La scuola delle quote

Londrina v Goiás

Inizio: 2026-04-01 22:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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37 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Londrina (Casa)

Previsione 36.70%2.72quota equa
EV -1.64%
Vantaggio -0.610%
Kelly -0.974%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.68

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.32%36.78%36.82%38.90%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.322.482.452.6843.10%40.34%40.82%37.31%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Goiás (Trasferta)

Previsione 31.65%3.16quota equa
EV +2.88%
Vantaggio +0.885%
Kelly +1.28%
Crescita +0.037%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.84%31.59%31.61%33.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.603.012.953.2538.46%33.19%33.90%30.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 31.64%3.16quota equa
EV -5.07%
Vantaggio -1.69%
Kelly -2.54%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.93%31.62%31.57%32.80%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.752.882.903.0036.36%34.66%34.48%33.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (37 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
betPARX2.43I 41.15%NM 38.68%EV -10.81%E -4.45%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV +2.88%E +0.885%K +1.28%G +0.037%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -8.24%E -2.84%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 21:50
Casumo2.43I 41.15%NM 38.68%EV -10.81%E -4.45%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV +2.88%E +0.885%K +1.28%G +0.037%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -8.24%E -2.84%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 21:50
Unibet (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.68%EV -10.81%E -4.45%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV +2.88%E +0.885%K +1.28%G +0.037%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -8.24%E -2.84%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 21:50
Unibet (NL)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.68%EV -10.81%E -4.45%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV +2.88%E +0.885%K +1.28%G +0.037%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -8.24%E -2.84%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 21:49
ATG (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.68%EV -10.81%E -4.45%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV +2.88%E +0.885%K +1.28%G +0.037%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -8.24%E -2.84%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 21:50
Svenska Spel2.43I 41.15%NM 38.68%EV -10.81%E -4.45%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV +2.88%E +0.885%K +1.28%G +0.037%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -8.24%E -2.84%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 21:50
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -10.08%E -4.11%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV +1.29%E +0.404%K +0.588%G +0.008%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -8.24%E -2.84%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-01 21:15
BetRivers2.45I 40.82%NM 38.22%EV -10.08%E -4.11%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV +1.29%E +0.404%K +0.588%G +0.008%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -8.87%E -3.08%K -4.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-01 21:25
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.78%EV -12.65%E -5.31%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV +1.29%E +0.404%K +0.588%G +0.008%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.38%EV -9.82%E -3.44%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-01 21:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.90%EV -13.75%E -5.85%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -0.289%E -0.092%K -0.135%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -9.82%E -3.44%K -5.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-01 21:50
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -13.75%E -5.85%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -0.289%E -0.092%K -0.135%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -11.40%E -4.07%K -6.33%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-01 21:50
BetUS2.64I 37.88%NM 36.45%EV -3.10%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.04%EV -1.87%E -0.604%K -0.891%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.51%EV -6.34%E -2.14%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-01 21:19
LeoVegas2.32I 43.10%NM 38.81%EV -14.85%E -6.40%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -1.87%E -0.604%K -0.891%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.15%EV -11.40%E -4.07%K -6.33%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-01 21:49
Virgin Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 38.81%EV -14.85%E -6.40%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -1.87%E -0.604%K -0.891%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.15%EV -11.40%E -4.07%K -6.33%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-01 21:50
LiveScore Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 38.81%EV -14.85%E -6.40%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -1.87%E -0.604%K -0.891%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.15%EV -11.40%E -4.07%K -6.33%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-01 21:50
Pinnacle2.65I 37.74%NM 36.29%EV -2.74%E -1.03%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.43%EV -3.14%E -1.03%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -5.70%E -1.91%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-01 21:30
BetOnline.ag2.68I 37.31%NM 36.00%EV -1.64%E -0.610%K -0.974%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.63%EV -3.45%E -1.13%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.37%EV -5.70%E -1.91%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-01 21:50
LowVig.ag2.68I 37.31%NM 36.00%EV -1.64%E -0.610%K -0.974%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.63%EV -3.45%E -1.13%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.37%EV -5.70%E -1.91%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-01 21:50
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.39%EV -4.57%E -1.76%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.07%EV -6.62%E -2.24%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.54%EV -5.07%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-01 21:49
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -8.24%E -3.30%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -6.62%E -2.24%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -5.07%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-01 07:40
Marathon Bet2.59I 38.61%NM 35.77%EV -4.94%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.73%EV -7.57%E -2.59%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -9.82%E -3.44%K -5.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-01 21:50
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 36.68%EV -7.51%E -2.98%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.66%EV -7.57%E -2.59%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.66%EV -7.60%E -2.60%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-01 21:20
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 36.68%EV -7.51%E -2.98%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.66%EV -7.57%E -2.59%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.66%EV -7.60%E -2.60%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-01 21:19
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -4.57%E -1.76%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -8.20%E -2.83%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -8.24%E -2.84%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-01 21:39
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.38%EV -10.08%E -4.11%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -8.20%E -2.83%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -6.65%E -2.26%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-01 14:10
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.24%E -3.30%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.20%E -2.83%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -11.40%E -4.07%K -6.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-01 21:19
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.24%E -3.30%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.20%E -2.83%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -11.40%E -4.07%K -6.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-01 21:20
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -10.08%E -4.11%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -8.20%E -2.83%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -9.82%E -3.44%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-01 21:20
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.36%EV -13.75%E -5.85%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.08%EV -8.20%E -2.83%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -6.65%E -2.26%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-01 20:45
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -8.24%E -3.30%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -8.84%E -3.07%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -5.07%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-01 21:50
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -4.57%E -1.76%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -8.84%E -3.07%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -11.40%E -4.07%K -6.33%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-01 21:50
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -4.57%E -1.76%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -8.84%E -3.07%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -11.40%E -4.07%K -6.33%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-01 21:50
SportsBet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -4.57%E -1.76%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.22%EV -9.15%E -3.19%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.22%EV -9.19%E -3.20%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-01 21:40
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -8.24%E -3.30%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -11.37%E -4.06%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -11.40%E -4.07%K -6.33%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-01 21:40
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 37.04%EV -12.65%E -5.31%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.48%EV -11.37%E -4.06%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.48%EV -11.40%E -4.07%K -6.33%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-01 21:20
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -11.91%E -4.96%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -12.95%E -4.71%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -5.07%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-01 21:28
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.77%EV -11.91%E -4.96%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.02%EV -17.70%E -6.81%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.22%EV -12.98%E -4.72%K -7.42%G +0.000%16.5%2026-04-01 21:24
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%1.0%2026-04-01 21:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%1.0%2026-04-01 21:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%1.0%2026-04-01 21:35
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%1.0%2026-04-01 21:35
Smarkets2.72I 36.76%NM 36.11%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.20%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.68%1.8%2026-04-01 21:50