Idioma:Español
Grêmio Novorizontino v Sport Recife
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Grêmio Novorizontino (Local)
Predicción 58.81%1.70momio equitativo
EV -3.56%
Ventaja -2.17%
Kelly -5.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.64
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.68%58.83%58.64%61.34%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.471.571.571.6468.03%63.61%63.69%60.98%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Sport Recife (Visitante)
Predicción 16.36%6.11momio equitativo
EV +2.23%
Ventaja +0.356%
Kelly +0.424%
Crecimiento +0.009%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.32%16.35%16.53%17.94%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.005.485.506.2520.00%18.24%18.18%16.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 24.84%4.03momio equitativo
EV -3.14%
Ventaja -0.805%
Kelly -1.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.12%24.82%24.83%26.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.453.653.703.9028.99%27.42%27.03%25.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Grêmio Novorizontino (Local): 58.81%; Sport Recife (Visitante): 16.36%; Empate: 24.84%. Para Sport Recife (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 6.11. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 6.25, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.23%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.86%EV -5.91%E -3.69%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.32%EV +2.23%E +0.356%K +0.424%G +0.009% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.81%EV -4.13%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-28 23:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.40%EV -6.50%E -4.09%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.74%EV -1.86%E -0.311%K -0.373%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -5.62%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-28 23:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.71%EV -7.67%E -4.89%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -1.86%E -0.311%K -0.373%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -5.62%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-28 22:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.51%EV -7.67%E -4.89%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -1.86%E -0.311%K -0.373%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -6.86%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-28 23:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.51%EV -7.67%E -4.89%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -1.86%E -0.311%K -0.373%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -6.86%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-28 23:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.86%EV -8.26%E -5.29%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -1.86%E -0.311%K -0.373%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -5.62%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-28 22:56 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.86%EV -8.26%E -5.29%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -1.86%E -0.311%K -0.373%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -5.62%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-28 22:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.16%EV -7.67%E -4.89%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.74%EV -5.13%E -0.885%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -13.07%E -3.74%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-28 23:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.34%EV -13.55%E -9.22%K -28.84%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.55%EV -5.13%E -0.885%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -3.14%E -0.805%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-28 22:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.28%EV -6.50%E -4.09%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -5.95%E -1.04%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.60%EV -10.09%E -2.79%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-28 23:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.07%EV -8.26%E -5.29%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -5.95%E -1.04%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-28 23:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.07%EV -8.26%E -5.29%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -5.95%E -1.04%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-28 23:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.08%EV -7.67%E -4.89%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.86%EV -5.95%E -1.04%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -13.07%E -3.74%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-28 23:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.08%EV -7.67%E -4.89%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.86%EV -5.95%E -1.04%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -13.07%E -3.74%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-28 23:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.08%EV -7.67%E -4.89%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.86%EV -5.95%E -1.04%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -13.07%E -3.74%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-28 23:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.60%EV -5.91%E -3.69%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -10.04%E -1.83%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -4.38%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-28 23:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.53%EV -7.08%E -4.48%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -10.04%E -1.83%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -6.86%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-28 23:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -7.67%E -4.89%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -10.04%E -1.83%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -6.86%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-28 23:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.03%EV -8.26%E -5.29%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.74%EV -10.04%E -1.83%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -5.62%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-28 23:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.49%EV -7.67%E -4.89%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -10.04%E -1.83%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-28 23:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.60%EV -8.85%E -5.71%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -10.04%E -1.83%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -9.35%E -2.56%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-28 23:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.60%EV -8.85%E -5.71%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -10.04%E -1.83%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -9.35%E -2.56%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-28 23:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.71%EV -10.02%E -6.55%K -18.91%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -10.04%E -1.83%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-28 23:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.59%EV -11.79%E -7.86%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -10.04%E -1.83%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-28 22:51 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.59%EV -11.79%E -7.86%K -23.58%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -10.04%E -1.83%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-28 23:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.99%EV -3.56%E -2.17%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 5.48I 18.25%NM 17.05%EV -10.37%E -1.89%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-28 23:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -4.73%E -2.92%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -11.68%E -2.16%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-28 22:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -4.73%E -2.92%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -11.68%E -2.16%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-28 22:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -4.73%E -2.92%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -11.68%E -2.16%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-28 22:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -4.73%E -2.92%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -11.68%E -2.16%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-28 22:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -4.73%E -2.92%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -11.68%E -2.16%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-28 22:51 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -4.73%E -2.92%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -11.68%E -2.16%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-28 22:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -4.73%E -2.92%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.26%EV -11.68%E -2.16%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-28 22:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -7.67%E -4.89%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.95%EV -11.68%E -2.16%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -8.11%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-28 23:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.27%EV -7.08%E -4.48%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.24%EV -14.13%E -2.69%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -11.83%E -3.33%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-28 23:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.63%EV -7.67%E -4.89%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.23%EV -14.13%E -2.69%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-28 20:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.94%EV -8.85%E -5.71%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -14.13%E -2.69%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.95%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-28 23:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.87%EV -5.91%E -3.69%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.50%EV -14.95%E -2.87%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -11.83%E -3.33%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-28 22:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.93%EV -7.67%E -4.89%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.53%EV -16.58%E -3.25%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.54%EV -13.07%E -3.74%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-28 22:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.09%EV -8.26%E -5.29%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.46%EV -16.58%E -3.25%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -13.07%E -3.74%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-28 22:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.14%EV -7.67%E -4.89%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -18.22%E -3.64%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -10.59%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-28 23:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -7.67%E -4.89%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -18.22%E -3.64%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -13.07%E -3.74%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-28 20:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -7.67%E -4.89%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -18.22%E -3.64%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -13.07%E -3.74%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-28 20:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -7.67%E -4.89%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -18.22%E -3.64%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -13.07%E -3.74%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-28 20:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -7.67%E -4.89%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -18.22%E -3.64%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -13.07%E -3.74%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-28 20:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.68%EV -8.26%E -5.29%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -18.22%E -3.64%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.63%EV -14.32%E -4.15%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-28 22:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.00%EV -9.44%E -6.13%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.56%EV -18.22%E -3.64%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.44%EV -14.32%E -4.15%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-28 22:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.00%EV -9.44%E -6.13%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.56%EV -18.22%E -3.64%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.44%EV -14.32%E -4.15%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-28 22:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.95% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.96% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.08% | 1.3% | 2026-08-28 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.95% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.96% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.08% | 1.3% | 2026-08-28 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.95% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.96% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.08% | 1.3% | 2026-08-28 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.95% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.96% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.08% | 1.3% | 2026-08-28 23:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.82% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.30% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.88% | 2.1% | 2026-08-28 23:25 |