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Londrina v Athletic Club (MG)
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Londrina (Local)
Predicción 38.87%2.57momio equitativo
EV -2.82%
Ventaja -1.13%
Kelly -1.88%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.36%38.79%38.92%40.16%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.362.382.5044.44%42.29%42.02%40.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Athletic Club (MG) (Visitante)
Predicción 29.96%3.34momio equitativo
EV -1.14%
Ventaja -0.346%
Kelly -0.496%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.64%30.12%29.82%32.31%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.853.073.103.3035.09%32.61%32.26%30.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 31.17%3.21momio equitativo
EV -3.37%
Ventaja -1.09%
Kelly -1.60%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.89%31.09%31.26%34.28%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.502.932.943.1040.00%34.11%34.01%32.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Londrina (Local): 38.87%; Athletic Club (MG) (Visitante): 29.96%; Empate: 31.17%. Para Athletic Club (MG) (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.34. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.30, con un valor esperado de -1.14%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -2.82%E -1.13%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -13.12%E -4.53%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -3.37%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-20 13:58 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.16%EV -4.38%E -1.78%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.37%EV -1.74%E -0.531%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.48%EV -4.62%E -1.51%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-20 13:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.36%EV -4.76%E -1.94%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.12%EV -14.62%E -5.13%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.49%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-20 13:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.57%EV -5.15%E -2.11%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -4.14%E -1.29%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.01%EV -8.36%E -2.84%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-20 14:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.57%EV -5.15%E -2.11%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -4.14%E -1.29%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.01%EV -8.36%E -2.84%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-20 13:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.57%EV -5.15%E -2.11%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -4.14%E -1.29%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.01%EV -8.36%E -2.84%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-20 13:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.47%EV -5.54%E -2.28%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.26%EV -7.43%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.27%EV -6.80%E -2.27%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-20 13:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.71%E -2.80%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -8.63%E -2.83%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -4.93%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-20 13:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.71%E -2.80%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -8.63%E -2.83%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -4.93%E -1.62%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-20 13:58 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.71%E -2.80%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.13%E -2.30%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -6.49%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-20 13:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.71%E -2.80%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.13%E -2.30%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -6.49%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-20 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.71%E -2.80%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.13%E -2.30%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -6.49%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-20 13:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.71%E -2.80%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -10.13%E -3.38%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -3.37%E -1.09%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-20 14:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.71%E -2.80%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.13%E -2.30%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -6.49%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-20 13:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -6.71%E -2.80%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.13%E -2.30%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -6.49%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-20 13:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.97%EV -7.49%E -3.15%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -7.13%E -2.30%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.12%EV -7.11%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-20 13:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.97%EV -7.49%E -3.15%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -7.13%E -2.30%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.12%EV -7.11%E -2.39%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-20 13:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.83%EV -7.49%E -3.15%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.62%EV -6.53%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.54%EV -8.67%E -2.96%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-20 13:58 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -7.49%E -3.15%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -7.13%E -2.30%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -9.60%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-20 13:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -7.49%E -3.15%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -7.13%E -2.30%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -9.60%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-20 13:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -7.49%E -3.15%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -7.13%E -2.30%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -9.60%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-20 13:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -7.49%E -3.15%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -7.13%E -2.30%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -9.60%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-20 13:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -7.49%E -3.15%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -7.13%E -2.30%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -9.60%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-20 13:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -8.65%E -3.68%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -4.14%E -1.29%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -6.49%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-20 14:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -8.65%E -3.68%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.13%E -3.38%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -9.60%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-06-20 13:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.36%EV -8.65%E -3.68%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.08%EV -13.12%E -4.53%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -8.04%E -2.73%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-06-20 13:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.58%EV -9.82%E -4.23%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.34%EV -11.63%E -3.94%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.08%EV -10.23%E -3.55%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-06-20 13:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -10.60%E -4.61%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -1.14%E -0.346%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -9.60%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-20 14:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -10.60%E -4.61%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -1.14%E -0.346%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.08%EV -10.54%E -3.67%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-20 13:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -10.60%E -4.61%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -13.72%E -4.77%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -6.49%E -2.16%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-06-20 13:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.60%E -4.61%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.24%EV -11.63%E -3.94%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.97%EV -10.23%E -3.55%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-06-20 13:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.46%EV -10.60%E -4.61%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -13.12%E -4.53%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.04%EV -11.16%E -3.92%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-06-20 13:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.45%EV -11.37%E -4.99%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.23%EV -13.12%E -4.53%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.31%EV -12.72%E -4.54%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-06-20 13:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.45%EV -11.37%E -4.99%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.23%EV -13.12%E -4.53%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.31%EV -12.72%E -4.54%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-06-20 13:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.45%EV -11.37%E -4.99%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.23%EV -13.12%E -4.53%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.31%EV -12.72%E -4.54%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-06-20 14:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -12.54%E -5.57%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -4.14%E -1.29%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -12.72%E -4.54%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-20 13:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -12.54%E -5.57%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -10.13%E -3.38%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -9.60%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-06-20 13:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.08%EV -12.54%E -5.57%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.64%EV -7.13%E -2.30%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.28%EV -22.07%E -8.83%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-06-20 14:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.02% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.96% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.7% | 2026-06-20 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.02% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.96% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 0.7% | 2026-06-20 13:59 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.30% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22% | 1.8% | 2026-06-20 14:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.01% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.14% | 2.0% | 2026-06-20 14:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.88% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.21% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.91% | 2.8% | 2026-06-20 14:00 |