Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Juventude v Goiás

Inizio: 2026-04-11 19:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

44 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Juventude (Casa)

Previsione 41.40%2.42quota equa
EV -2.30%
Vantaggio -0.975%
Kelly -1.69%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.36

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.41%41.34%41.45%42.48%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.242.252.3647.62%44.72%44.44%42.37%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Goiás (Trasferta)

Previsione 28.58%3.50quota equa
EV -0.537%
Vantaggio -0.154%
Kelly -0.216%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.48

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.88%28.58%28.62%30.65%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.193.203.4834.72%31.32%31.25%28.74%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 30.02%3.33quota equa
EV -3.94%
Vantaggio -1.23%
Kelly -1.79%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.68%30.08%29.94%31.95%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.043.053.2035.71%32.88%32.79%31.25%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Juventude (Casa): 41.40%; Goiás (Trasferta): 28.58%; Pareggio: 30.02%. Per Goiás (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.50. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 3.48, con un valore atteso del -0.537%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (44 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.78%EV -2.30%E -0.975%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.66%EV -0.537%E -0.154%K -0.216%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.56%EV -8.44%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-11 17:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.43%EV -3.96%E -1.71%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -8.54%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -6.94%E -2.24%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 18:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.43%EV -3.96%E -1.71%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -8.54%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -6.94%E -2.24%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 18:55
Casumo🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.43%EV -3.96%E -1.71%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -8.54%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -6.94%E -2.24%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 18:55
Unibet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.43%EV -3.96%E -1.71%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -8.54%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -6.94%E -2.24%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 18:55
betPARX🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.43%EV -3.96%E -1.71%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -8.54%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -6.94%E -2.24%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 18:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.43%EV -3.96%E -1.71%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -8.54%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -6.94%E -2.24%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 18:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.43%EV -3.96%E -1.71%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%EV -8.54%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -6.94%E -2.24%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 18:55
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -4.78%E -2.08%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.82%E -0.830%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -6.94%E -2.24%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 13:25
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -4.78%E -2.08%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -9.97%E -3.16%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -14.44%E -5.07%K -7.81%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-11 16:30
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -5.61%E -2.46%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -7.11%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -6.94%E -2.24%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 18:25
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.46%EV -5.61%E -2.46%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -9.97%E -3.16%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.25%EV -8.44%E -2.77%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 18:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 40.83%EV -6.03%E -2.65%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.75%EV -4.54%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.42%EV -11.44%E -3.88%K -5.87%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 18:48
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.85%E -3.05%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -8.54%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -3.94%E -1.23%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 13:45
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.85%E -3.05%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.68%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -9.94%E -3.31%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 18:55
BetUS🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.85%E -3.05%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.68%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -9.94%E -3.31%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 18:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -6.85%E -3.05%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -11.40%E -3.68%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.94%E -2.24%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:45
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -6.85%E -3.05%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.54%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.94%E -3.31%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 18:54
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -6.85%E -3.05%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.54%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.94%E -3.31%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 18:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -6.85%E -3.05%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.54%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.94%E -3.31%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 18:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -6.85%E -3.05%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.54%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.94%E -3.31%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.58%EV -6.85%E -3.05%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -9.97%E -3.16%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.94%E -3.31%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 18:55
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -6.85%E -3.05%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.40%E -3.68%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.94%E -3.31%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 18:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.18%EV -6.85%E -3.05%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.65%EV -15.68%E -5.32%K -8.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -6.94%E -2.24%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 18:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.61%EV -7.68%E -3.44%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.40%E -3.68%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.18%EV -9.94%E -3.31%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 18:55
LeoVegas🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.61%EV -7.68%E -3.44%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.40%E -3.68%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.18%EV -9.94%E -3.31%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 18:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.61%EV -7.68%E -3.44%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -11.40%E -3.68%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.18%EV -9.94%E -3.31%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 18:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.17%EV -8.10%E -3.65%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -2.82%E -0.830%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 31.95%EV -14.14%E -4.94%K -7.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.17%EV -8.10%E -3.65%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -2.82%E -0.830%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 31.95%EV -14.14%E -4.94%K -7.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 13:20
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -8.92%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.68%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -3.94%E -1.23%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 18:24
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -8.92%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.68%E -1.72%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -3.94%E -1.23%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 18:24
NordicBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -8.92%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.11%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -6.94%E -2.24%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 13:30
Betsson🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -8.92%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.11%E -2.19%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -6.94%E -2.24%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 13:28
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.92%E -4.06%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.40%E -3.68%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -3.94%E -1.23%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 13:45
Codere (IT)🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 41.83%EV -9.34%E -4.26%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -8.54%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -6.94%E -2.24%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 13:30
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -10.99%E -5.11%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.54%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.94%E -2.24%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 18:23
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -10.99%E -5.11%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.54%E -2.67%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -6.94%E -2.24%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-11 13:25
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.97%EV -10.99%E -5.11%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.92%EV -10.83%E -3.47%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -6.94%E -2.24%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-11 18:55
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.99%E -5.11%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.40%E -3.68%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.94%E -3.31%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-11 13:24
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.99%E -5.11%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.40%E -3.68%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.94%E -3.31%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-11 13:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.99%E -5.11%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.40%E -3.68%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.94%E -3.31%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-11 13:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -10.99%E -5.11%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.40%E -3.68%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.94%E -3.31%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-11 13:25
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.98%EV -10.99%E -5.11%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -11.40%E -3.68%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.59%EV -13.54%E -4.70%K -7.20%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-11 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.34%EV -13.06%E -6.22%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -17.69%E -6.14%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.25%EV -15.94%E -5.69%K -8.86%G +0.000%18.1%2026-04-11 18:25
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.40I 41.67%NM 41.42%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58%0.6%2026-04-11 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48%1.0%2026-04-11 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48%1.0%2026-04-11 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.48%1.0%2026-04-11 18:50
Smarkets2.36I 42.37%NM 41.46%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.96%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.58%2.2%2026-04-11 18:55