L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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Goiás v Avai

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-20 19:00 UTC

Score final : Goiás 2–1 Avai

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Goiás (Local)

Prévision 51.53%1.94cote équitable
EV -5.71%
Avantage -3.12%
Kelly -6.88%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%51.70%51.46%54.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.651.791.801.8360.61%55.96%55.56%54.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Avai (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.06%4.99cote équitable
EV +0.284%
Avantage +0.057%
Kelly +0.071%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.03%19.93%20.05%21.13%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.204.564.505.0023.81%21.92%22.22%20.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 28.42%3.52cote équitable
EV -0.541%
Avantage -0.155%
Kelly -0.216%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.20%28.37%28.49%30.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.223.203.5033.33%31.04%31.25%28.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Goiás (Local) : 51.53% ; Avai (Visiteur) : 20.06% ; Match nul : 28.42%. Pour Avai (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.99. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.00, soit une espérance positive de +0.284%.

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
SportsBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.27%EV -9.31%E -5.29%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV +0.284%E +0.057%K +0.071%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -4.80%E -1.43%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 18:54
FanDuel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.33%EV -10.34%E -5.94%K -13.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV +0.284%E +0.057%K +0.071%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -6.22%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-20 18:53
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.64%EV -14.98%E -9.08%K -23.05%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.03%EV +0.284%E +0.057%K +0.071%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.32%EV -6.22%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-20 18:54
Pinnacle🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.29%EV -7.25%E -4.03%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.97I 20.12%NM 19.30%EV -0.318%E -0.064%K -0.080%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.41%EV -0.541%E -0.155%K -0.216%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-20 18:49
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.15%EV -8.80%E -4.97%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.67%EV -2.72%E -0.562%K -0.708%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.18%EV -14.75%E -4.92%K -7.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 18:59
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.29%EV -7.25%E -4.03%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.61%EV -3.73%E -0.777%K -0.981%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.10%EV -4.80%E -1.43%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 18:54
1xBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.11%EV -9.31%E -5.29%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.78I 20.92%NM 19.56%EV -4.13%E -0.864%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.33%EV -2.81%E -0.823%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 18:52
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.03%EV -7.25%E -4.03%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -4.73%E -0.996%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -11.91%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-20 18:44
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.73%EV -10.86%E -6.28%K -14.88%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.20%EV -4.73%E -0.996%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -7.65%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-20 18:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.08%EV -7.25%E -4.03%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -5.73%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -4.80%E -1.43%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 18:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.08%EV -7.25%E -4.03%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -5.73%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -4.80%E -1.43%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 18:54
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.08%EV -7.25%E -4.03%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -5.73%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -4.80%E -1.43%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 18:54
Bovada🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.42%EV -9.31%E -5.29%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -5.73%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -6.22%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-20 18:53
Marathon Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.33%EV -9.31%E -5.29%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.59%EV -5.73%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.08%EV -6.79%E -2.07%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-20 18:59
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.51%EV -9.83%E -5.62%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -7.74%E -1.68%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.89%EV -11.34%E -3.63%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-20 18:53
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.51%EV -9.83%E -5.62%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -7.74%E -1.68%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.89%EV -11.34%E -3.63%K -5.35%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-20 18:53
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -5.71%E -3.12%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -9.74%E -2.17%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.22%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 18:59
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -5.71%E -3.12%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -9.74%E -2.17%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.22%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 18:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -5.71%E -3.12%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -9.74%E -2.17%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.22%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 18:59
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -5.71%E -3.12%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -9.74%E -2.17%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.22%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 18:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -5.71%E -3.12%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -9.74%E -2.17%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -6.22%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-20 18:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.13%EV -6.22%E -3.42%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -9.74%E -2.17%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -6.22%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 18:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.13%EV -6.22%E -3.42%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -9.74%E -2.17%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -6.22%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 18:20
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.13%EV -6.22%E -3.42%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -9.74%E -2.17%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -6.22%E -1.89%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 18:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -5.71%E -3.12%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -9.74%E -2.17%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-20 18:44
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.25%EV -8.80%E -4.97%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -9.74%E -2.17%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -3.38%E -0.995%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-20 18:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -7.25%E -4.03%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -9.74%E -2.17%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.65%E -2.35%K -3.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-20 18:54
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.45%EV -6.22%E -3.42%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -9.74%E -2.17%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.15%EV -10.49%E -3.33%K -4.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-20 18:44
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.45%EV -6.22%E -3.42%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -9.74%E -2.17%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.15%EV -10.49%E -3.33%K -4.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-20 18:44
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -7.25%E -4.03%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.74%E -2.17%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-20 18:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -7.25%E -4.03%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.74%E -2.17%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-20 18:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -7.25%E -4.03%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.74%E -2.17%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-20 18:54
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -7.25%E -4.03%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.74%E -2.17%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-20 18:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -7.25%E -4.03%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -9.74%E -2.17%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -14.75%E -4.92%K -7.37%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 18:44
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -7.25%E -4.03%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -9.74%E -2.17%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -14.75%E -4.92%K -7.37%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 18:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -7.25%E -4.03%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -9.74%E -2.17%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -14.75%E -4.92%K -7.37%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 18:44
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -7.25%E -4.03%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -9.74%E -2.17%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -14.75%E -4.92%K -7.37%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 18:44
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -9.83%E -5.62%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -9.74%E -2.17%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -11.91%E -3.84%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-20 18:59
Codere (IT)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.22%EV -6.22%E -3.42%K -7.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.77%EV -11.75%E -2.67%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -10.49%E -3.33%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 18:44
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.54%EV -10.86%E -6.28%K -14.88%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.59%EV -13.15%E -3.04%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-20 18:54
BetRivers🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.48%EV -7.25%E -4.03%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -13.76%E -3.20%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.39%EV -9.07%E -2.83%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-20 18:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.55%EV -8.80%E -4.97%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.05%EV -14.76%E -3.47%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.40%EV -10.49%E -3.33%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-20 18:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.55%EV -8.80%E -4.97%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.05%EV -14.76%E -3.47%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.40%EV -10.49%E -3.33%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-20 18:15
Grosvenor🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.55%EV -8.80%E -4.97%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.05%EV -14.76%E -3.47%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.40%EV -10.49%E -3.33%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-20 18:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.69%EV -9.31%E -5.29%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.99%EV -14.76%E -3.47%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.32%EV -10.49%E -3.33%K -4.88%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-20 18:15
TABtouch🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.70%EV -9.83%E -5.62%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -15.76%E -3.75%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -10.49%E -3.33%K -4.88%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-20 18:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.87I 53.48%NM 53.35%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.14%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.51%0.2%2026-09-20 18:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.66%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.38%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.96%0.7%2026-09-20 18:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.66%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.38%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.96%0.7%2026-09-20 18:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.66%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.38%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.96%0.7%2026-09-20 18:49
Smarkets◎1.84I 54.35%NM 53.79%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.33%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.88%1.0%2026-09-20 18:49