A Escola das Odds

Londrina v Athletic Club (MG)

Início: 2026-06-20 14:02 UTC

Final: Londrina 2–0 Athletic Club (MG)

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

38 casas de apostas (12 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Londrina (Local)

Previsão 38.87%2.57odd justa
EV -2.82%
Vantagem -1.13%
Kelly -1.88%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.36%38.79%38.92%40.16%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.252.362.382.5044.44%42.29%42.02%40.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Athletic Club (MG) (Visitante)

Previsão 29.96%3.34odd justa
EV -1.14%
Vantagem -0.346%
Kelly -0.496%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.64%30.12%29.82%32.31%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.853.073.103.3035.09%32.61%32.26%30.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 31.17%3.21odd justa
EV -3.37%
Vantagem -1.09%
Kelly -1.60%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.89%31.09%31.26%34.28%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.502.932.943.1040.00%34.11%34.01%32.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (38 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -2.82%E -1.13%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -13.12%E -4.53%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -3.37%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-20 13:58
Pinnacle2.46I 40.65%NM 39.16%EV -4.38%E -1.78%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.37%EV -1.74%E -0.531%K -0.763%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.48%EV -4.62%E -1.51%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-20 13:59
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -4.76%E -1.94%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -14.62%E -5.13%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.49%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-20 13:59
LowVig.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 38.57%EV -5.15%E -2.11%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -4.14%E -1.29%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.01%EV -8.36%E -2.84%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-20 14:00
BetOnline.ag2.44I 40.98%NM 38.57%EV -5.15%E -2.11%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -4.14%E -1.29%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.01%EV -8.36%E -2.84%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-20 13:59
BetUS2.44I 40.98%NM 38.57%EV -5.15%E -2.11%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -4.14%E -1.29%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.01%EV -8.36%E -2.84%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-20 13:59
1xBet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.47%EV -5.54%E -2.28%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.26%EV -7.43%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.27%EV -6.80%E -2.27%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-20 13:59
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.71%E -2.80%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -8.63%E -2.83%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -4.93%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-20 13:59
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.71%E -2.80%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -8.63%E -2.83%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -4.93%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-20 13:58
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.71%E -2.80%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.13%E -2.30%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -6.49%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-20 13:59
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.71%E -2.80%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.13%E -2.30%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -6.49%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-20 14:00
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.71%E -2.80%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.13%E -2.30%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -6.49%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-20 13:59
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.71%E -2.80%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -10.13%E -3.38%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -3.37%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-20 14:00
ATG (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.71%E -2.80%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.13%E -2.30%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -6.49%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-20 13:59
Svenska Spel2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.71%E -2.80%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.13%E -2.30%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -6.49%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-20 13:59
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 38.97%EV -7.49%E -3.15%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -7.13%E -2.30%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.12%EV -7.11%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-20 13:59
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.97%EV -7.49%E -3.15%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -7.13%E -2.30%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.12%EV -7.11%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-20 13:59
Bovada2.38I 42.02%NM 38.83%EV -7.49%E -3.15%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.62%EV -6.53%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.54%EV -8.67%E -2.96%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-20 13:58
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -7.49%E -3.15%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -7.13%E -2.30%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -9.60%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-20 13:59
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -7.49%E -3.15%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -7.13%E -2.30%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -9.60%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-20 13:59
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -7.49%E -3.15%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -7.13%E -2.30%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -9.60%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-20 13:59
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -7.49%E -3.15%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -7.13%E -2.30%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -9.60%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-20 13:59
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -7.49%E -3.15%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -7.13%E -2.30%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -9.60%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-20 13:59
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -8.65%E -3.68%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -4.14%E -1.29%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -6.49%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-20 14:00
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -8.65%E -3.68%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.13%E -3.38%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -9.60%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-20 13:59
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.36%EV -8.65%E -3.68%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.08%EV -13.12%E -4.53%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -8.04%E -2.73%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-20 13:59
Grosvenor2.32I 43.10%NM 38.58%EV -9.82%E -4.23%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.34%EV -11.63%E -3.94%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.08%EV -10.23%E -3.55%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-20 13:59
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -10.60%E -4.61%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -1.14%E -0.346%K -0.496%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -9.60%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-20 14:00
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -10.60%E -4.61%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -1.14%E -0.346%K -0.496%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.08%EV -10.54%E -3.67%K -5.64%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-20 13:59
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -10.60%E -4.61%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -13.72%E -4.77%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -6.49%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-20 13:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.60%E -4.61%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.24%EV -11.63%E -3.94%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.97%EV -10.23%E -3.55%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-20 13:59
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 38.46%EV -10.60%E -4.61%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -13.12%E -4.53%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.04%EV -11.16%E -3.92%K -6.03%G +0.000%13.0%2026-06-20 13:59
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 38.45%EV -11.37%E -4.99%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.23%EV -13.12%E -4.53%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.31%EV -12.72%E -4.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%14.1%2026-06-20 13:59
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 38.45%EV -11.37%E -4.99%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.23%EV -13.12%E -4.53%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.31%EV -12.72%E -4.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%14.1%2026-06-20 13:59
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 38.45%EV -11.37%E -4.99%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.23%EV -13.12%E -4.53%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.31%EV -12.72%E -4.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%14.1%2026-06-20 14:00
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -12.54%E -5.57%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -4.14%E -1.29%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -12.72%E -4.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-20 13:59
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -12.54%E -5.57%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -10.13%E -3.38%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -9.60%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000%12.3%2026-06-20 13:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.08%EV -12.54%E -5.57%K -10.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.64%EV -7.13%E -2.30%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.28%EV -22.07%E -8.83%K -14.71%G +0.000%16.7%2026-06-20 14:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.96%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.7%2026-06-20 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.96%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%0.7%2026-06-20 13:59
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 39.30%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22%1.8%2026-06-20 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.01%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.14%2.0%2026-06-20 14:00
Smarkets2.44I 40.98%NM 39.88%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.21%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.91%2.8%2026-06-20 14:00