Idioma:Español
Londrina v Operario PR
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Londrina (Local)
Predicción 29.56%3.38momio equitativo
EV -0.083%
Ventaja -0.025%
Kelly -0.035%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.70%29.94%29.30%32.83%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.753.093.103.3836.36%32.35%32.26%29.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Operario PR (Visitante)
Predicción 39.33%2.54momio equitativo
EV -1.66%
Ventaja -0.665%
Kelly -1.11%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.31%39.02%39.57%40.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.342.342.5044.44%42.75%42.74%40.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 31.10%3.22momio equitativo
EV -2.64%
Ventaja -0.845%
Kelly -1.24%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.13
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.65%31.03%31.14%34.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.652.932.903.1337.74%34.14%34.48%31.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Londrina (Local): 29.56%; Operario PR (Visitante): 39.33%; Empate: 31.10%. Para Londrina (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.383. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.380, con un valor esperado de -0.083%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.70%EV -0.083%E -0.025%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.88%EV -9.92%E -4.33%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.42%EV -7.31%E -2.45%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-06 13:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.58%EV -0.379%E -0.112%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.64%EV -6.78%E -2.86%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.77%EV -2.64%E -0.845%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-06 13:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -2.45%E -0.742%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.18%EV -7.96%E -3.40%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-06 13:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -2.45%E -0.742%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.18%EV -7.96%E -3.40%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-06 13:58 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.24%EV -3.93%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.60%EV -5.60%E -2.33%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.16%EV -5.13%E -1.68%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-06 13:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -3.93%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.69%EV -7.56%E -3.22%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -8.24%E -2.79%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-06 13:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -3.93%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.17%EV -6.38%E -2.68%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-06 13:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -3.93%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.17%EV -6.38%E -2.68%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-06 13:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -3.93%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.17%EV -6.38%E -2.68%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-06 13:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -3.93%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.17%EV -6.38%E -2.68%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-06 13:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -3.93%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.17%EV -6.38%E -2.68%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-06 13:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -5.40%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -7.56%E -3.22%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 13:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -5.40%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.51%EV -7.56%E -3.22%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -8.24%E -2.79%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-06 13:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -5.40%E -1.69%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -5.60%E -2.33%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -17.57%E -6.63%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-06 13:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -6.88%E -2.18%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.03%EV -6.38%E -2.68%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -8.24%E -2.79%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-06 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -6.88%E -2.18%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.03%EV -6.38%E -2.68%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.49%EV -8.24%E -2.79%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-06 13:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -6.88%E -2.18%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 39.74%EV -9.14%E -3.96%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.12%EV -8.24%E -2.79%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-06 13:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -6.88%E -2.18%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.51%EV -8.74%E -3.77%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.39%EV -9.18%E -3.14%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-06 13:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.10%EV -6.88%E -2.18%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.51%EV -8.74%E -3.77%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.39%EV -9.18%E -3.14%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-06 13:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -6.88%E -2.18%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -11.50%E -5.11%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-06 13:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.88%EV -7.77%E -2.49%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.05%EV -11.50%E -5.11%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.07%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-06 13:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -3.58%E -1.15%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-06 13:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.04%EV -7.17%E -3.04%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -8.24%E -2.79%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-06 13:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.04%EV -7.17%E -3.04%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -8.24%E -2.79%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-06 13:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-06 13:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-06 13:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-06 13:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-06 13:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -10.42%E -3.62%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-06 13:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.20%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.36%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -10.42%E -3.62%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-06 13:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -8.36%E -2.70%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -11.50%E -5.11%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-06 13:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.11%EV -8.95%E -2.91%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.97%EV -6.38%E -2.68%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-06 13:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.44%EV -9.84%E -3.23%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.51%EV -11.35%E -3.98%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-06 13:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.18%EV -9.84%E -3.23%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.03%EV -10.32%E -4.52%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.79%EV -12.91%E -4.61%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-06 13:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.86%EV -9.84%E -3.23%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.13%EV -11.50%E -5.11%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.01%EV -14.46%E -5.26%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-09-06 13:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -11.32%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.76%EV -7.56%E -3.22%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.88%EV -8.24%E -2.79%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-06 13:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -11.32%E -3.77%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -11.50%E -5.11%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-09-06 13:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.72%EV -12.79%E -4.34%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.97%EV -11.50%E -5.11%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.31%EV -12.91%E -4.61%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-06 13:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.72%EV -12.79%E -4.34%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.97%EV -11.50%E -5.11%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.31%EV -12.91%E -4.61%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-06 13:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -14.27%E -4.92%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -1.66%E -0.665%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -3.58%E -1.15%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 13:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -14.27%E -4.92%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.38%EV -3.63%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -8.24%E -2.79%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-06 13:32 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -14.27%E -4.92%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-06 13:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -14.27%E -4.92%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-06 13:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -14.27%E -4.92%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-06 13:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -14.27%E -4.92%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -9.53%E -4.14%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-06 13:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -15.75%E -5.53%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.31%EV -1.66%E -0.665%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -11.35%E -3.98%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-06 13:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -17.23%E -6.15%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -3.63%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -3.58%E -1.15%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-06 13:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -17.23%E -6.15%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -3.63%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -3.58%E -1.15%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-06 13:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -18.71%E -6.80%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -5.60%E -2.33%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-06 13:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.43% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.76% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.81% | 1.4% | 2026-09-06 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.43% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.76% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.81% | 1.4% | 2026-09-06 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.43% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.76% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.81% | 1.4% | 2026-09-06 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.01% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.21% | 1.7% | 2026-09-06 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.16% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.21% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.63% | 2.0% | 2026-09-06 13:55 |