Language:English
Goiás v Avai
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Goiás (Local)
Prediction 51.53%1.94fair odd
EV -5.71%
Edge -3.12%
Kelly -6.88%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.70%51.46%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.791.801.8360.61%55.96%55.56%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Avai (Visit)
Prediction 20.06%4.99fair odd
EV +0.284%
Edge +0.057%
Kelly +0.071%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.03%19.93%20.05%21.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.564.505.0023.81%21.92%22.22%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.42%3.52fair odd
EV -0.541%
Edge -0.155%
Kelly -0.216%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.20%28.37%28.49%30.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.223.203.5033.33%31.04%31.25%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Goiás (Local): 51.53%; Avai (Visit): 20.06%; Draw: 28.42%. For Avai (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.99. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.284%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.27%EV -9.31%E -5.29%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV +0.284%E +0.057%K +0.071%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -4.80%E -1.43%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-20 18:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.33%EV -10.34%E -5.94%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV +0.284%E +0.057%K +0.071%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -6.22%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-20 18:53 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -14.98%E -9.08%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV +0.284%E +0.057%K +0.071%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -6.22%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-20 18:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.29%EV -7.25%E -4.03%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.97I 20.12%NM 19.30%EV -0.318%E -0.064%K -0.080%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.41%EV -0.541%E -0.155%K -0.216%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-20 18:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.15%EV -8.80%E -4.97%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.67%EV -2.72%E -0.562%K -0.708%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.18%EV -14.75%E -4.92%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-20 18:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.29%EV -7.25%E -4.03%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.61%EV -3.73%E -0.777%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -4.80%E -1.43%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-20 18:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.11%EV -9.31%E -5.29%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.78I 20.92%NM 19.56%EV -4.13%E -0.864%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.33%EV -2.81%E -0.823%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-20 18:52 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.03%EV -7.25%E -4.03%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -4.73%E -0.996%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -11.91%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-20 18:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.73%EV -10.86%E -6.28%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.20%EV -4.73%E -0.996%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -7.65%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-20 18:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.08%EV -7.25%E -4.03%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -5.73%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -4.80%E -1.43%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-20 18:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.08%EV -7.25%E -4.03%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -5.73%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -4.80%E -1.43%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-20 18:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.08%EV -7.25%E -4.03%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -5.73%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -4.80%E -1.43%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-20 18:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.42%EV -9.31%E -5.29%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -5.73%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -6.22%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-20 18:53 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.33%EV -9.31%E -5.29%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.59%EV -5.73%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.08%EV -6.79%E -2.07%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-20 18:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.51%EV -9.83%E -5.62%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -7.74%E -1.68%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.89%EV -11.34%E -3.63%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-20 18:53 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.51%EV -9.83%E -5.62%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -7.74%E -1.68%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.89%EV -11.34%E -3.63%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-20 18:53 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -5.71%E -3.12%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -9.74%E -2.17%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.22%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-20 18:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -5.71%E -3.12%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -9.74%E -2.17%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.22%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-20 18:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -5.71%E -3.12%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -9.74%E -2.17%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.22%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-20 18:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -5.71%E -3.12%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -9.74%E -2.17%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.22%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-20 18:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -5.71%E -3.12%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -9.74%E -2.17%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.22%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-20 18:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.13%EV -6.22%E -3.42%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -9.74%E -2.17%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -6.22%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-20 18:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.13%EV -6.22%E -3.42%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -9.74%E -2.17%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -6.22%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-20 18:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.13%EV -6.22%E -3.42%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -9.74%E -2.17%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -6.22%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-20 18:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -5.71%E -3.12%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -9.74%E -2.17%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-20 18:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.25%EV -8.80%E -4.97%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -9.74%E -2.17%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -3.38%E -0.995%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-20 18:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -7.25%E -4.03%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -9.74%E -2.17%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.65%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-20 18:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.45%EV -6.22%E -3.42%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -9.74%E -2.17%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.15%EV -10.49%E -3.33%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-20 18:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.45%EV -6.22%E -3.42%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -9.74%E -2.17%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.15%EV -10.49%E -3.33%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-20 18:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -7.25%E -4.03%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.74%E -2.17%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-20 18:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -7.25%E -4.03%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.74%E -2.17%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-20 18:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -7.25%E -4.03%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.74%E -2.17%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-20 18:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -7.25%E -4.03%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.74%E -2.17%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-20 18:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -7.25%E -4.03%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -9.74%E -2.17%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -14.75%E -4.92%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-20 18:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -7.25%E -4.03%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -9.74%E -2.17%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -14.75%E -4.92%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-20 18:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -7.25%E -4.03%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -9.74%E -2.17%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -14.75%E -4.92%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-20 18:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -7.25%E -4.03%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -9.74%E -2.17%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -14.75%E -4.92%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-20 18:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -9.83%E -5.62%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -9.74%E -2.17%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -11.91%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-20 18:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.22%EV -6.22%E -3.42%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.77%EV -11.75%E -2.67%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -10.49%E -3.33%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-20 18:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.54%EV -10.86%E -6.28%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.59%EV -13.15%E -3.04%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-20 18:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.48%EV -7.25%E -4.03%K -9.07%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -13.76%E -3.20%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-20 18:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.55%EV -8.80%E -4.97%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.05%EV -14.76%E -3.47%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.40%EV -10.49%E -3.33%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-20 18:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.55%EV -8.80%E -4.97%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.05%EV -14.76%E -3.47%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.40%EV -10.49%E -3.33%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-20 18:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.55%EV -8.80%E -4.97%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.05%EV -14.76%E -3.47%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.40%EV -10.49%E -3.33%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-20 18:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.69%EV -9.31%E -5.29%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.99%EV -14.76%E -3.47%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.32%EV -10.49%E -3.33%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-20 18:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -9.83%E -5.62%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -15.76%E -3.75%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -10.49%E -3.33%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-20 18:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.35% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.14% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.51% | 0.2% | 2026-09-20 18:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.66% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.38% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.96% | 0.7% | 2026-09-20 18:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.66% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.38% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.96% | 0.7% | 2026-09-20 18:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.66% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.38% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.96% | 0.7% | 2026-09-20 18:49 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.79% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.33% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.88% | 1.0% | 2026-09-20 18:49 |