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Londrina v Operario PR

2026-09-06 14:00 UTC — Brazil Série B

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Londrina (Local)

Prediction 39.06%2.56fair odd
EV -7.04%
Edge -2.96%
Kelly -5.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.89%39.06%39.06%39.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.332.382.3844.44%42.83%42.02%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Operario PR (Visit)

Prediction 32.50%3.08fair odd
EV -6.39%
Edge -2.22%
Kelly -3.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.30%32.50%32.50%32.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.822.882.8837.04%35.51%34.72%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.44%3.52fair odd
EV -7.57%
Edge -2.33%
Kelly -3.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.44%28.44%28.44%28.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.183.253.2532.79%31.40%30.77%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Londrina (Local): 39.06%; Operario PR (Visit): 32.50%; Draw: 28.44%. For Operario PR (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.08. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.88, with an expected value of -6.39%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.08%EV -7.04%E -2.96%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -7.57%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 15:19
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.08%EV -7.04%E -2.96%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -7.57%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 15:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.08%EV -7.04%E -2.96%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -7.57%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 15:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.08%EV -7.04%E -2.96%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -7.57%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 15:20
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.08%EV -7.04%E -2.96%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -7.57%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 15:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.08%EV -7.04%E -2.96%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -7.57%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 15:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.08%EV -7.04%E -2.96%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -6.39%E -2.22%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -7.57%E -2.33%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 15:20
BetRivers🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.06%EV -8.99%E -3.86%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -8.99%E -3.21%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -8.99%E -2.81%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 14:44
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.96%EV -10.17%E -4.42%K -7.82%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -10.62%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.45%EV -10.42%E -3.31%K -4.84%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-30 14:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.99%EV -10.95%E -4.80%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.33%EV -10.62%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.68%EV -11.84%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-30 14:44
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.99%EV -10.95%E -4.80%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.33%EV -10.62%E -3.86%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.68%EV -11.84%E -3.82%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-30 15:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.89%EV -12.12%E -5.39%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.41%EV -12.24%E -4.53%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.69%EV -13.26%E -4.35%K -6.47%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-30 14:44
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.89%EV -12.12%E -5.39%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.41%EV -12.24%E -4.53%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.69%EV -13.26%E -4.35%K -6.47%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-30 14:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.