La escuela de los momiosLondrina v Avai
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Londrina (Local)
Predicción 39.24%2.55momio equitativo
EV -4.26%
Ventaja -1.74%
Kelly -2.96%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.44
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.25%39.34%39.15%41.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.182.312.302.4445.87%43.20%43.48%40.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Avai (Visitante)
Predicción 30.13%3.32momio equitativo
EV -1.46%
Ventaja -0.446%
Kelly -0.643%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.27
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.25%30.09%30.11%30.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.043.053.2734.72%32.89%32.79%30.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.63%3.27momio equitativo
EV -2.00%
Ventaja -0.624%
Kelly -0.908%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.07%30.58%30.74%31.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.033.003.2037.04%33.01%33.33%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (40 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.47%EV -4.26%E -1.74%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.46%EV -1.46%E -0.446%K -0.643%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.07%EV -5.06%E -1.63%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-15 23:50 |
| DraftKings | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -5.83%E -2.43%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -5.07%E -1.61%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -6.59%E -2.16%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-15 23:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.83%E -2.43%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -3.57%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-15 23:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.83%E -2.43%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -3.57%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-15 23:39 |
| BetUS | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -5.83%E -2.43%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -3.57%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-15 23:40 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -5.83%E -2.43%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -9.60%E -3.20%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-15 18:20 |
| 1xBet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.26%EV -6.61%E -2.78%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.38%EV -4.17%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.36%EV -8.74%E -2.93%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-15 23:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -6.61%E -2.78%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -6.58%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-15 23:39 |
| Betsson | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.77%EV -6.61%E -2.78%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -8.09%E -2.65%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.97%EV -8.74%E -2.93%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-15 23:40 |
| NordicBet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.77%EV -6.61%E -2.78%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.26%EV -8.09%E -2.65%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.97%EV -8.74%E -2.93%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-15 23:40 |
| 888sport | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -6.61%E -2.78%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -9.60%E -3.20%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -11.19%E -3.86%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-15 23:39 |
| William Hill | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -6.61%E -2.78%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -9.60%E -3.20%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -11.19%E -3.86%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-15 23:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -6.61%E -2.78%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -9.60%E -3.20%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -11.19%E -3.86%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-15 23:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -6.61%E -2.78%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -9.60%E -3.20%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -11.19%E -3.86%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-15 23:39 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.27%EV -7.39%E -3.13%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.52%EV -5.38%E -1.71%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.21%EV -9.04%E -3.04%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-15 23:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.79%E -3.31%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -6.58%E -2.12%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -5.06%E -1.63%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-15 23:49 |
| FanDuel | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -7.79%E -3.31%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -9.60%E -3.20%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -5.06%E -1.63%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-15 23:50 |
| Bovada | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.22%EV -7.79%E -3.31%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.54%EV -5.98%E -1.92%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -9.65%E -3.27%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-15 23:39 |
| Unibet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -9.75%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -8.09%E -2.65%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -2.00%E -0.624%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-15 23:49 |
| Casumo | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -9.75%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -8.09%E -2.65%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -2.00%E -0.624%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-15 23:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -9.75%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -8.09%E -2.65%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -2.00%E -0.624%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-15 23:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -9.75%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -8.09%E -2.65%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -2.00%E -0.624%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-15 23:50 |
| betPARX | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -9.75%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -8.09%E -2.65%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -2.00%E -0.624%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-15 23:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -9.75%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -8.09%E -2.65%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -2.00%E -0.624%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-15 23:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -9.75%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -8.09%E -2.65%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -2.00%E -0.624%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-15 23:50 |
| SportsBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.75%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.60%E -3.20%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -5.06%E -1.63%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-15 23:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.75%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.60%E -3.20%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -5.06%E -1.63%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-15 23:49 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.75%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.60%E -3.20%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-15 23:50 |
| Bet Victor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -9.75%E -4.24%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -12.61%E -4.35%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-15 23:39 |
| BetRivers | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.87%EV -10.53%E -4.62%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.81%EV -11.10%E -3.76%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -5.06%E -1.63%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-15 23:30 |
| PlayUp | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -11.71%E -5.20%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -5.07%E -1.61%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -11.19%E -3.86%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-06-15 23:50 |
| betfred_uk | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -11.71%E -5.20%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.60%E -3.20%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-06-15 23:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.25%EV -11.71%E -5.20%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -13.21%E -4.59%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -17.31%E -6.41%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-06-15 23:49 |
| Grosvenor | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.21%EV -12.50%E -5.60%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.39%EV -11.10%E -3.76%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.40%EV -6.59%E -2.16%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-15 23:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.10%EV -13.67%E -6.22%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -3.57%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -9.65%E -3.27%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-06-15 23:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.53%EV -13.67%E -6.22%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.23%EV -11.10%E -3.76%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.24%EV -6.59%E -2.16%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-06-15 23:50 |
| TABtouch | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -13.67%E -6.22%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.44%EV -12.61%E -4.35%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.43%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-06-15 23:30 |
| LeoVegas | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.26%EV -14.46%E -6.63%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.48%EV -13.21%E -4.59%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.26%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-06-15 23:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.26%EV -14.46%E -6.63%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.48%EV -13.21%E -4.59%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.26%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-06-15 23:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.26%EV -14.46%E -6.63%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.48%EV -13.21%E -4.59%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.26%EV -8.12%E -2.71%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-06-15 23:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.93% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95% | 1.0% | 2026-06-15 23:50 |
| Matchbook | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.93% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95% | 1.0% | 2026-06-15 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.93% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95% | 1.0% | 2026-06-15 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.93% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95% | 1.0% | 2026-06-15 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.93% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.13% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95% | 1.0% | 2026-06-15 23:40 |