The School of Odds
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Juventude v Atletico Goianiense

2026-09-05 21:00 UTC — Brazil Série B

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Juventude (Local)

Prediction 44.17%2.26fair odd
EV -7.24%
Edge -3.45%
Kelly -6.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.03%44.17%44.17%44.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.982.062.102.1050.51%48.54%47.62%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atletico Goianiense (Visit)

Prediction 26.00%3.85fair odd
EV -5.11%
Edge -1.40%
Kelly -1.93%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.54%26.00%26.00%26.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.553.653.6529.41%28.17%27.40%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.83%3.35fair odd
EV -7.52%
Edge -2.43%
Kelly -3.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.83%29.83%29.83%30.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.033.103.1034.48%32.95%32.26%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Juventude (Local): 44.17%; Atletico Goianiense (Visit): 26.00%; Draw: 29.83%. For Atletico Goianiense (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.85. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.65, with an expected value of -5.11%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -5.11%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 21:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -5.11%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 21:54
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -5.11%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 21:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -5.11%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 21:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -5.11%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 21:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -5.11%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 21:55
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -5.11%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-29 21:55
BetRivers🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.17%EV -9.01%E -4.37%K -8.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -9.01%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.83%EV -9.01%E -2.95%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-29 21:55
Grosvenor🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.03%EV -9.89%E -4.85%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.03%EV -10.31%E -2.99%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.94%EV -10.50%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-29 21:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.05%EV -10.78%E -5.33%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.79%EV -10.31%E -2.99%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.16%EV -11.99%E -4.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-29 21:55
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.13%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.96%EV -11.61%E -3.41%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.92%EV -11.99%E -4.07%K -6.15%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-29 21:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.15%EV -12.54%E -6.34%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -11.61%E -3.41%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.14%EV -13.48%E -4.65%K -7.10%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-29 21:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.15%EV -12.54%E -6.34%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -11.61%E -3.41%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.14%EV -13.48%E -4.65%K -7.10%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-29 21:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.