默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Juventude v São Bernardo

2026-10-11 19:00 UTC — Brazil Série B

胜负盘

13 家博彩公司 (1 家纳入分析 )

55%

19%

26%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Juventude (主队)

预测 55.09%1.82公平赔率

EV -8.00%

优势 -4.79%

Kelly -11.94%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.67

博彩公司预测分布

55.06%55.09%55.09%55.82%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.611.651.671.6762.11%60.69%59.88%59.88%最小值均值中位数最大值

São Bernardo (客队)

预测 18.94%5.28公平赔率

EV -3.42%

优势 -0.670%

Kelly -0.834%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 5.10

博彩公司预测分布

18.28%18.94%18.94%18.94%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

4.704.945.105.1021.28%20.25%19.61%19.61%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 25.97%3.85公平赔率

EV -6.50%

优势 -1.81%

Kelly -2.50%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.60

博彩公司预测分布

25.85%25.97%25.97%26.07%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

3.403.533.603.6029.41%28.32%27.78%27.78%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Juventude (主队)：55.09%；São Bernardo (客队)：18.94%；平局：25.97%。对于“São Bernardo (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.28。没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率：当前最佳赔率为5.10，期望值为-3.42%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (13 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	平局	利润率	更新时间
Unibet🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -8.00%E -4.79%K -11.94%G +0.000%	5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -3.42%E -0.670%K -0.834%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.50%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-10-04 19:05
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -8.00%E -4.79%K -11.94%G +0.000%	5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -3.42%E -0.670%K -0.834%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.50%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-10-04 19:10
Casumo🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -8.00%E -4.79%K -11.94%G +0.000%	5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -3.42%E -0.670%K -0.834%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.50%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-10-04 19:09
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -8.00%E -4.79%K -11.94%G +0.000%	5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -3.42%E -0.670%K -0.834%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.50%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-10-04 19:09
betPARX🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -8.00%E -4.79%K -11.94%G +0.000%	5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -3.42%E -0.670%K -0.834%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.50%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-10-04 19:10
Svenska Spel🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -8.00%E -4.79%K -11.94%G +0.000%	5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -3.42%E -0.670%K -0.834%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.50%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-10-04 19:09
ATG (SE)🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.82%EV -8.00%E -4.79%K -11.94%G +0.000%	5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -3.42%E -0.670%K -0.834%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.50%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-10-04 19:10
BetRivers🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -9.10%E -5.52%K -14.00%G +0.000%	4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -9.10%E -1.90%K -2.39%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -9.10%E -2.60%K -3.64%G +0.000%	10.0%	2026-10-04 19:30
Grosvenor🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 55.23%EV -10.75%E -6.64%K -17.34%G +0.000%	4.75I 21.05%NM 18.84%EV -10.05%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -10.40%E -3.01%K -4.24%G +0.000%	11.8%	2026-10-04 19:29
Virgin Bet🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 55.23%EV -10.75%E -6.64%K -17.34%G +0.000%	4.75I 21.05%NM 18.84%EV -10.05%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -10.40%E -3.01%K -4.24%G +0.000%	11.8%	2026-10-04 19:30
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 55.23%EV -10.75%E -6.64%K -17.34%G +0.000%	4.75I 21.05%NM 18.84%EV -10.05%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -10.40%E -3.01%K -4.24%G +0.000%	11.8%	2026-10-04 19:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 55.38%EV -11.30%E -7.02%K -18.53%G +0.000%	4.75I 21.05%NM 18.77%EV -10.05%E -2.12%K -2.68%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 25.85%EV -10.40%E -3.01%K -4.24%G +0.000%	12.1%	2026-10-04 19:29
TABtouch🎯	1.61I 62.11%NM 55.06%EV -11.30%E -7.02%K -18.53%G +0.000%	4.70I 21.28%NM 18.86%EV -10.99%E -2.34%K -2.97%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 26.07%EV -11.70%E -3.44%K -4.87%G +0.000%	12.8%	2026-10-04 19:30

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。