Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cuiabá v Operario PR

Início: 2026-08-19 23:30 UTC

Final: Cuiabá 1–0 Operario PR

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cuiabá (Local)

Previsão 45.61%2.19odd justa
EV -5.58%
Vantagem -2.70%
Kelly -5.22%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.07

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.74%45.64%45.60%46.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.922.022.042.0752.08%49.52%49.02%48.31%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Operario PR (Visitante)

Previsão 23.49%4.26odd justa
EV +1.26%
Vantagem +0.292%
Kelly +0.380%
Crescimento +0.005%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.31

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.11%23.47%23.49%25.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.603.913.904.3127.78%25.57%25.64%23.20%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 30.89%3.24odd justa
EV -4.23%
Vantagem -1.36%
Kelly -2.01%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.71%30.89%30.91%32.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.802.952.953.1035.71%33.92%33.90%32.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Cuiabá (Local): 45.61%; Operario PR (Visitante): 23.49%; Empate: 30.89%. Para Operario PR (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.26. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.31, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.26%.

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -5.58%E -2.70%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.34%EV +1.26%E +0.292%K +0.380%G +0.005%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.16%EV -4.54%E -1.47%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-19 23:00
SportsBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.05%EV -7.41%E -3.65%K -7.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -1.33%E -0.316%K -0.414%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -8.86%E -3.00%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-19 23:15
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.42%EV -8.78%E -4.39%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%EV -1.33%E -0.316%K -0.414%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.47%EV -8.86%E -3.00%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-19 23:14
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.04%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -3.67%E -0.896%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.94%EV -5.77%E -1.89%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 22:56
LowVig.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.58%EV -6.04%E -2.93%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -3.67%E -0.896%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.51%EV -7.94%E -2.66%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-19 22:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.58%EV -6.04%E -2.93%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -3.67%E -0.896%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.51%EV -7.94%E -2.66%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-19 22:45
BetUS🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.58%EV -6.04%E -2.93%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -3.67%E -0.896%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.51%EV -7.94%E -2.66%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-19 22:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.37%EV -8.78%E -4.39%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -3.67%E -0.896%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.01%EV -7.63%E -2.55%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-19 23:00
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.17%EV -8.78%E -4.39%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.52%EV -3.67%E -0.896%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.30%EV -8.86%E -3.00%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-19 22:59
Unibet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.66%EV -6.95%E -3.41%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -6.02%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.32%E -2.44%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-19 23:10
Casumo🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.66%EV -6.95%E -3.41%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -6.02%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.32%E -2.44%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-19 23:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.66%EV -6.95%E -3.41%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -6.02%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.32%E -2.44%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-19 23:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.66%EV -6.95%E -3.41%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -6.02%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.32%E -2.44%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-19 23:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.66%EV -6.95%E -3.41%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -6.02%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.32%E -2.44%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-19 23:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.66%EV -6.95%E -3.41%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -6.02%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.32%E -2.44%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-19 23:10
betPARX🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.66%EV -6.95%E -3.41%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -6.02%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -7.32%E -2.44%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-19 23:10
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -8.78%E -4.39%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.02%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.32%E -2.44%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-19 22:45
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -11.06%E -5.67%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.52%EV -6.02%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.28%EV -11.03%E -3.83%K -5.86%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-19 23:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -11.06%E -5.67%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.52%EV -6.02%E -1.51%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.28%EV -11.03%E -3.83%K -5.86%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-19 23:15
1xBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.07%EV -7.41%E -3.65%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.56%EV -6.73%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.37%EV -4.85%E -1.57%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-19 23:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -8.37%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -7.32%E -2.44%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-19 22:05
LeoVegas🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.64%EV -7.86%E -3.89%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -8.37%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -7.32%E -2.44%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-19 22:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 45.76%EV -8.32%E -4.14%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.58%EV -8.37%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -7.32%E -2.44%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-19 22:05
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -8.37%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.81%EV -11.03%E -3.83%K -5.86%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-19 22:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -8.37%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.81%EV -11.03%E -3.83%K -5.86%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-19 22:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -8.37%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.81%EV -11.03%E -3.83%K -5.86%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-19 22:46
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -8.37%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.81%EV -11.03%E -3.83%K -5.86%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-19 22:49
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -8.78%E -4.39%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.41%EV -8.37%E -2.15%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.95%EV -8.86%E -3.00%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-19 23:10
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.58%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -9.55%E -2.48%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -4.23%E -1.36%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-19 22:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -8.78%E -4.39%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -10.72%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -4.23%E -1.36%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-19 22:46
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -8.78%E -4.39%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -10.72%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -4.23%E -1.36%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-19 16:14
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -10.72%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -8.86%E -3.00%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-19 17:39
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -10.72%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -8.86%E -3.00%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-19 17:40
Grosvenor🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.63%EV -10.60%E -5.41%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -10.72%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.84%EV -10.41%E -3.59%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-19 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.78%EV -11.51%E -5.93%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -10.72%E -2.82%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.84%EV -11.03%E -3.83%K -5.86%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-19 23:10
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.26%EV -11.90%E -3.17%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.37%EV -10.41%E -3.59%K -5.48%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-19 19:25
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.74%EV -7.86%E -3.89%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -11.90%E -3.17%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.41%E -3.59%K -5.48%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-19 22:45
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.98%EV -8.78%E -4.39%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -11.90%E -3.17%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.02%EV -10.41%E -3.59%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-19 22:58
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.98%EV -8.78%E -4.39%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -11.90%E -3.17%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.02%EV -10.41%E -3.59%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-19 23:00
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 45.62%EV -11.97%E -6.20%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.48%EV -11.90%E -3.17%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.90%EV -11.95%E -4.19%K -6.46%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-19 23:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 45.75%EV -12.42%E -6.47%K -13.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.43%EV -11.90%E -3.17%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.82%EV -11.95%E -4.19%K -6.46%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-19 23:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 45.75%EV -12.42%E -6.47%K -13.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.43%EV -11.90%E -3.17%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.82%EV -11.95%E -4.19%K -6.46%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-19 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -13.07%E -3.53%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -13.50%E -4.82%K -7.50%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-19 19:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -13.07%E -3.53%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -13.50%E -4.82%K -7.50%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-19 19:24
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -13.07%E -3.53%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -13.50%E -4.82%K -7.50%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-19 19:25
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -6.50%E -3.17%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -13.07%E -3.53%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.02%EV -13.50%E -4.82%K -7.50%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-19 19:24
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -8.78%E -4.39%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -15.42%E -4.28%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -7.32%E -2.44%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-19 22:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.41%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.53%0.7%2026-08-19 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.41%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.53%0.7%2026-08-19 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.41%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.53%0.7%2026-08-19 23:10
Matchbook◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.41%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.53%0.7%2026-08-19 22:56
Smarkets◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.17%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.2%2026-08-19 23:10