L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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Londrina v Fortaleza

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-20 21:29 UTC

Score final : Londrina 1–2 Fortaleza

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Londrina (Local)

Prévision 36.21%2.76cote équitable
EV -0.411%
Avantage -0.149%
Kelly -0.235%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.83%36.01%36.25%37.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.402.592.602.7541.67%38.62%38.46%36.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Fortaleza (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.06%3.02cote équitable
EV -2.46%
Avantage -0.835%
Kelly -1.26%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.34%33.25%32.98%35.38%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.552.732.722.9539.22%36.57%36.76%33.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 30.72%3.25cote équitable
EV -4.15%
Avantage -1.33%
Kelly -1.96%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.12

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.90%30.73%30.77%31.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.802.952.953.1235.71%33.86%33.90%32.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Londrina (Local) : 36.21% ; Fortaleza (Visiteur) : 33.06% ; Match nul : 30.72%. Pour Londrina (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.76. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.75, pour une espérance de -0.411% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -0.411%E -0.149%K -0.235%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -10.73%E -3.97%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -9.37%E -3.18%K -4.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 21:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -0.411%E -0.149%K -0.235%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -10.73%E -3.97%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -9.37%E -3.18%K -4.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 21:14
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -0.411%E -0.149%K -0.235%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -10.73%E -3.97%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -9.37%E -3.18%K -4.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 21:13
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -0.411%E -0.149%K -0.235%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -10.73%E -3.97%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -9.37%E -3.18%K -4.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 21:14
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -0.411%E -0.149%K -0.235%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -10.73%E -3.97%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -9.37%E -3.18%K -4.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 21:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -0.411%E -0.149%K -0.235%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -10.73%E -3.97%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -9.37%E -3.18%K -4.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 21:14
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -0.411%E -0.149%K -0.235%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -10.73%E -3.97%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -9.37%E -3.18%K -4.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 21:15
1xBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.38%EV -1.50%E -0.551%K -0.871%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.13%EV -9.41%E -3.43%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.49%EV -8.76%E -2.95%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 21:28
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -2.22%E -0.823%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.46%EV -12.38%E -4.67%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.71%EV -11.52%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-20 21:14
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.04%EV -4.03%E -1.52%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.38%EV -15.69%E -6.15%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.58%EV -9.37%E -3.18%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-20 21:15
Pinnacle🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 36.48%EV -4.39%E -1.66%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.46%E -0.835%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.87%EV -4.15%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-20 21:24
LiveScore Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.08%EV -4.76%E -1.81%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.47%EV -14.03%E -5.40%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.45%EV -12.44%E -4.37%K -6.73%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-20 21:19
Grosvenor🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.08%EV -4.76%E -1.81%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.47%EV -14.03%E -5.40%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.45%EV -12.44%E -4.37%K -6.73%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-20 21:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.08%EV -4.76%E -1.81%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.47%EV -14.03%E -5.40%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.45%EV -12.44%E -4.37%K -6.73%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-20 21:19
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%EV -5.84%E -2.25%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.78%EV -4.12%E -1.42%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -4.76%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-20 21:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -5.84%E -2.25%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.07%EV -6.10%E -2.15%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -6.30%E -2.06%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-20 21:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -5.84%E -2.25%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.07%EV -6.10%E -2.15%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.80%EV -6.30%E -2.06%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-20 21:24
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -5.84%E -2.25%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -5.77%E -2.02%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.83%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 21:19
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.98%EV -5.84%E -2.25%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.83%EV -5.77%E -2.02%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.83%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 21:18
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -5.84%E -2.25%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -7.42%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 21:24
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -5.84%E -2.25%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -7.42%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 21:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -5.84%E -2.25%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -7.42%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 21:24
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -5.84%E -2.25%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -7.42%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 21:24
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -5.84%E -2.25%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -14.03%E -5.40%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.71%EV -13.98%E -4.99%K -7.77%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-20 21:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -5.84%E -2.25%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -14.03%E -5.40%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.71%EV -13.98%E -4.99%K -7.77%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-20 21:19
Marathon Bet🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 35.95%EV -7.29%E -2.85%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 32.75%EV -7.09%E -2.52%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.30%EV -9.68%E -3.29%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 21:19
Coolbet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -7.65%E -3.00%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -7.42%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -4.76%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 21:15
BetUS🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.43%EV -7.65%E -3.00%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.60%EV -5.77%E -2.02%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.83%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-20 21:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -7.65%E -3.00%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -9.07%E -3.30%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -7.83%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-20 21:15
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.79%EV -7.65%E -3.00%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.80%EV -10.73%E -3.97%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.42%EV -7.83%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-20 21:04
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.31%EV -8.74%E -3.47%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.68%EV -7.42%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.02%EV -9.37%E -3.18%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-20 21:19
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 36.31%EV -8.74%E -3.47%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.68%EV -7.42%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.02%EV -9.37%E -3.18%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-20 21:14
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -9.46%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -4.78%E -1.66%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -4.76%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 21:24
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -9.46%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -5.77%E -2.02%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -7.83%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 21:14
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -9.46%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -5.77%E -2.02%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -7.83%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 21:25
Codere (IT)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -9.46%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -7.42%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.83%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-20 21:14
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.46%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -7.42%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-20 21:24
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.46%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -7.42%E -2.65%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -11.52%E -4.00%K -6.13%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 21:19
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -9.46%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -13.37%E -5.10%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -7.83%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-20 21:14
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -9.46%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -13.37%E -5.10%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -7.83%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-20 21:28
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.55%EV -9.46%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.80%EV -13.04%E -4.96%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-20 21:04
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.55%EV -9.46%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.80%EV -13.04%E -4.96%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.65%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-20 21:03
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.51%EV -9.46%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.88%EV -13.37%E -5.10%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.61%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-20 21:05
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.51%EV -9.46%E -3.79%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.88%EV -13.37%E -5.10%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.61%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-20 21:05
betano_uk🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -11.28%E -4.60%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -10.73%E -3.97%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -7.83%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-20 21:13
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.35%EV -13.09%E -5.45%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.56%EV -14.03%E -5.40%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.09%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%14.6%2026-09-20 21:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.79%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59%0.5%2026-09-20 21:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.79%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59%0.5%2026-09-20 21:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.79%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59%0.5%2026-09-20 21:25
Matchbook◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.45%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.54%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.01%0.8%2026-09-20 21:19
Smarkets◎2.76I 36.23%NM 35.68%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.05%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.27%1.5%2026-09-20 21:19