默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Juventude v Atletico Goianiense

开赛时间: 2026-09-05 21:01 UTC

最终结果: Juventude 2–2 Atletico Goianiense

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

47 家博彩公司 (17 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Juventude (主队)

预测 44.52%2.25公平赔率
EV -6.07%
优势 -2.88%
Kelly -5.47%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.11

博彩公司预测分布
43.29%44.61%44.40%46.19%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.952.062.072.1151.28%48.55%48.31%47.39%最小值均值中位数最大值

Atletico Goianiense (客队)

预测 24.58%4.07公平赔率
EV +0.518%
优势 +0.127%
Kelly +0.168%
增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 4.09

博彩公司预测分布
23.12%24.48%24.54%25.55%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.503.723.754.0928.57%26.92%26.67%24.45%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 30.91%3.24公平赔率
EV -2.65%
优势 -0.841%
Kelly -1.23%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.15

博彩公司预测分布
29.66%30.91%31.06%32.47%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.802.952.923.1535.71%33.86%34.25%31.75%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Juventude (主队):44.52%;Atletico Goianiense (客队):24.58%;平局:30.91%。 对于“Atletico Goianiense (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.07。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为4.09,对应+0.518%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (47 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 44.82%EV -6.07%E -2.88%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.12%EV +0.518%E +0.127%K +0.168%G +0.001%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.06%EV -8.83%E -2.99%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 14:50
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46%EV -6.51%E -3.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -1.69%E -0.423%K -0.565%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -10.37%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 13:09
LowVig.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.70%EV -7.40%E -3.56%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -1.69%E -0.423%K -0.565%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -10.37%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-03 18:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.70%EV -7.40%E -3.56%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -1.69%E -0.423%K -0.565%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -10.37%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-03 18:00
Bovada🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.59%EV -7.85%E -3.79%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -2.92%E -0.740%K -0.991%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.05%EV -10.99%E -3.82%K -5.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-03 14:41
1xBet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 44.56%EV -6.96%E -3.33%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.76%EV -3.66%E -0.934%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.68%EV -9.14%E -3.11%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 10:00
SportsBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.19%EV -9.63%E -4.74%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -4.15%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.77%EV -2.65%E -0.841%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 12:55
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.58%EV -8.74%E -4.26%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -5.38%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -4.19%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 15:10
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -6.51%E -3.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.61%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 06:09
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -6.51%E -3.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.61%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-03 02:45
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -10.96%E -5.48%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -6.61%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -4.19%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-03 12:54
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -10.96%E -5.48%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -6.61%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -4.19%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-03 13:00
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -10.96%E -5.48%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -6.61%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -4.19%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-03 04:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.88%EV -10.96%E -5.48%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.62%EV -6.61%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.50%EV -11.92%E -4.18%K -6.44%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-03 21:10
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.47%EV -6.51%E -3.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -7.84%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 10:49
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.47%EV -6.51%E -3.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -7.84%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 10:50
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.47%EV -6.51%E -3.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -7.84%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 10:49
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.47%EV -6.51%E -3.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -7.84%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 10:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.47%EV -6.51%E -3.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -7.84%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 10:49
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.47%EV -6.51%E -3.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -7.84%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 10:49
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.47%EV -6.51%E -3.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -7.84%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 10:50
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.29%EV -6.51%E -3.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -7.84%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -13.47%E -4.81%K -7.48%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-03 02:45
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.29%EV -6.51%E -3.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -7.84%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -13.47%E -4.81%K -7.48%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-03 02:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.29%EV -6.51%E -3.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -7.84%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -13.47%E -4.81%K -7.48%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-03 02:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.29%EV -6.51%E -3.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -7.84%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -13.47%E -4.81%K -7.48%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-03 02:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -6.51%E -3.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -9.07%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-02 21:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -8.74%E -4.26%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -9.07%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-03 19:55
Betsson🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.58%EV -6.51%E -3.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.07%EV -10.30%E -2.82%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.34%EV -9.76%E -3.34%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-02 00:34
NordicBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.58%EV -6.51%E -3.10%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.07%EV -10.30%E -2.82%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.34%EV -9.76%E -3.34%K -5.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-02 00:34
BetRivers🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.32%EV -8.74%E -4.26%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -10.30%E -2.82%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -8.83%E -2.99%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-04 10:50
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.08%EV -8.74%E -4.26%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.76%EV -10.30%E -2.82%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.37%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-03 23:10
LeoVegas🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.03%EV -7.40%E -3.56%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -11.52%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.53%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-03 21:04
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -8.74%E -4.26%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.52%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-04 11:30
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -8.74%E -4.26%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -11.52%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -10.37%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-03 02:50
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -8.74%E -4.26%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -11.52%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -10.37%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-03 12:54
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -10.96%E -5.48%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.52%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-03 04:04
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.29%EV -10.07%E -4.99%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -11.52%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -10.37%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-04 10:50
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -13.19%E -6.76%K -13.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -11.52%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -7.28%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-04 09:10
Codere (IT)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.54%EV -7.85%E -3.79%K -7.33%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -12.75%E -3.59%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.08%EV -10.37%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-02 00:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.14%EV -10.07%E -4.99%K -9.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.12%EV -12.75%E -3.59%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.75%EV -10.37%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-04 10:49
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.29%EV -10.96%E -5.48%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.95%EV -12.75%E -3.59%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.76%EV -10.99%E -3.82%K -5.85%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-04 10:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -8.74%E -4.26%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -13.98%E -3.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -10.37%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-04 11:29
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -8.74%E -4.26%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -13.98%E -3.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -10.37%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-04 11:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -8.74%E -4.26%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -13.98%E -3.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -10.37%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-04 11:25
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -8.74%E -4.26%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -13.98%E -3.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -10.37%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-04 11:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.24%EV -11.85%E -5.99%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.03%EV -13.98%E -3.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.73%EV -11.92%E -4.18%K -6.44%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-04 10:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.24%EV -11.85%E -5.99%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.03%EV -13.98%E -3.99%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.73%EV -11.92%E -4.18%K -6.44%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-04 10:49
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 44.45%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.20%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.35%5.1%2026-09-04 13:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 44.45%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.20%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.35%5.1%2026-09-04 13:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 44.45%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.20%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.35%5.1%2026-09-04 13:10
Smarkets◎2.14I 46.73%NM 44.09%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.32%6.0%2026-09-04 14:00
Matchbook◎2.10I 47.62%NM 44.91%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.00%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.08%6.0%2026-09-04 14:30