Language:English
Londrina v Atletico Goianiense
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Londrina (Local)
Prediction 32.35%3.09fair odd
EV -1.98%
Edge -0.653%
Kelly -0.975%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.03
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.56%32.35%32.29%33.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.822.803.0337.74%35.52%35.71%33.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Atletico Goianiense (Visit)
Prediction 36.40%2.75fair odd
EV -1.36%
Edge -0.502%
Kelly -0.795%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.11%36.36%36.52%38.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.522.502.7142.55%39.63%40.00%36.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 31.25%3.20fair odd
EV -3.12%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -1.49%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.09%31.30%31.19%32.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.952.923.1035.71%33.91%34.25%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Londrina (Local): 32.35%; Atletico Goianiense (Visit): 36.40%; Draw: 31.25%. For Atletico Goianiense (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.75. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.71, with an expected value of -1.36%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.03I 33.00%NM 30.88%EV -1.98%E -0.653%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.73%EV -9.73%E -3.92%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.40%EV -6.87%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-18 22:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.08%EV -2.95%E -0.983%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.51%EV -1.36%E -0.502%K -0.795%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.41%EV -7.18%E -2.42%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-18 22:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -4.57%E -1.55%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -3.54%E -1.34%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -7.81%E -2.65%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 22:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -4.57%E -1.55%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.36%EV -14.46%E -6.15%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.08%EV -9.37%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-18 22:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.19%EV -6.19%E -2.13%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -4.64%E -1.77%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.19%EV -9.37%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 20:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -6.19%E -2.13%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -4.68%E -1.54%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-18 22:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -6.19%E -2.13%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -6.25%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-18 22:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -6.83%E -2.37%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.11%EV -2.45%E -0.915%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.22%EV -8.75%E -3.00%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-18 22:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -6.83%E -2.37%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.11%EV -2.45%E -0.915%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.22%EV -8.75%E -3.00%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-18 22:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.37%EV -6.83%E -2.37%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -7.18%E -2.82%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -6.25%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-18 22:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.37%EV -6.83%E -2.37%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -7.18%E -2.82%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -6.25%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-18 22:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -6.83%E -2.37%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -6.25%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-18 22:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.07%EV -6.83%E -2.37%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.52%EV -5.36%E -2.06%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.41%EV -10.93%E -3.84%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-18 22:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -6.83%E -2.37%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -5.36%E -2.06%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -12.50%E -4.46%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-18 22:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -6.83%E -2.37%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -5.36%E -2.06%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -12.50%E -4.46%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-18 22:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -6.83%E -2.37%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -5.36%E -2.06%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -12.50%E -4.46%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-18 22:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -6.83%E -2.37%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -5.36%E -2.06%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -12.50%E -4.46%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-18 22:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -7.80%E -2.74%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -7.18%E -2.82%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -3.12%E -1.01%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-18 22:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -7.80%E -2.74%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -7.81%E -2.65%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-18 22:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -7.80%E -2.74%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.40%EV -8.28%E -3.28%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.41%EV -8.75%E -3.00%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-18 22:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -7.80%E -2.74%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.40%EV -8.28%E -3.28%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.41%EV -8.75%E -3.00%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-18 22:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -9.42%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -7.18%E -2.82%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -3.12%E -1.01%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-18 22:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -9.42%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -7.18%E -2.82%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -3.12%E -1.01%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-18 22:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -9.42%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -7.18%E -2.82%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -3.12%E -1.01%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-18 22:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -9.42%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -7.18%E -2.82%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -3.12%E -1.01%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-18 22:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -9.42%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -7.18%E -2.82%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -3.12%E -1.01%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-18 22:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -9.42%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -7.18%E -2.82%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -3.12%E -1.01%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-18 22:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -9.42%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -7.18%E -2.82%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -3.12%E -1.01%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-18 22:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -9.42%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -7.18%E -2.82%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -7.81%E -2.65%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-18 22:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -9.42%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.25%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-18 22:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -9.42%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.37%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-18 22:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -9.42%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -10.82%E -4.42%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -9.37%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-18 22:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -9.42%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -10.82%E -4.42%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -9.37%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-18 22:18 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -9.42%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -10.82%E -4.42%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -9.37%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-18 22:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.05%EV -11.04%E -4.01%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.65%EV -9.73%E -3.92%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -6.25%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-18 21:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -11.04%E -4.01%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -10.00%E -3.47%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-18 22:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -12.66%E -4.69%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -6.25%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-18 22:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -12.66%E -4.69%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.37%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-18 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -12.66%E -4.69%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.37%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-18 21:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -12.66%E -4.69%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.37%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-18 22:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -12.66%E -4.69%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.37%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-18 22:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -12.66%E -4.69%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.52%EV -10.82%E -4.42%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.33%EV -7.81%E -2.65%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-18 22:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.04%EV -12.66%E -4.69%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.71%EV -11.55%E -4.75%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.24%EV -7.81%E -2.65%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-18 21:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.87%EV -12.66%E -4.69%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.52%EV -11.55%E -4.75%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -9.37%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-18 22:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.37%EV -12.66%E -4.69%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.42%EV -12.64%E -5.27%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.21%EV -12.50%E -4.46%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-18 20:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.07%EV -14.27%E -5.39%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.51%EV -12.64%E -5.27%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.42%EV -10.00%E -3.47%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-18 22:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.07%EV -14.27%E -5.39%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.51%EV -12.64%E -5.27%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.42%EV -10.00%E -3.47%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-18 22:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.7% | 2026-08-18 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.7% | 2026-08-18 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.7% | 2026-08-18 22:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.85% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.78% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37% | 1.3% | 2026-08-18 22:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.29% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.94% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.77% | 1.5% | 2026-08-18 22:25 |