Language:English
Londrina v Fortaleza
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Londrina (Local)
Prediction 36.21%2.76fair odd
EV -0.411%
Edge -0.149%
Kelly -0.235%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.83%36.01%36.25%37.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.592.602.7541.67%38.62%38.46%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Fortaleza (Visit)
Prediction 33.06%3.02fair odd
EV -2.46%
Edge -0.835%
Kelly -1.26%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.34%33.25%32.98%35.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.732.722.9539.22%36.57%36.76%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.72%3.25fair odd
EV -4.15%
Edge -1.33%
Kelly -1.96%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.90%30.73%30.77%31.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.952.953.1235.71%33.86%33.90%32.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Londrina (Local): 36.21%; Fortaleza (Visit): 33.06%; Draw: 30.72%. For Londrina (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.76. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.75, with an expected value of -0.411%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -0.411%E -0.149%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -10.73%E -3.97%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -9.37%E -3.18%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-20 21:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -0.411%E -0.149%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -10.73%E -3.97%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -9.37%E -3.18%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-20 21:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -0.411%E -0.149%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -10.73%E -3.97%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -9.37%E -3.18%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-20 21:13 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -0.411%E -0.149%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -10.73%E -3.97%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -9.37%E -3.18%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-20 21:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -0.411%E -0.149%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -10.73%E -3.97%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -9.37%E -3.18%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-20 21:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -0.411%E -0.149%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -10.73%E -3.97%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -9.37%E -3.18%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-20 21:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -0.411%E -0.149%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -10.73%E -3.97%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -9.37%E -3.18%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-20 21:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.38%EV -1.50%E -0.551%K -0.871%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.13%EV -9.41%E -3.43%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.49%EV -8.76%E -2.95%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-20 21:28 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -2.22%E -0.823%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.46%EV -12.38%E -4.67%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.71%EV -11.52%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-20 21:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.04%EV -4.03%E -1.52%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.38%EV -15.69%E -6.15%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.58%EV -9.37%E -3.18%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-20 21:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.48%EV -4.39%E -1.66%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.46%E -0.835%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.87%EV -4.15%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-20 21:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.08%EV -4.76%E -1.81%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.47%EV -14.03%E -5.40%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.45%EV -12.44%E -4.37%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-20 21:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.08%EV -4.76%E -1.81%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.47%EV -14.03%E -5.40%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.45%EV -12.44%E -4.37%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-20 21:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.08%EV -4.76%E -1.81%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.47%EV -14.03%E -5.40%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.45%EV -12.44%E -4.37%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-20 21:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%EV -5.84%E -2.25%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.78%EV -4.12%E -1.42%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -4.76%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 21:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -5.84%E -2.25%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.07%EV -6.10%E -2.15%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -6.30%E -2.06%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-20 21:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -5.84%E -2.25%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.07%EV -6.10%E -2.15%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -6.30%E -2.06%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-20 21:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -5.84%E -2.25%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -5.77%E -2.02%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.83%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-20 21:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -5.84%E -2.25%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -5.77%E -2.02%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.83%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-20 21:18 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -5.84%E -2.25%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -7.42%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-20 21:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -5.84%E -2.25%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -7.42%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-20 21:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -5.84%E -2.25%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -7.42%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-20 21:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -5.84%E -2.25%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -7.42%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-20 21:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -5.84%E -2.25%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -14.03%E -5.40%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.71%EV -13.98%E -4.99%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-20 21:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -5.84%E -2.25%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -14.03%E -5.40%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.71%EV -13.98%E -4.99%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-20 21:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 35.95%EV -7.29%E -2.85%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 32.75%EV -7.09%E -2.52%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.30%EV -9.68%E -3.29%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-20 21:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -7.65%E -3.00%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -7.42%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -4.76%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-20 21:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.43%EV -7.65%E -3.00%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.60%EV -5.77%E -2.02%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.83%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-20 21:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -7.65%E -3.00%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -9.07%E -3.30%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -7.83%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-20 21:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%EV -7.65%E -3.00%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.80%EV -10.73%E -3.97%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -7.83%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-20 21:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.31%EV -8.74%E -3.47%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.68%EV -7.42%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.02%EV -9.37%E -3.18%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-20 21:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.31%EV -8.74%E -3.47%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.68%EV -7.42%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.02%EV -9.37%E -3.18%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-20 21:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -9.46%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -4.78%E -1.66%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.76%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-20 21:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -9.46%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -5.77%E -2.02%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -7.83%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-20 21:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -9.46%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -5.77%E -2.02%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -7.83%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-20 21:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -9.46%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -7.42%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.83%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-20 21:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.46%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -7.42%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-20 21:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.46%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -7.42%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -11.52%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-20 21:19 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -9.46%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -13.37%E -5.10%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -7.83%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-20 21:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -9.46%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -13.37%E -5.10%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -7.83%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-20 21:28 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.55%EV -9.46%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.80%EV -13.04%E -4.96%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-20 21:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.55%EV -9.46%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.80%EV -13.04%E -4.96%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-09-20 21:03 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.51%EV -9.46%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.88%EV -13.37%E -5.10%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.61%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-20 21:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.51%EV -9.46%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.88%EV -13.37%E -5.10%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.61%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-20 21:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -11.28%E -4.60%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -10.73%E -3.97%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -7.83%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-20 21:13 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.35%EV -13.09%E -5.45%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.56%EV -14.03%E -5.40%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.09%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-09-20 21:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.79% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59% | 0.5% | 2026-09-20 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.79% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59% | 0.5% | 2026-09-20 21:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.79% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59% | 0.5% | 2026-09-20 21:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.45% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.54% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.01% | 0.8% | 2026-09-20 21:19 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.68% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.05% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.27% | 1.5% | 2026-09-20 21:19 |