Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cuiabá v Goiás

Início: 2026-08-22 21:30 UTC

Final: Cuiabá 1–1 Goiás

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cuiabá (Local)

Previsão 38.42%2.60odd justa
EV -3.17%
Vantagem -1.26%
Kelly -2.08%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.52

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.35%38.40%38.42%39.31%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.252.382.382.5244.44%42.05%42.02%39.68%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Goiás (Visitante)

Previsão 27.36%3.66odd justa
EV -1.52%
Vantagem -0.422%
Kelly -0.584%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.20%27.30%27.42%28.85%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.123.353.333.6032.05%29.83%30.08%27.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 34.22%2.92odd justa
EV -4.19%
Vantagem -1.50%
Kelly -2.33%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.88%34.30%34.16%35.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.582.682.702.8038.76%37.25%37.04%35.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Cuiabá (Local): 38.42%; Goiás (Visitante): 27.36%; Empate: 34.22%. Para Goiás (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.66. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.60, com valor esperado de -1.52%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 38.22%EV -3.17%E -1.26%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.75%EV -1.52%E -0.422%K -0.584%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.02%EV -5.90%E -2.14%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-22 21:20
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -3.94%E -1.58%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -5.62%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -7.61%E -2.82%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-22 19:00
BetUS🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.20%EV -5.86%E -2.39%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%EV -5.62%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -7.61%E -2.82%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 21:20
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -5.86%E -2.39%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -9.72%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -10.35%E -3.95%K -6.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 20:44
William Hill🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -5.86%E -2.39%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -9.72%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -10.35%E -3.95%K -6.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 20:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -5.86%E -2.39%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -9.72%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -10.35%E -3.95%K -6.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 20:44
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -5.86%E -2.39%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -9.72%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -10.35%E -3.95%K -6.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 20:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.53%EV -6.24%E -2.56%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -6.99%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.82%EV -4.87%E -1.75%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-22 20:44
BetOnline.ag🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.53%EV -6.24%E -2.56%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -6.99%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.82%EV -4.87%E -1.75%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-22 20:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.01%E -2.90%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.11%EV -6.44%E -1.88%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.59%EV -8.29%E -3.09%K -4.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 20:44
Bovada🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.20%EV -7.01%E -2.90%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.79%EV -5.62%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.01%EV -9.66%E -3.66%K -5.89%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-22 21:13
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -7.78%E -3.24%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.99%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -4.19%E -1.50%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 20:59
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -7.78%E -3.24%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -4.25%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.61%E -2.82%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 20:45
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -7.78%E -3.24%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -4.25%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.61%E -2.82%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 20:44
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.78%E -3.24%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -9.72%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -5.90%E -2.14%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-22 21:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.78%E -3.24%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -4.25%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -11.03%E -4.24%K -6.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 19:15
NordicBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.23%EV -7.78%E -3.24%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -4.25%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.56%EV -11.72%E -4.54%K -7.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 19:14
Betsson🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.23%EV -7.78%E -3.24%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -4.25%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.56%EV -11.72%E -4.54%K -7.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 19:14
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -7.78%E -3.24%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -12.46%E -3.89%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -9.32%E -3.52%K -5.65%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-22 21:15
Codere (IT)🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 38.43%EV -8.16%E -3.42%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -4.25%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.33%EV -11.03%E -4.24%K -6.89%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 19:15
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.55%E -3.59%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -5.62%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -5.90%E -2.14%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 21:24
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.55%E -3.59%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -5.62%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -5.90%E -2.14%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 21:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.55%E -3.59%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -5.62%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -5.90%E -2.14%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 21:24
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.55%E -3.59%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -5.62%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -5.90%E -2.14%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 21:25
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.55%E -3.59%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -5.62%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -5.90%E -2.14%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 21:24
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.55%E -3.59%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -5.62%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -5.90%E -2.14%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 21:24
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.55%E -3.59%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -5.62%E -1.63%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.87%EV -5.90%E -2.14%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 21:24
LeoVegas🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.53%EV -8.55%E -3.59%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -4.25%E -1.22%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.27%EV -11.03%E -4.24%K -6.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 20:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.08%EV -8.55%E -3.59%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.72%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.46%EV -10.00%E -3.80%K -6.14%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-22 21:19
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.03%EV -8.55%E -3.59%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -9.72%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.54%EV -10.35%E -3.95%K -6.39%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-22 20:45
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.82%EV -8.55%E -3.59%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.85%EV -14.65%E -4.70%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.34%EV -7.61%E -2.82%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-22 21:23
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.82%EV -8.55%E -3.59%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.85%EV -14.65%E -4.70%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.34%EV -7.61%E -2.82%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-22 21:23
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -9.70%E -4.13%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.72%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -5.90%E -2.14%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-22 21:00
BetRivers🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -9.70%E -4.13%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -8.36%E -2.49%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -7.61%E -2.82%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 20:40
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -9.70%E -4.13%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -9.72%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -7.61%E -2.82%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 20:45
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -9.70%E -4.13%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -11.09%E -3.41%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.61%E -2.82%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 20:45
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -11.62%E -5.05%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -11.09%E -3.41%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -5.90%E -2.14%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-22 21:00
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.99%EV -11.62%E -5.05%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -9.72%E -2.95%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.84%EV -9.32%E -3.52%K -5.65%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-22 21:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -11.62%E -5.05%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -12.46%E -3.89%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -7.61%E -2.82%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-22 20:44
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -11.62%E -5.05%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -12.46%E -3.89%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -7.61%E -2.82%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-22 20:45
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -11.62%E -5.05%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -12.46%E -3.89%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -7.61%E -2.82%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-22 20:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -11.62%E -5.05%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -12.46%E -3.89%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -7.61%E -2.82%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-22 20:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.93%EV -12.39%E -5.43%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.31%EV -11.09%E -3.41%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.75%EV -10.00%E -3.80%K -6.14%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-22 21:24
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.93%EV -12.39%E -5.43%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.31%EV -11.09%E -3.41%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.75%EV -10.00%E -3.80%K -6.14%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-22 21:24
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.93%EV -13.54%E -6.02%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -12.46%E -3.89%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.69%EV -11.03%E -4.24%K -6.89%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-22 20:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.93%EV -13.54%E -6.02%K -10.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -12.46%E -3.89%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.69%EV -11.03%E -4.24%K -6.89%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-22 20:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.42%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.43%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.15%0.9%2026-08-22 21:25
Smarkets◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.51%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.47%1.4%2026-08-22 21:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.19%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.19%1.5%2026-08-22 21:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.19%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.19%1.5%2026-08-22 21:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.19%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.19%1.5%2026-08-22 21:25