Language:English
Juventude v Goiás
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Juventude (Local)
Prediction 41.40%2.42fair odd
EV -2.30%
Edge -0.975%
Kelly -1.69%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.41%41.34%41.45%42.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.242.252.3647.62%44.72%44.44%42.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Goiás (Visit)
Prediction 28.58%3.50fair odd
EV -0.537%
Edge -0.154%
Kelly -0.216%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.88%28.58%28.62%30.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.193.203.4834.72%31.32%31.25%28.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.02%3.33fair odd
EV -3.94%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -1.79%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.68%30.08%29.94%31.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.043.053.2035.71%32.88%32.79%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Juventude (Local): 41.40%; Goiás (Visit): 28.58%; Draw: 30.02%. For Goiás (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.50. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.48, with an expected value of -0.537%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.78%EV -2.30%E -0.975%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.66%EV -0.537%E -0.154%K -0.216%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.56%EV -8.44%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-11 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.43%EV -3.96%E -1.71%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -8.54%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -6.94%E -2.24%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 18:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.43%EV -3.96%E -1.71%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -8.54%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -6.94%E -2.24%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 18:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.43%EV -3.96%E -1.71%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -8.54%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -6.94%E -2.24%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 18:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.43%EV -3.96%E -1.71%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -8.54%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -6.94%E -2.24%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 18:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.43%EV -3.96%E -1.71%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -8.54%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -6.94%E -2.24%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 18:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.43%EV -3.96%E -1.71%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -8.54%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -6.94%E -2.24%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 18:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.43%EV -3.96%E -1.71%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -8.54%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -6.94%E -2.24%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 18:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -4.78%E -2.08%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.82%E -0.830%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -6.94%E -2.24%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 13:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -4.78%E -2.08%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -9.97%E -3.16%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -14.44%E -5.07%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-11 16:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -5.61%E -2.46%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -7.11%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.94%E -2.24%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-11 18:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -5.61%E -2.46%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -9.97%E -3.16%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -8.44%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 18:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.83%EV -6.03%E -2.65%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.75%EV -4.54%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.42%EV -11.44%E -3.88%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 18:48 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.85%E -3.05%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -8.54%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -3.94%E -1.23%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.85%E -3.05%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.68%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -9.94%E -3.31%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 18:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.85%E -3.05%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.68%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -9.94%E -3.31%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 18:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -6.85%E -3.05%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -11.40%E -3.68%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.94%E -2.24%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -6.85%E -3.05%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.54%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.94%E -3.31%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 18:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -6.85%E -3.05%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.54%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.94%E -3.31%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 18:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -6.85%E -3.05%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.54%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.94%E -3.31%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 18:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -6.85%E -3.05%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.54%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.94%E -3.31%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 18:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.58%EV -6.85%E -3.05%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -9.97%E -3.16%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.94%E -3.31%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-11 18:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -6.85%E -3.05%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.40%E -3.68%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.94%E -3.31%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 18:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -6.85%E -3.05%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -15.68%E -5.32%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -6.94%E -2.24%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-11 18:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.61%EV -7.68%E -3.44%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.40%E -3.68%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.18%EV -9.94%E -3.31%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-11 18:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.61%EV -7.68%E -3.44%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.40%E -3.68%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.18%EV -9.94%E -3.31%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-11 18:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.61%EV -7.68%E -3.44%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.40%E -3.68%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.18%EV -9.94%E -3.31%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-11 18:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.17%EV -8.10%E -3.65%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -2.82%E -0.830%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 31.95%EV -14.14%E -4.94%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 13:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.17%EV -8.10%E -3.65%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -2.82%E -0.830%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 31.95%EV -14.14%E -4.94%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 13:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -8.92%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.68%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -3.94%E -1.23%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 18:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -8.92%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.68%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -3.94%E -1.23%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 18:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -8.92%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.11%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -6.94%E -2.24%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 13:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -8.92%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.11%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -6.94%E -2.24%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 13:28 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.92%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.40%E -3.68%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -3.94%E -1.23%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 13:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 41.83%EV -9.34%E -4.26%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.54%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -6.94%E -2.24%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-11 13:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -10.99%E -5.11%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.54%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.94%E -2.24%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 18:23 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -10.99%E -5.11%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.54%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.94%E -2.24%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 13:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.97%EV -10.99%E -5.11%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.92%EV -10.83%E -3.47%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -6.94%E -2.24%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-11 18:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.99%E -5.11%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.40%E -3.68%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.94%E -3.31%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-11 13:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.99%E -5.11%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.40%E -3.68%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.94%E -3.31%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-11 13:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.99%E -5.11%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.40%E -3.68%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.94%E -3.31%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-11 13:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.99%E -5.11%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.40%E -3.68%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.94%E -3.31%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-11 13:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.98%EV -10.99%E -5.11%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -11.40%E -3.68%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.59%EV -13.54%E -4.70%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-11 16:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.34%EV -13.06%E -6.22%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -17.69%E -6.14%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.25%EV -15.94%E -5.69%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-04-11 18:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.42% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58% | 0.6% | 2026-04-11 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 18:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 18:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.46% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.96% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.58% | 2.2% | 2026-04-11 18:55 |