Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Londrina v Atletico Goianiense

Início: 2026-08-18 22:30 UTC

Final: Londrina 0–0 Atletico Goianiense

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Londrina (Local)

Previsão 32.35%3.09odd justa
EV -1.98%
Vantagem -0.653%
Kelly -0.975%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.03

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.56%32.35%32.29%33.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.652.822.803.0337.74%35.52%35.71%33.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Atletico Goianiense (Visitante)

Previsão 36.40%2.75odd justa
EV -1.36%
Vantagem -0.502%
Kelly -0.795%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.71

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.11%36.36%36.52%38.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.352.522.502.7142.55%39.63%40.00%36.90%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 31.25%3.20odd justa
EV -3.12%
Vantagem -1.01%
Kelly -1.49%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.09%31.30%31.19%32.80%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.802.952.923.1035.71%33.91%34.25%32.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Londrina (Local): 32.35%; Atletico Goianiense (Visitante): 36.40%; Empate: 31.25%. Para Atletico Goianiense (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.75. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.71, com valor esperado de -1.36%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯3.03I 33.00%NM 30.88%EV -1.98%E -0.653%K -0.975%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.73%EV -9.73%E -3.92%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.40%EV -6.87%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-18 22:20
Pinnacle🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 32.08%EV -2.95%E -0.983%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.51%EV -1.36%E -0.502%K -0.795%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.41%EV -7.18%E -2.42%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-18 22:20
DraftKings🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -4.57%E -1.55%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -3.54%E -1.34%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -7.81%E -2.65%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-18 22:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -4.57%E -1.55%K -2.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.36%EV -14.46%E -6.15%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.08%EV -9.37%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-18 22:20
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.19%EV -6.19%E -2.13%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -4.64%E -1.77%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.19%EV -9.37%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-18 20:10
SportsBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -6.19%E -2.13%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -4.68%E -1.54%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-18 22:20
FanDuel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -6.19%E -2.13%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -6.25%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-18 22:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -6.83%E -2.37%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.11%EV -2.45%E -0.915%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.22%EV -8.75%E -3.00%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-18 22:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -6.83%E -2.37%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.11%EV -2.45%E -0.915%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.22%EV -8.75%E -3.00%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-18 22:10
Unibet (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.37%EV -6.83%E -2.37%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -7.18%E -2.82%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -6.25%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-18 22:10
BetUS🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.37%EV -6.83%E -2.37%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -7.18%E -2.82%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -6.25%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-18 22:15
LeoVegas🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -6.83%E -2.37%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -6.25%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-18 22:10
Bovada🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.07%EV -6.83%E -2.37%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.52%EV -5.36%E -2.06%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.41%EV -10.93%E -3.84%K -5.91%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-18 22:25
888sport🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -6.83%E -2.37%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -5.36%E -2.06%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -12.50%E -4.46%K -6.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-18 22:00
William Hill🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -6.83%E -2.37%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -5.36%E -2.06%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -12.50%E -4.46%K -6.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-18 22:04
888sport (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -6.83%E -2.37%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -5.36%E -2.06%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -12.50%E -4.46%K -6.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-18 22:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -6.83%E -2.37%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -5.36%E -2.06%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -12.50%E -4.46%K -6.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-18 22:00
Coolbet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -7.80%E -2.74%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -7.18%E -2.82%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -3.12%E -1.01%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-18 22:19
Codere (IT)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -7.80%E -2.74%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -7.81%E -2.65%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-18 22:10
NordicBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -7.80%E -2.74%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.40%EV -8.28%E -3.28%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.41%EV -8.75%E -3.00%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-18 22:10
Betsson🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -7.80%E -2.74%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.40%EV -8.28%E -3.28%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.41%EV -8.75%E -3.00%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-18 22:09
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -9.42%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -7.18%E -2.82%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -3.12%E -1.01%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-18 22:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -9.42%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -7.18%E -2.82%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -3.12%E -1.01%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-18 22:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -9.42%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -7.18%E -2.82%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -3.12%E -1.01%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-18 22:10
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -9.42%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -7.18%E -2.82%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -3.12%E -1.01%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-18 22:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -9.42%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -7.18%E -2.82%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -3.12%E -1.01%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-18 22:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -9.42%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -7.18%E -2.82%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -3.12%E -1.01%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-18 22:10
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -9.42%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -7.18%E -2.82%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -3.12%E -1.01%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-18 22:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -9.42%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -7.18%E -2.82%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -7.81%E -2.65%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-18 22:20
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -9.42%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.25%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-18 22:04
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -9.42%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.37%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-18 22:20
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -9.42%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -10.82%E -4.42%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -9.37%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-18 22:20
betano_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -9.42%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -10.82%E -4.42%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -9.37%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-18 22:18
Bet Victor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -9.42%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -10.82%E -4.42%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.06%EV -9.37%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-18 22:20
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.05%EV -11.04%E -4.01%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.65%EV -9.73%E -3.92%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -6.25%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-18 21:44
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -11.04%E -4.01%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -10.00%E -3.47%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-18 22:19
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -12.66%E -4.69%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -6.25%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-18 22:00
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -12.66%E -4.69%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.37%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-18 22:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -12.66%E -4.69%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.37%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-18 21:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -12.66%E -4.69%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.37%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-18 22:00
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -12.66%E -4.69%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -9.00%E -3.60%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.37%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-18 22:00
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -12.66%E -4.69%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.52%EV -10.82%E -4.42%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.33%EV -7.81%E -2.65%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-18 22:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.04%EV -12.66%E -4.69%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.71%EV -11.55%E -4.75%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.24%EV -7.81%E -2.65%K -4.00%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-18 21:40
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.87%EV -12.66%E -4.69%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.52%EV -11.55%E -4.75%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -9.37%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-18 22:10
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.37%EV -12.66%E -4.69%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.42%EV -12.64%E -5.27%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.21%EV -12.50%E -4.46%K -6.94%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-18 20:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.07%EV -14.27%E -5.39%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.51%EV -12.64%E -5.27%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.42%EV -10.00%E -3.47%K -5.32%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-18 22:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.07%EV -14.27%E -5.39%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.51%EV -12.64%E -5.27%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.42%EV -10.00%E -3.47%K -5.32%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-18 22:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.7%2026-08-18 22:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.7%2026-08-18 22:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.7%2026-08-18 22:20
Matchbook◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.85%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.78%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%1.3%2026-08-18 22:25
Smarkets◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.29%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.94%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.77%1.5%2026-08-18 22:25