Language:English
Cuiabá v Operario PR
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cuiabá (Local)
Prediction 45.61%2.19fair odd
EV -5.58%
Edge -2.70%
Kelly -5.22%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.07
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.74%45.64%45.60%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.922.022.042.0752.08%49.52%49.02%48.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Operario PR (Visit)
Prediction 23.49%4.26fair odd
EV +1.26%
Edge +0.292%
Kelly +0.380%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 4.31
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.11%23.47%23.49%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.913.904.3127.78%25.57%25.64%23.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.89%3.24fair odd
EV -4.23%
Edge -1.36%
Kelly -2.01%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.71%30.89%30.91%32.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.952.953.1035.71%33.92%33.90%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cuiabá (Local): 45.61%; Operario PR (Visit): 23.49%; Draw: 30.89%. For Operario PR (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.26. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.31, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.26%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -5.58%E -2.70%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.34%EV +1.26%E +0.292%K +0.380%G +0.005% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.16%EV -4.54%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-19 23:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.05%EV -7.41%E -3.65%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -1.33%E -0.316%K -0.414%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -8.86%E -3.00%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-19 23:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.42%EV -8.78%E -4.39%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%EV -1.33%E -0.316%K -0.414%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -8.86%E -3.00%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-19 23:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.04%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -3.67%E -0.896%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.94%EV -5.77%E -1.89%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 22:56 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.58%EV -6.04%E -2.93%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -3.67%E -0.896%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.51%EV -7.94%E -2.66%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-19 22:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.58%EV -6.04%E -2.93%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -3.67%E -0.896%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.51%EV -7.94%E -2.66%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-19 22:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.58%EV -6.04%E -2.93%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -3.67%E -0.896%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.51%EV -7.94%E -2.66%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-19 22:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.37%EV -8.78%E -4.39%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -3.67%E -0.896%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.01%EV -7.63%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-19 23:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.17%EV -8.78%E -4.39%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -3.67%E -0.896%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.30%EV -8.86%E -3.00%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-19 22:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.66%EV -6.95%E -3.41%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -6.02%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.32%E -2.44%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-19 23:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.66%EV -6.95%E -3.41%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -6.02%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.32%E -2.44%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-19 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.66%EV -6.95%E -3.41%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -6.02%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.32%E -2.44%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-19 23:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.66%EV -6.95%E -3.41%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -6.02%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.32%E -2.44%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-19 23:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.66%EV -6.95%E -3.41%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -6.02%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.32%E -2.44%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-19 23:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.66%EV -6.95%E -3.41%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -6.02%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.32%E -2.44%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-19 23:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.66%EV -6.95%E -3.41%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -6.02%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.32%E -2.44%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-19 23:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -8.78%E -4.39%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.02%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.32%E -2.44%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-19 22:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -11.06%E -5.67%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.52%EV -6.02%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.28%EV -11.03%E -3.83%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-19 23:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -11.06%E -5.67%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.52%EV -6.02%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.28%EV -11.03%E -3.83%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-19 23:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.07%EV -7.41%E -3.65%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 23.56%EV -6.73%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.37%EV -4.85%E -1.57%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-19 23:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -8.37%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -7.32%E -2.44%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-19 22:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.64%EV -7.86%E -3.89%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -8.37%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -7.32%E -2.44%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-19 22:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 45.76%EV -8.32%E -4.14%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -8.37%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -7.32%E -2.44%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-19 22:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -8.37%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.81%EV -11.03%E -3.83%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-19 22:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -8.37%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.81%EV -11.03%E -3.83%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-19 22:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -8.37%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.81%EV -11.03%E -3.83%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-19 22:46 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -8.37%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.81%EV -11.03%E -3.83%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-19 22:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -8.78%E -4.39%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -8.37%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.95%EV -8.86%E -3.00%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-19 23:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.58%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -9.55%E -2.48%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -4.23%E -1.36%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-19 22:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -8.78%E -4.39%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -10.72%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -4.23%E -1.36%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-19 22:46 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -8.78%E -4.39%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -10.72%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -4.23%E -1.36%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-19 16:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -10.72%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -8.86%E -3.00%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-19 17:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -10.72%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -8.86%E -3.00%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-19 17:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.63%EV -10.60%E -5.41%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -10.72%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.84%EV -10.41%E -3.59%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-19 23:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.78%EV -11.51%E -5.93%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -10.72%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.84%EV -11.03%E -3.83%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-19 23:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.26%EV -11.90%E -3.17%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.37%EV -10.41%E -3.59%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-19 19:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.74%EV -7.86%E -3.89%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -11.90%E -3.17%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.41%E -3.59%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-19 22:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.98%EV -8.78%E -4.39%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -11.90%E -3.17%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.02%EV -10.41%E -3.59%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-19 22:58 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.98%EV -8.78%E -4.39%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -11.90%E -3.17%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.02%EV -10.41%E -3.59%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-19 23:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.62%EV -11.97%E -6.20%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.48%EV -11.90%E -3.17%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.90%EV -11.95%E -4.19%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-19 23:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.75%EV -12.42%E -6.47%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.43%EV -11.90%E -3.17%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.82%EV -11.95%E -4.19%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-19 23:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.75%EV -12.42%E -6.47%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.43%EV -11.90%E -3.17%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.82%EV -11.95%E -4.19%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-19 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -13.07%E -3.53%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -13.50%E -4.82%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-19 19:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -13.07%E -3.53%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -13.50%E -4.82%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-19 19:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -13.07%E -3.53%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -13.50%E -4.82%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-19 19:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -13.07%E -3.53%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -13.50%E -4.82%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-19 19:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -8.78%E -4.39%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -15.42%E -4.28%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -7.32%E -2.44%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-19 22:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.41% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.53% | 0.7% | 2026-08-19 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.41% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.53% | 0.7% | 2026-08-19 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.41% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.53% | 0.7% | 2026-08-19 23:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.41% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.53% | 0.7% | 2026-08-19 22:56 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.17% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.2% | 2026-08-19 23:10 |