The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Cuiabá v Goiás

2026-08-22 21:30 UTC — Brazil Série B

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cuiabá (Local)

Prediction 41.45%2.41fair odd
EV -6.73%
Edge -2.99%
Kelly -5.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.15%41.45%41.45%41.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.122.212.252.2547.17%45.34%44.44%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Goiás (Visit)

Prediction 27.63%3.62fair odd
EV -6.04%
Edge -1.78%
Kelly -2.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.44%27.63%27.63%27.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.313.403.4031.75%30.20%29.41%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 30.91%3.23fair odd
EV -7.26%
Edge -2.42%
Kelly -3.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.91%30.91%30.91%31.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.943.003.0035.71%34.07%33.33%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Cuiabá (Local): 41.45%; Goiás (Visit): 27.63%; Draw: 30.91%. For Goiás (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.62. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.40, with an expected value of -6.04%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.04%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 22:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.04%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 22:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.04%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 22:05
Casumo🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.04%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 22:05
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.04%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 22:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.04%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 22:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.73%E -2.99%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.04%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.26%E -2.42%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 22:04
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -8.81%E -4.00%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -8.81%E -2.67%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -8.81%E -2.98%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-15 22:04
Grosvenor🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.30%EV -10.05%E -4.63%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -10.19%E -3.13%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.12%EV -10.97%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-15 22:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 41.24%EV -10.46%E -4.84%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.57%E -3.62%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.93%EV -10.97%E -3.81%K -5.83%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-15 22:04
TABtouch🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.22%EV -10.88%E -5.06%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -11.57%E -3.62%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -11.90%E -4.17%K -6.43%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-15 21:34
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.15%EV -12.12%E -5.72%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.69%EV -12.95%E -4.11%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.16%EV -13.44%E -4.80%K -7.47%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-15 22:04
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.15%EV -12.12%E -5.72%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.69%EV -12.95%E -4.11%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.16%EV -13.44%E -4.80%K -7.47%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-15 22:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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