Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Juventude v São Bernardo

2026-10-11 19:00 UTC — Brazil Série B

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Juventude (Local)

Prediction 55.09%1.82fair odd
EV -8.00%
Edge -4.79%
Kelly -11.94%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.06%55.09%55.09%55.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.651.671.6762.11%60.69%59.88%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

São Bernardo (Visit)

Prediction 18.94%5.28fair odd
EV -3.42%
Edge -0.670%
Kelly -0.834%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.28%18.94%18.94%18.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.704.945.105.1021.28%20.25%19.61%19.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.97%3.85fair odd
EV -6.50%
Edge -1.81%
Kelly -2.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.85%25.97%25.97%26.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.533.603.6029.41%28.32%27.78%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Juventude (Local): 55.09%; São Bernardo (Visit): 18.94%; Draw: 25.97%. For São Bernardo (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.28. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 5.10, with an expected value of -3.42%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -8.00%E -4.79%K -11.94%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -3.42%E -0.670%K -0.834%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.50%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-04 19:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -8.00%E -4.79%K -11.94%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -3.42%E -0.670%K -0.834%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.50%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-04 19:10
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -8.00%E -4.79%K -11.94%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -3.42%E -0.670%K -0.834%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.50%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-04 19:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -8.00%E -4.79%K -11.94%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -3.42%E -0.670%K -0.834%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.50%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-04 19:09
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -8.00%E -4.79%K -11.94%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -3.42%E -0.670%K -0.834%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.50%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-04 19:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -8.00%E -4.79%K -11.94%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -3.42%E -0.670%K -0.834%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.50%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-04 19:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -8.00%E -4.79%K -11.94%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -3.42%E -0.670%K -0.834%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.50%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-04 19:10
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -9.10%E -5.52%K -14.00%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -9.10%E -1.90%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -9.10%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-04 19:30
Grosvenor🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.23%EV -10.75%E -6.64%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.84%EV -10.05%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -10.40%E -3.01%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-04 19:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.23%EV -10.75%E -6.64%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.84%EV -10.05%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -10.40%E -3.01%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-04 19:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.23%EV -10.75%E -6.64%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.84%EV -10.05%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -10.40%E -3.01%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-04 19:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.38%EV -11.30%E -7.02%K -18.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.77%EV -10.05%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.85%EV -10.40%E -3.01%K -4.24%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-04 19:29
TABtouch🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.06%EV -11.30%E -7.02%K -18.53%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.86%EV -10.99%E -2.34%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.07%EV -11.70%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-04 19:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.