Language:English
Juventude v São Bernardo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Juventude (Local)
Prediction 59.35%1.69fair odd
EV -5.05%
Edge -3.15%
Kelly -8.41%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.26%59.48%59.21%62.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.561.551.6068.97%64.19%64.52%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
São Bernardo (Visit)
Prediction 15.15%6.60fair odd
EV +7.08%
Edge +1.00%
Kelly +1.17%
Growth +0.083%
assuming max odds 7.07
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.40%15.04%15.30%16.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.056.007.0718.18%16.53%16.67%14.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.51%3.92fair odd
EV -3.07%
Edge -0.807%
Kelly -1.09%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.37%25.48%25.49%27.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.563.603.8029.85%28.10%27.78%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Juventude (Local): 59.35%; São Bernardo (Visit): 15.15%; Draw: 25.51%. For São Bernardo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.60. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.07, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.08%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.31%EV -7.42%E -4.76%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 7.07I 14.14%NM 13.53%EV +7.08%E +1.00%K +1.17%G +0.083% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.17%EV -3.07%E -0.807%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-11 18:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.31%EV -7.42%E -4.76%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 7.07I 14.14%NM 13.53%EV +7.08%E +1.00%K +1.17%G +0.083% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.17%EV -3.07%E -0.807%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-11 18:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.85%EV -7.42%E -4.76%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 6.97I 14.35%NM 13.40%EV +5.57%E +0.799%K +0.932%G +0.052% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 26.75%EV -10.97%E -3.14%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-11 18:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.18%EV -13.95%E -9.62%K -31.00%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.46%EV +1.48%E +0.220%K +0.259%G +0.004% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-11 18:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.47%EV -8.02%E -5.17%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.20%EV -0.038%E -0.006%K -0.007%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-11 18:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.47%EV -8.02%E -5.17%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.20%EV -0.038%E -0.006%K -0.007%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-11 18:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.93%EV -5.64%E -3.55%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.66%EV -1.55%E -0.239%K -0.282%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.41%EV -4.34%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-11 18:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.76%EV -7.42%E -4.76%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.34%EV -1.55%E -0.239%K -0.282%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-11 18:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.76%EV -7.42%E -4.76%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.34%EV -1.55%E -0.239%K -0.282%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-11 18:33 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.38%EV -9.80%E -6.44%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.12%EV -1.55%E -0.239%K -0.282%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-11 18:48 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.11%EV -6.23%E -3.95%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.94%EV -5.34%E -0.854%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-11 18:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.76%EV -8.61%E -5.59%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 14.96%EV -6.85%E -1.11%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.28%EV -7.15%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-11 18:23 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.59%EV -5.05%E -3.15%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.37%EV -7.61%E -1.25%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-11 18:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.59%EV -5.05%E -3.15%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.37%EV -7.61%E -1.25%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-11 18:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.59%EV -5.05%E -3.15%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.37%EV -7.61%E -1.25%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-11 18:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.59%EV -5.05%E -3.15%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.37%EV -7.61%E -1.25%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-11 18:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.59%EV -5.05%E -3.15%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.37%EV -7.61%E -1.25%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-11 18:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.59%EV -5.05%E -3.15%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.37%EV -7.61%E -1.25%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-11 18:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.59%EV -5.05%E -3.15%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.37%EV -7.61%E -1.25%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-11 18:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.15%EV -8.02%E -5.17%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.03%EV -7.61%E -1.25%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -9.44%E -2.66%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-11 18:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.15%EV -8.02%E -5.17%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.03%EV -7.61%E -1.25%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -9.44%E -2.66%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-11 18:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.51%EV -6.83%E -4.35%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -9.13%E -1.52%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -4.34%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-11 18:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.82%EV -8.02%E -5.17%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -9.13%E -1.52%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -4.34%E -1.16%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-11 18:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.62%EV -8.02%E -5.17%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.40%EV -9.13%E -1.52%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -5.62%E -1.52%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-11 18:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -7.42%E -4.76%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -9.13%E -1.52%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-11 18:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.47%EV -6.83%E -4.35%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -9.13%E -1.52%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-11 18:34 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -8.02%E -5.17%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -9.13%E -1.52%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-11 18:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.65%EV -9.20%E -6.01%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -9.13%E -1.52%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -13.27%E -3.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-11 18:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.65%EV -9.20%E -6.01%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -9.13%E -1.52%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -13.27%E -3.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-11 18:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.65%EV -9.20%E -6.01%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.96%EV -9.13%E -1.52%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -13.27%E -3.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-11 18:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.16%EV -6.83%E -4.35%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.74%EV -12.15%E -2.10%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-11 06:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.08%EV -6.83%E -4.35%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.86%EV -12.91%E -2.25%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-11 06:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.08%EV -6.83%E -4.35%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.86%EV -12.91%E -2.25%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-11 06:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.08%EV -6.83%E -4.35%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.86%EV -12.91%E -2.25%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-11 06:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.24%EV -7.42%E -4.76%K -13.25%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -12.91%E -2.25%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-11 18:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.98%EV -8.61%E -5.59%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.80%EV -12.91%E -2.25%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -8.17%E -2.27%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-11 18:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.26%EV -6.23%E -3.95%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -12.91%E -2.25%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.01%EV -14.54%E -4.34%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-11 18:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.96%EV -8.02%E -5.17%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV -12.91%E -2.25%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.42%EV -13.27%E -3.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-11 18:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.96%EV -8.02%E -5.17%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV -12.91%E -2.25%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.42%EV -13.27%E -3.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-11 18:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.87%EV -8.61%E -5.59%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.91%EV -15.18%E -2.71%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -13.27%E -3.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-10-11 18:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.03%EV -9.20%E -6.01%K -17.36%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.85%EV -15.18%E -2.71%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -13.27%E -3.90%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-10-11 18:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 57.97%EV -9.80%E -6.44%K -18.84%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.73%EV -15.18%E -2.71%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.30%EV -14.54%E -4.34%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-10-11 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.98%EV -8.02%E -5.17%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -16.70%E -3.04%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.68%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-11 18:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.98%EV -8.02%E -5.17%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -16.70%E -3.04%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.68%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-11 18:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.98%EV -8.02%E -5.17%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -16.70%E -3.04%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.68%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-11 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.98%EV -8.02%E -5.17%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -16.70%E -3.04%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.68%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-11 18:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.98%EV -8.02%E -5.17%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -16.70%E -3.04%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.68%EV -10.72%E -3.06%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-11 18:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.53% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.39% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08% | 0.9% | 2026-10-11 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.53% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.39% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08% | 0.9% | 2026-10-11 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.53% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.39% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08% | 0.9% | 2026-10-11 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.53% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.39% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08% | 0.9% | 2026-10-11 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.48% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.29% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.22% | 1.7% | 2026-10-11 18:55 |