La scuola delle quoteItaliano
Goiás v Criciuma
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Goiás (Casa)
Previsione 44.92%2.23quota equa
EV -5.66%
Vantaggio -2.70%
Kelly -5.15%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.10
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.42%44.91%44.96%46.23%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.912.042.052.1052.36%49.00%48.78%47.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Criciuma (Trasferta)
Previsione 24.87%4.02quota equa
EV -3.52%
Vantaggio -0.908%
Kelly -1.22%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.88
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.72%24.95%24.85%26.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.633.703.8829.41%27.58%27.03%25.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 30.21%3.31quota equa
EV -6.04%
Vantaggio -1.94%
Kelly -2.86%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.11
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.43%30.14%30.19%31.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.023.003.1135.71%33.10%33.33%32.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (24 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.12%EV -5.66%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.42%EV -3.52%E -0.908%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.46%EV -6.04%E -1.94%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-02 01:50 |
| Betsson | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.02%EV -5.66%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -10.48%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.31%EV -7.85%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-02 02:00 |
| NordicBet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.02%EV -5.66%E -2.70%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -10.48%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.31%EV -7.85%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-02 02:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.93%EV -6.56%E -3.15%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -6.76%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.34%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-02 01:49 |
| PlayUp | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.42%EV -6.56%E -3.15%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.44%EV -11.73%E -3.30%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-02 00:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 43.73%EV -7.46%E -3.62%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -12.97%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.54%EV -10.87%E -3.69%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-02 02:00 |
| Betway | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -6.76%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -6.34%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-02 12:00 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -8.00%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -7.85%E -2.57%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-02 02:19 |
| 888sport | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.00%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-02 02:00 |
| William Hill | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.00%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-02 01:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.00%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-02 02:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.00%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-02 02:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.00%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-02 01:50 |
| BetMGM | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -12.97%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -6.34%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-02 02:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -15.46%E -4.55%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-02 02:00 |
| Neds | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -15.46%E -4.55%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-02 02:00 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -15.46%E -4.55%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-02 02:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -7.91%E -3.86%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -15.46%E -4.55%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-02 02:00 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -10.16%E -5.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -5.51%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -6.34%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-02 01:49 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -10.16%E -5.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -8.00%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.34%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-02 01:50 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -10.16%E -5.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -8.00%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.34%E -2.05%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-02 01:49 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -10.16%E -5.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.48%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-02 06:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -12.40%E -6.36%K -13.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -5.51%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-02 05:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.89%EV -14.20%E -7.43%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.50%EV -12.97%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.62%EV -15.40%E -5.50%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-04-02 02:05 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (1)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.99I 50.25%NM 43.31% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 30.57% | 16.0% | 2026-04-02 02:00 |