Szkoła Kursów

Grêmio Novorizontino v Ceará

Początek: 2026-05-23 19:02 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Grêmio Novorizontino 2–1 Ceará

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

42 bukmacherów (16 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Grêmio Novorizontino (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 44.90%2.23kurs godziwy
EV -3.46%
Przewaga -1.61%
Kelly -3.01%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.15

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
42.75%45.09%44.79%47.43%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.902.052.052.1552.63%48.68%48.66%46.51%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Ceará (Goście)

Prognoza 24.95%4.01kurs godziwy
EV +0.057%
Przewaga +0.014%
Kelly +0.019%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.01

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
22.53%24.87%25.05%26.72%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.203.693.704.0131.25%27.12%27.03%24.94%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 30.14%3.32kurs godziwy
EV -0.523%
Przewaga -0.158%
Kelly -0.227%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.30

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
28.67%30.04%30.15%31.47%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.803.093.103.3035.71%32.39%32.26%30.30%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (42 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle2.12I 47.17%NM 45.38%EV -4.80%E -2.27%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.99%EV +0.057%E +0.014%K +0.019%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.64%EV -5.35%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-23 18:59
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.43%EV -14.68%E -7.73%K -16.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%EV -0.193%E -0.048%K -0.064%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-23 19:00
betPARX2.14I 46.73%NM 45.16%EV -3.91%E -1.83%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.10%EV -3.94%E -1.02%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.74%EV -2.03%E -0.625%K -0.902%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-23 19:00
LowVig.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 45.00%EV -6.60%E -3.17%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -3.94%E -1.02%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -8.06%E -2.64%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 18:59
BetOnline.ag2.08I 48.08%NM 45.00%EV -6.60%E -3.17%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -3.94%E -1.02%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -8.06%E -2.64%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 18:59
BetUS2.08I 48.08%NM 45.00%EV -6.60%E -3.17%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -3.94%E -1.02%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -8.06%E -2.64%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 18:59
Marathon Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.13%EV -4.19%E -1.09%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.68%EV -8.96%E -2.97%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-23 18:59
Casumo2.15I 46.51%NM 45.10%EV -3.46%E -1.61%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.52%EV -5.18%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.38%EV -0.523%E -0.158%K -0.227%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-23 19:00
ATG (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 45.10%EV -3.46%E -1.61%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.52%EV -5.18%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.38%EV -0.523%E -0.158%K -0.227%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-23 19:00
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -5.70%E -2.72%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.18%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -6.55%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 18:59
Bovada2.04I 49.02%NM 45.11%EV -8.40%E -4.12%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -5.18%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -9.57%E -3.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 18:57
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -12.44%E -6.38%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.18%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-23 18:59
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -5.18%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -12.58%E -4.34%K -6.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-23 18:59
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -5.18%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -12.58%E -4.34%K -6.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-23 18:59
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -5.18%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -12.58%E -4.34%K -6.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-23 18:59
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -5.18%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -12.58%E -4.34%K -6.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-23 18:59
Grosvenor2.06I 48.54%NM 45.80%EV -7.50%E -3.64%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%EV -6.43%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -2.03%E -0.625%K -0.902%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 19:00
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -5.70%E -2.72%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.43%E -1.71%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.55%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 19:00
1xBet2.09I 47.85%NM 44.74%EV -6.15%E -2.94%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.00%EV -6.68%E -1.79%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.26%EV -6.85%E -2.22%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-23 18:59
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -6.60%E -3.17%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -7.68%E -2.08%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 19:00
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -6.60%E -3.17%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -7.68%E -2.08%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 18:59
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -6.60%E -3.17%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -7.68%E -2.08%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 18:59
BetRivers2.06I 48.54%NM 45.44%EV -7.50%E -3.64%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -7.68%E -2.08%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-23 18:51
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 45.05%EV -6.60%E -3.17%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -8.93%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-23 19:00
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -6.60%E -3.17%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.31%EV -8.93%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.29%EV -8.06%E -2.64%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-23 18:59
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -6.60%E -3.17%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.31%EV -8.93%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.29%EV -8.06%E -2.64%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-23 18:59
Codere (IT)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.65%EV -7.50%E -3.64%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -8.93%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -8.06%E -2.64%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 18:59
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 44.08%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.76%EV -8.93%E -2.45%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -12.58%E -4.34%K -6.62%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-23 18:59
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -6.60%E -3.17%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -10.17%E -2.83%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 18:59
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -10.17%E -2.83%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -2.03%E -0.625%K -0.902%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-23 18:59
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -6.60%E -3.17%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -10.17%E -2.83%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.18%EV -8.06%E -2.64%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-23 18:59
LeoVegas (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 44.95%EV -8.40%E -4.12%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -10.17%E -2.83%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -6.55%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 18:59
Unibet (NL)1.96I 51.02%NM 45.94%EV -11.99%E -6.12%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.01%EV -10.17%E -2.83%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -6.55%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-23 19:00
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 45.03%EV -9.29%E -4.60%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -11.42%E -3.22%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -6.55%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-23 19:00
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -12.67%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -3.54%E -1.11%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-23 18:59
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -10.19%E -5.10%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -12.67%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -6.55%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-23 18:59
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -10.19%E -5.10%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -12.67%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -6.55%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-23 18:58
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -10.19%E -5.10%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -12.67%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.44%EV -8.06%E -2.64%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-23 19:00
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -10.19%E -5.10%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -12.67%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.44%EV -8.06%E -2.64%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-23 18:59
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -12.67%E -3.62%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -12.58%E -4.34%K -6.62%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-23 18:58
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -10.19%E -5.10%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -15.16%E -4.46%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -6.55%E -2.11%K -3.12%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-23 18:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.75%EV -10.19%E -5.10%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.72%EV -20.15%E -6.30%K -9.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.53%EV -15.60%E -5.57%K -8.66%G +0.000%17.0%2026-05-23 19:00
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.19%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.78%1.5%2026-05-23 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.19%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.78%1.5%2026-05-23 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.19%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.78%1.5%2026-05-23 19:00
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.42%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.66%1.9%2026-05-23 18:59
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 44.97%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.69%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.34%2.9%2026-05-23 19:00