%44.88%45.45%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atletico Goianiense (Visit)

Prediction 28.93%3.46fair odd
EV -4.52%
Edge -1.37%
Kelly -1.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.08%28.94%28.93%30.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.123.103.3033.90%32.07%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.33%3.41fair odd
EV -4.69%
Edge -1.44%
Kelly -2.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.57%29.53%29.33%30.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.093.103.2533.33%32.35%32.26%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -3.99%E -1.74%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.31%E -3.33%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -12.02%E -4.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-29 14:10
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -3.99%E -1.74%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.31%E -3.33%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -12.02%E -4.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-29 14:10
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -3.99%E -1.74%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.31%E -3.33%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -12.02%E -4.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-29 14:10
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -3.99%E -1.74%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.31%E -3.33%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -12.02%E -4.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-29 14:05
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -6.08%E -2.70%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -8.86%E -2.81%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.69%E -1.44%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-29 13:35
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.31%E -3.33%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -6.16%E -1.92%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-29 13:33
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -13.20%E -4.40%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.09%E -2.93%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-29 13:56
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 40.91%EV -8.17%E -3.71%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -14.65%E -4.97%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -7.62%E -2.42%K -3.55%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-29 13:50
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.50%EV -9.00%E -4.13%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -4.52%E -1.37%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -7.62%E -2.42%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-29 13:35
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.50%EV -9.00%E -4.13%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -4.52%E -1.37%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -7.62%E -2.42%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-29 13:35
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -12.34%E -5.88%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -10.31%E -3.33%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -12.02%E -4.01%K -6.01%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-29 13:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.