La scuola delle quote

Londrina v Avai

Inizio: 2026-06-16 00:00 UTC

Finale: Londrina 3–2 Avai

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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40 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Londrina (Casa)

Previsione 39.24%2.55quota equa
EV -4.26%
Vantaggio -1.74%
Kelly -2.96%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.44

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.25%39.34%39.15%41.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.182.312.302.4445.87%43.20%43.48%40.98%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Avai (Trasferta)

Previsione 30.13%3.32quota equa
EV -1.46%
Vantaggio -0.446%
Kelly -0.643%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.27

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.25%30.09%30.11%30.98%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.043.053.2734.72%32.89%32.79%30.58%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 30.63%3.27quota equa
EV -2.00%
Vantaggio -0.624%
Kelly -0.908%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.07%30.58%30.74%31.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.703.033.003.2037.04%33.01%33.33%31.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (40 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.44I 40.98%NM 39.47%EV -4.26%E -1.74%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.46%EV -1.46%E -0.446%K -0.643%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.07%EV -5.06%E -1.63%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-15 23:50
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -5.83%E -2.43%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -5.07%E -1.61%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -6.59%E -2.16%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-15 23:40
BetOnline.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.83%E -2.43%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -3.57%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-15 23:40
LowVig.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.83%E -2.43%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -3.57%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-15 23:39
BetUS2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.83%E -2.43%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -3.57%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-15 23:40
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.83%E -2.43%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -9.60%E -3.20%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-15 18:20
1xBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.26%EV -6.61%E -2.78%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.38%EV -4.17%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.36%EV -8.74%E -2.93%K -4.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-15 23:49
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -6.61%E -2.78%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -6.58%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-15 23:39
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 38.77%EV -6.61%E -2.78%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -8.09%E -2.65%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.97%EV -8.74%E -2.93%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-15 23:40
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.77%EV -6.61%E -2.78%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -8.09%E -2.65%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.97%EV -8.74%E -2.93%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-15 23:40
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -6.61%E -2.78%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -9.60%E -3.20%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -11.19%E -3.86%K -5.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-15 23:39
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -6.61%E -2.78%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -9.60%E -3.20%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -11.19%E -3.86%K -5.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-15 23:39
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -6.61%E -2.78%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -9.60%E -3.20%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -11.19%E -3.86%K -5.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-15 23:40
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -6.61%E -2.78%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -9.60%E -3.20%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -11.19%E -3.86%K -5.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-15 23:39
Marathon Bet2.36I 42.37%NM 39.27%EV -7.39%E -3.13%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.52%EV -5.38%E -1.71%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.21%EV -9.04%E -3.04%K -4.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-15 23:50
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.79%E -3.31%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -6.58%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -5.06%E -1.63%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-15 23:49
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -7.79%E -3.31%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -9.60%E -3.20%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -5.06%E -1.63%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-15 23:50
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 39.22%EV -7.79%E -3.31%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.54%EV -5.98%E -1.92%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -9.65%E -3.27%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-15 23:39
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -9.75%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -8.09%E -2.65%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -2.00%E -0.624%K -0.908%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-15 23:49
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -9.75%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -8.09%E -2.65%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -2.00%E -0.624%K -0.908%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-15 23:49
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -9.75%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -8.09%E -2.65%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -2.00%E -0.624%K -0.908%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-15 23:49
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -9.75%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -8.09%E -2.65%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -2.00%E -0.624%K -0.908%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-15 23:50
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -9.75%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -8.09%E -2.65%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -2.00%E -0.624%K -0.908%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-15 23:50
Svenska Spel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -9.75%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -8.09%E -2.65%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -2.00%E -0.624%K -0.908%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-15 23:50
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -9.75%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -8.09%E -2.65%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -2.00%E -0.624%K -0.908%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-15 23:50
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.75%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.60%E -3.20%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -5.06%E -1.63%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-15 23:50
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.75%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.60%E -3.20%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -5.06%E -1.63%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-15 23:49
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.75%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.60%E -3.20%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-15 23:50
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -9.75%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -12.61%E -4.35%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-15 23:39
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 39.87%EV -10.53%E -4.62%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.81%EV -11.10%E -3.76%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -5.06%E -1.63%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-15 23:30
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -11.71%E -5.20%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -5.07%E -1.61%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -11.19%E -3.86%K -5.89%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-15 23:50
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -11.71%E -5.20%K -9.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.60%E -3.20%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-15 23:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.25%EV -11.71%E -5.20%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -13.21%E -4.59%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -17.31%E -6.41%K -10.18%G +0.000%16.2%2026-06-15 23:49
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 40.21%EV -12.50%E -5.60%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.39%EV -11.10%E -3.76%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.40%EV -6.59%E -2.16%K -3.22%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-15 23:29
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -13.67%E -6.22%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -3.57%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -9.65%E -3.27%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-15 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.53%EV -13.67%E -6.22%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.23%EV -11.10%E -3.76%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -6.59%E -2.16%K -3.22%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-15 23:50
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -13.67%E -6.22%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -12.61%E -4.35%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%13.3%2026-06-15 23:30
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87%NM 40.26%EV -14.46%E -6.63%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.48%EV -13.21%E -4.59%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.26%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-15 23:50
LiveScore Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 40.26%EV -14.46%E -6.63%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.48%EV -13.21%E -4.59%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.26%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-15 23:50
Virgin Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 40.26%EV -14.46%E -6.63%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.48%EV -13.21%E -4.59%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.26%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000%13.9%2026-06-15 23:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets2.48I 40.32%NM 39.93%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%1.0%2026-06-15 23:50
Matchbook2.48I 40.32%NM 39.93%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%1.0%2026-06-15 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.93%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%1.0%2026-06-15 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.93%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%1.0%2026-06-15 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 39.93%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%1.0%2026-06-15 23:40