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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Nautico PE v Atletico Goianiense

开赛时间： 2026-08-09 19:00 UTC

最终结果： Nautico PE 1–1 Atletico Goianiense

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

40 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Nautico PE (主队)

预测 35.41%2.82公平赔率
EV -0.135%
优势 -0.048%
Kelly -0.074%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.82

博彩公司预测分布
33.38%35.47%35.24%37.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.352.562.522.8242.55%39.03%39.60%35.46%最小值均值中位数最大值

Atletico Goianiense (客队)

预测 34.18%2.93公平赔率
EV -1.55%
优势 -0.538%
Kelly -0.823%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.88

博彩公司预测分布
32.22%34.13%34.43%35.42%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.502.732.752.8840.00%36.60%36.36%34.72%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 30.40%3.29公平赔率
EV -2.71%
优势 -0.848%
Kelly -1.23%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.20

博彩公司预测分布
29.41%30.41%30.34%32.02%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.883.023.003.2034.72%33.12%33.33%31.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Nautico PE (主队)：35.41%；Atletico Goianiense (客队)：34.18%；平局：30.40%。 对于“Nautico PE (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.824。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.820，期望值为-0.135%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (40 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
LowVig.ag🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.38%EV -0.135%E -0.048%K -0.074%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.61%EV -7.02%E -2.58%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.02%EV -10.62%E -3.61%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 18:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.38%EV -0.135%E -0.048%K -0.074%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.61%EV -7.02%E -2.58%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.02%EV -10.62%E -3.61%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 18:55
BetUS🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 33.38%EV -0.135%E -0.048%K -0.074%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.61%EV -7.02%E -2.58%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.02%EV -10.62%E -3.61%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 18:55
Pinnacle🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 34.91%EV -2.26%E -0.819%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.79%EV -5.31%E -1.92%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.30%EV -3.32%E -1.04%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-09 18:55
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -4.38%E -1.62%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -7.70%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -7.27%E -2.38%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 18:44
FanDuel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -4.38%E -1.62%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -7.70%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-09 18:44
Betsson🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.56%EV -5.09%E -1.90%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.56%EV -8.39%E -3.13%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 18:50
NordicBet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.56%EV -5.09%E -1.90%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.56%EV -8.39%E -3.13%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 18:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -6.16%E -2.32%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -9.41%E -3.55%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-09 18:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -6.16%E -2.32%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -9.41%E -3.55%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-09 18:50
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.09%EV -6.16%E -2.32%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -11.12%E -4.28%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -11.83%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-09 18:49
Betway🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.38%EV -7.22%E -2.75%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -5.99%E -2.18%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.90%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 18:55
betano_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.47%EV -7.22%E -2.75%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.42%EV -12.83%E -5.03%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-09 18:49
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.47%EV -7.22%E -2.75%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.42%EV -12.83%E -5.03%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-09 18:49
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -7.22%E -2.75%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.44%EV -10.44%E -3.98%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -11.83%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-09 18:45
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.93%E -3.05%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -11.12%E -4.28%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-09 18:49
Bovada🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 35.71%EV -8.28%E -3.20%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.64%EV -8.73%E -3.27%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.65%EV -5.14%E -1.65%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-09 18:53
DraftKings🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.15%EV -9.70%E -3.80%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.24%EV -2.57%E -0.903%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -2.71%E -0.848%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 18:39
Coolbet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -9.70%E -3.80%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -4.28%E -1.53%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -4.23%E -1.34%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-09 18:30
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%EV -9.70%E -3.80%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.80%EV -7.70%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-09 18:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -11.47%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -1.55%E -0.538%K -0.823%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 18:55
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -11.47%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -1.55%E -0.538%K -0.823%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 18:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -11.47%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -1.55%E -0.538%K -0.823%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 18:55
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -11.47%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -1.55%E -0.538%K -0.823%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 18:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -11.47%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -1.55%E -0.538%K -0.823%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 18:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -11.47%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -1.55%E -0.538%K -0.823%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 18:54
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -11.47%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -1.55%E -0.538%K -0.823%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 18:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -11.47%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -5.99%E -2.18%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -5.75%E -1.86%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-09 18:30
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -11.47%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -5.99%E -2.18%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-09 18:45
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -11.47%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -5.99%E -2.18%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-09 18:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -11.47%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -5.99%E -2.18%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-09 18:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -11.47%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -5.99%E -2.18%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-09 18:45
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -11.47%E -4.59%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.29%EV -14.54%E -5.82%K -9.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-09 18:44
BetRivers🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -13.24%E -5.40%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -4.28%E -1.53%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-09 18:45
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -15.01%E -6.25%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -5.99%E -2.18%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.79%E -2.93%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-09 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -15.01%E -6.25%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.49%EV -5.99%E -2.18%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.29%EV -10.31%E -3.50%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-09 18:55
Grosvenor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -15.01%E -6.25%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.49%EV -5.99%E -2.18%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.29%EV -10.31%E -3.50%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-09 18:55
TABtouch🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.23%EV -15.72%E -6.60%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.22%EV -5.99%E -2.18%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -11.83%E -4.08%K -6.23%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-09 18:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.23%EV -16.78%E -7.14%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.40%EV -7.70%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.37%EV -12.44%E -4.32%K -6.62%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-09 18:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.23%EV -16.78%E -7.14%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.40%EV -7.70%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.37%EV -12.44%E -4.32%K -6.62%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-09 18:49
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.64%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.88%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48%0.9%2026-08-09 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.64%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.88%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48%0.9%2026-08-09 18:55
Matchbook◎2.88I 34.72%NM 34.32%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.80%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.88%1.2%2026-08-09 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.86I 34.97%NM 34.47%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.72%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.81%1.4%2026-08-09 18:55
Smarkets◎2.82I 35.46%NM 34.71%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.71%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.59%2.2%2026-08-09 18:55