La scuola delle quote

Juventude v Londrina

Inizio: 2026-04-26 00:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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40 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Juventude (Casa)

Previsione 49.03%2.04quota equa
EV -4.88%
Vantaggio -2.52%
Kelly -5.20%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.94

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.09%49.11%49.02%50.91%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.771.881.881.9456.50%53.10%53.05%51.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Londrina (Trasferta)

Previsione 21.91%4.56quota equa
EV -0.541%
Vantaggio -0.119%
Kelly -0.153%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.54

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.02%21.80%21.94%22.98%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.754.174.204.5426.67%23.97%23.81%22.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 29.06%3.44quota equa
EV -4.09%
Vantaggio -1.24%
Kelly -1.78%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.24%29.09%29.04%30.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.153.153.3034.72%31.73%31.75%30.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (40 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.57%EV -4.88%E -2.52%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -7.99%E -1.90%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -5.54%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-20 13:35
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.70%EV -5.37%E -2.78%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -7.99%E -1.90%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.54%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 13:35
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 48.70%EV -5.37%E -2.78%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -7.99%E -1.90%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.54%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 13:35
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.70%EV -5.37%E -2.78%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -7.99%E -1.90%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.54%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 13:35
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 48.70%EV -5.37%E -2.78%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -7.99%E -1.90%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.54%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 13:30
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 48.70%EV -5.37%E -2.78%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -7.99%E -1.90%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.54%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 13:30
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 48.70%EV -5.37%E -2.78%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -7.99%E -1.90%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -5.54%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-20 13:35
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -5.37%E -2.78%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -7.99%E -1.90%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -6.99%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-20 13:35
Marathon Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.00%EV -5.37%E -2.78%K -5.78%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.87%EV -11.28%E -2.78%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.13%EV -7.58%E -2.38%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 07:58
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.36%E -3.33%K -6.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -7.99%E -1.90%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-20 12:49
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.36%E -3.33%K -6.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -7.99%E -1.90%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-20 12:50
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.36%E -3.33%K -6.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -7.99%E -1.90%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-20 12:49
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -6.36%E -3.33%K -6.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -7.99%E -1.90%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.40%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-20 12:50
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.31%EV -6.85%E -3.60%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -7.99%E -1.90%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 22:59
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.09%EV -6.85%E -3.60%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -7.99%E -1.90%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -5.54%E -1.71%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 22:59
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.85%E -3.60%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.01%EV -7.99%E -1.90%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 00:00
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 48.52%EV -6.85%E -3.60%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.21%EV -9.08%E -2.19%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-20 18:14
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.52%EV -6.85%E -3.60%K -7.61%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.21%EV -9.08%E -2.19%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-20 18:14
Pinnacle1.89I 52.91%NM 50.01%EV -7.34%E -3.88%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 20.82%EV -0.541%E -0.119%K -0.153%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.17%EV -5.83%E -1.80%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-20 12:50
Grosvenor1.89I 52.91%NM 48.52%EV -7.34%E -3.88%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -10.18%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-20 13:35
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 49.57%EV -7.83%E -4.16%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -7.99%E -1.90%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -4.09%E -1.24%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 15:08
BetOnline.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 49.16%EV -7.83%E -4.16%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -5.80%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 11:29
LowVig.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 49.16%EV -7.83%E -4.16%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -5.80%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.34%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 11:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.65%EV -7.83%E -4.16%K -8.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -10.18%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.04%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-20 13:35
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 49.52%EV -8.32%E -4.45%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -5.80%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -6.99%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 16:18
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.40%EV -8.32%E -4.45%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -6.89%E -1.62%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.87%EV -6.99%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 22:59
FanDuel1.87I 53.48%NM 49.01%EV -8.32%E -4.45%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -10.18%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -6.99%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 22:58
TABtouch1.87I 53.48%NM 48.56%EV -8.32%E -4.45%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -10.18%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-20 13:35
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 48.29%EV -8.32%E -4.45%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -12.37%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-22 00:05
Bovada1.85I 54.05%NM 49.81%EV -9.30%E -5.03%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -3.61%E -0.820%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-20 15:41
BetUS1.85I 54.05%NM 49.81%EV -9.30%E -5.03%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -3.61%E -0.820%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.25%EV -8.45%E -2.68%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 01:20
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 49.00%EV -9.30%E -5.03%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -12.37%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -6.99%E -2.19%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-23 22:59
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -9.30%E -5.03%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.37%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-20 13:35
LiveScore Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -9.30%E -5.03%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.37%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-20 13:35
Virgin Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -9.30%E -5.03%K -10.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -12.37%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-20 13:35
betfred_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 48.83%EV -10.28%E -5.62%K -12.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -12.37%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.83%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 23:00
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 48.37%EV -10.28%E -5.62%K -12.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.13%EV -12.37%E -3.09%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.50%EV -12.81%E -4.27%K -6.40%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-20 11:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.09%EV -10.28%E -5.62%K -12.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.98%EV -17.85%E -4.76%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.92%EV -16.30%E -5.66%K -8.67%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-23 00:00
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 49.86%EV -11.75%E -6.53%K -14.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -7.99%E -1.90%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.77%EV -9.32%E -2.99%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-21 16:10
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 50.91%EV -13.22%E -7.47%K -17.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -1.42%E -0.315%K -0.405%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -9.90%E -3.19%K -4.71%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-20 15:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.96I 51.02%NM 48.53%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.82%5.1%2026-04-24 03:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 45.66%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.96%11.7%2026-04-24 03:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 45.66%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.96%11.7%2026-04-24 03:20
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 48.21%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.94%2.94I 34.01%NM 29.85%14.0%2026-04-24 03:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 48.20%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.33%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.47%17.2%2026-04-24 03:20