L’École des cotes

Londrina v Goiás

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-01 22:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Londrina (Local)

Prévision 36.70%2.72cote équitable
EV -1.64%
Avantage -0.610%
Kelly -0.974%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.32%36.78%36.82%38.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.322.482.452.6843.10%40.34%40.82%37.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Goiás (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.65%3.16cote équitable
EV +2.88%
Avantage +0.885%
Kelly +1.28%
Croissance +0.037%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.84%31.59%31.61%33.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.603.012.953.2538.46%33.19%33.90%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 31.64%3.16cote équitable
EV -5.07%
Avantage -1.69%
Kelly -2.54%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.93%31.62%31.57%32.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.752.882.903.0036.36%34.66%34.48%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
betPARX2.43I 41.15%NM 38.68%EV -10.81%E -4.45%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV +2.88%E +0.885%K +1.28%G +0.037%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -8.24%E -2.84%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 21:50
Casumo2.43I 41.15%NM 38.68%EV -10.81%E -4.45%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV +2.88%E +0.885%K +1.28%G +0.037%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -8.24%E -2.84%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 21:50
Unibet (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.68%EV -10.81%E -4.45%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV +2.88%E +0.885%K +1.28%G +0.037%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -8.24%E -2.84%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 21:50
Unibet (NL)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.68%EV -10.81%E -4.45%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV +2.88%E +0.885%K +1.28%G +0.037%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -8.24%E -2.84%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 21:49
ATG (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.68%EV -10.81%E -4.45%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV +2.88%E +0.885%K +1.28%G +0.037%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -8.24%E -2.84%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 21:50
Svenska Spel2.43I 41.15%NM 38.68%EV -10.81%E -4.45%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV +2.88%E +0.885%K +1.28%G +0.037%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -8.24%E -2.84%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 21:50
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -10.08%E -4.11%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV +1.29%E +0.404%K +0.588%G +0.008%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -8.24%E -2.84%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-01 21:15
BetRivers2.45I 40.82%NM 38.22%EV -10.08%E -4.11%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV +1.29%E +0.404%K +0.588%G +0.008%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.51%EV -8.87%E -3.08%K -4.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-01 21:25
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.78%EV -12.65%E -5.31%K -9.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV +1.29%E +0.404%K +0.588%G +0.008%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.38%EV -9.82%E -3.44%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-01 21:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.90%EV -13.75%E -5.85%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -0.289%E -0.092%K -0.135%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -9.82%E -3.44%K -5.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-01 21:50
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -13.75%E -5.85%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -0.289%E -0.092%K -0.135%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -11.40%E -4.07%K -6.33%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-01 21:50
BetUS2.64I 37.88%NM 36.45%EV -3.10%E -1.18%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.04%EV -1.87%E -0.604%K -0.891%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.51%EV -6.34%E -2.14%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-01 21:19
LeoVegas2.32I 43.10%NM 38.81%EV -14.85%E -6.40%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -1.87%E -0.604%K -0.891%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.15%EV -11.40%E -4.07%K -6.33%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-01 21:49
Virgin Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 38.81%EV -14.85%E -6.40%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -1.87%E -0.604%K -0.891%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.15%EV -11.40%E -4.07%K -6.33%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-01 21:50
LiveScore Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 38.81%EV -14.85%E -6.40%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -1.87%E -0.604%K -0.891%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.15%EV -11.40%E -4.07%K -6.33%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-01 21:50
Pinnacle2.65I 37.74%NM 36.29%EV -2.74%E -1.03%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.43%EV -3.14%E -1.03%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.27%EV -5.70%E -1.91%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-01 21:30
BetOnline.ag2.68I 37.31%NM 36.00%EV -1.64%E -0.610%K -0.974%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.63%EV -3.45%E -1.13%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.37%EV -5.70%E -1.91%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-01 21:50
LowVig.ag2.68I 37.31%NM 36.00%EV -1.64%E -0.610%K -0.974%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.63%EV -3.45%E -1.13%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.37%EV -5.70%E -1.91%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-01 21:50
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.39%EV -4.57%E -1.76%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.07%EV -6.62%E -2.24%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.54%EV -5.07%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-01 21:49
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -8.24%E -3.30%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -6.62%E -2.24%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -5.07%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-01 07:40
Marathon Bet2.59I 38.61%NM 35.77%EV -4.94%E -1.91%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.73%EV -7.57%E -2.59%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -9.82%E -3.44%K -5.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-01 21:50
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 36.68%EV -7.51%E -2.98%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.66%EV -7.57%E -2.59%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.66%EV -7.60%E -2.60%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-01 21:20
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 36.68%EV -7.51%E -2.98%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.66%EV -7.57%E -2.59%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.66%EV -7.60%E -2.60%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-01 21:19
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -4.57%E -1.76%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -8.20%E -2.83%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -8.24%E -2.84%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-01 21:39
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.38%EV -10.08%E -4.11%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -8.20%E -2.83%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -6.65%E -2.26%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-01 14:10
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.24%E -3.30%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.20%E -2.83%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -11.40%E -4.07%K -6.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-01 21:19
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -8.24%E -3.30%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.20%E -2.83%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -11.40%E -4.07%K -6.33%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-01 21:20
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -10.08%E -4.11%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -8.20%E -2.83%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -9.82%E -3.44%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-01 21:20
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.36%EV -13.75%E -5.85%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.08%EV -8.20%E -2.83%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -6.65%E -2.26%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-01 20:45
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -8.24%E -3.30%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -8.84%E -3.07%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -5.07%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-01 21:50
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -4.57%E -1.76%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -8.84%E -3.07%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -11.40%E -4.07%K -6.33%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-01 21:50
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -4.57%E -1.76%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -8.84%E -3.07%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -11.40%E -4.07%K -6.33%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-01 21:50
SportsBet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -4.57%E -1.76%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.22%EV -9.15%E -3.19%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.22%EV -9.19%E -3.20%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-01 21:40
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -8.24%E -3.30%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -11.37%E -4.06%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.05%EV -11.40%E -4.07%K -6.33%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-01 21:40
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 37.04%EV -12.65%E -5.31%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.48%EV -11.37%E -4.06%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.48%EV -11.40%E -4.07%K -6.33%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-01 21:20
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -11.91%E -4.96%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -12.95%E -4.71%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -5.07%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-01 21:28
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.77%EV -11.91%E -4.96%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.02%EV -17.70%E -6.81%K -11.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.22%EV -12.98%E -4.72%K -7.42%G +0.000%16.5%2026-04-01 21:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%1.0%2026-04-01 21:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%1.0%2026-04-01 21:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%1.0%2026-04-01 21:35
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%1.0%2026-04-01 21:35
Smarkets2.72I 36.76%NM 36.11%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.20%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.68%1.8%2026-04-01 21:50