Language:English
Goiás v Criciuma
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Goiás (Local)
Prediction 44.92%2.23fair odd
EV -5.66%
Edge -2.70%
Kelly -5.15%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.42%44.91%44.96%46.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.042.052.1052.36%49.00%48.78%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Criciuma (Visit)
Prediction 24.87%4.02fair odd
EV -3.52%
Edge -0.908%
Kelly -1.22%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.72%24.95%24.85%26.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.633.703.8829.41%27.58%27.03%25.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.21%3.31fair odd
EV -6.04%
Edge -1.94%
Kelly -2.86%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.11
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.43%30.14%30.19%31.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.023.003.1135.71%33.10%33.33%32.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Goiás (Local): 44.92%; Criciuma (Visit): 24.87%; Draw: 30.21%. For Criciuma (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.02. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.88, with an expected value of -3.52%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.12%EV -5.66%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.42%EV -3.52%E -0.908%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.46%EV -6.04%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-02 01:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.02%EV -5.66%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -10.48%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.31%EV -7.85%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-02 02:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.02%EV -5.66%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -10.48%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.31%EV -7.85%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-02 02:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -6.56%E -3.15%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -6.76%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.34%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-02 01:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.42%EV -6.56%E -3.15%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.44%EV -11.73%E -3.30%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-02 00:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 43.73%EV -7.46%E -3.62%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -12.97%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.54%EV -10.87%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-02 02:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -6.76%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -6.34%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-02 12:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -8.00%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -7.85%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-02 02:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.00%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-02 02:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.00%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-02 01:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.00%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-02 02:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.00%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-02 02:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.00%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-02 01:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -12.97%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -6.34%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-02 02:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -15.46%E -4.55%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-02 02:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -15.46%E -4.55%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-02 02:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -15.46%E -4.55%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-02 02:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -15.46%E -4.55%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-02 02:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -10.16%E -5.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -5.51%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -6.34%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-02 01:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -10.16%E -5.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -8.00%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.34%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-02 01:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -10.16%E -5.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -8.00%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.34%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-02 01:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -10.16%E -5.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.48%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-02 06:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -12.40%E -6.36%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -5.51%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-02 05:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.89%EV -14.20%E -7.43%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.50%EV -12.97%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.62%EV -15.40%E -5.50%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-04-02 02:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 43.31% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 30.57% | 16.0% | 2026-04-02 02:00 |