Language:English
Juventude v Londrina
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Juventude (Local)
Prediction 49.03%2.04fair odd
EV -4.88%
Edge -2.52%
Kelly -5.20%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.94
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.09%49.11%49.02%50.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.881.881.9456.50%53.10%53.05%51.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Londrina (Visit)
Prediction 21.91%4.56fair odd
EV -0.541%
Edge -0.119%
Kelly -0.153%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.54
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.02%21.80%21.94%22.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.174.204.5426.67%23.97%23.81%22.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.06%3.44fair odd
EV -4.09%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -1.78%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.24%29.09%29.04%30.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.153.153.3034.72%31.73%31.75%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Juventude (Local): 49.03%; Londrina (Visit): 21.91%; Draw: 29.06%. For Londrina (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.56. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.54, with an expected value of -0.541%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.57%EV -4.88%E -2.52%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -7.99%E -1.90%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -5.54%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-20 13:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.70%EV -5.37%E -2.78%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -7.99%E -1.90%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.54%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-20 13:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.70%EV -5.37%E -2.78%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -7.99%E -1.90%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.54%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-20 13:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.70%EV -5.37%E -2.78%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -7.99%E -1.90%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.54%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-20 13:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.70%EV -5.37%E -2.78%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -7.99%E -1.90%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.54%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-20 13:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.70%EV -5.37%E -2.78%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -7.99%E -1.90%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.54%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-20 13:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.70%EV -5.37%E -2.78%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -7.99%E -1.90%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.54%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-20 13:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -5.37%E -2.78%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -7.99%E -1.90%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -6.99%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-20 13:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.00%EV -5.37%E -2.78%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.87%EV -11.28%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.13%EV -7.58%E -2.38%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-21 07:58 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.36%E -3.33%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -7.99%E -1.90%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-20 12:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.36%E -3.33%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -7.99%E -1.90%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-20 12:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.36%E -3.33%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -7.99%E -1.90%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-20 12:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.36%E -3.33%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -7.99%E -1.90%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-20 12:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.31%EV -6.85%E -3.60%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -7.99%E -1.90%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 22:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.09%EV -6.85%E -3.60%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -7.99%E -1.90%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -5.54%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 22:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.85%E -3.60%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -7.99%E -1.90%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 00:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.52%EV -6.85%E -3.60%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.21%EV -9.08%E -2.19%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-20 18:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.52%EV -6.85%E -3.60%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.21%EV -9.08%E -2.19%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-20 18:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.01%EV -7.34%E -3.88%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 20.82%EV -0.541%E -0.119%K -0.153%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.17%EV -5.83%E -1.80%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-20 12:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.52%EV -7.34%E -3.88%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -10.18%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-20 13:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.57%EV -7.83%E -4.16%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -7.99%E -1.90%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 15:08 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.16%EV -7.83%E -4.16%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -5.80%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 11:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.16%EV -7.83%E -4.16%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -5.80%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-23 11:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.65%EV -7.83%E -4.16%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -10.18%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.04%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-20 13:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.52%EV -8.32%E -4.45%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -5.80%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -6.99%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-22 16:18 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.40%EV -8.32%E -4.45%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -6.89%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -6.99%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 22:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.01%EV -8.32%E -4.45%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -10.18%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -6.99%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 22:58 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.56%EV -8.32%E -4.45%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -10.18%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-20 13:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.29%EV -8.32%E -4.45%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -12.37%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-22 00:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.81%EV -9.30%E -5.03%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -3.61%E -0.820%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-20 15:41 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.81%EV -9.30%E -5.03%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -3.61%E -0.820%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 01:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -9.30%E -5.03%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -12.37%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -6.99%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-23 22:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -9.30%E -5.03%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.37%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-20 13:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -9.30%E -5.03%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.37%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-20 13:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -9.30%E -5.03%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.37%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-20 13:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -10.28%E -5.62%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -12.37%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-23 23:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.37%EV -10.28%E -5.62%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.13%EV -12.37%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.50%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-20 11:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.09%EV -10.28%E -5.62%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.98%EV -17.85%E -4.76%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.92%EV -16.30%E -5.66%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-23 00:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.86%EV -11.75%E -6.53%K -14.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -7.99%E -1.90%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.77%EV -9.32%E -2.99%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-21 16:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.91%EV -13.22%E -7.47%K -17.17%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -1.42%E -0.315%K -0.405%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-20 15:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.53% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82% | 5.1% | 2026-04-24 03:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.66% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.96% | 11.7% | 2026-04-24 03:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.66% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.96% | 11.7% | 2026-04-24 03:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.21% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.94% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 29.85% | 14.0% | 2026-04-24 03:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 48.20% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.33% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.47% | 17.2% | 2026-04-24 03:20 |