The School of Odds

Cuiabá v Atletico Goianiense

2026-07-23 23:30 UTC — Brazil Série B

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Cuiabá (Local)

Prediction 41.62%2.40fair odd
EV -7.18%
Edge -3.22%
Kelly -5.84%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.51%41.62%41.62%41.85%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.102.182.232.2348%46%45%45%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Atletico Goianiense (Visit)

Prediction 27.09%3.69fair odd
EV -6.55%
Edge -1.90%
Kelly -2.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.05%27.09%27.09%27.33%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.203.363.453.4531%30%29%29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 31.29%3.20fair odd
EV -6.13%
Edge -2.04%
Kelly -3.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.04%31.29%31.29%31.29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.802.933.003.0036%34%33%33%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -7.18%E -3.22%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -6.55%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-17 00:05
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -7.18%E -3.22%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -6.55%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-17 00:05
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -7.18%E -3.22%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -6.55%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-17 00:10
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -7.18%E -3.22%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -6.55%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-17 00:10
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -7.18%E -3.22%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -6.55%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-17 00:10
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -7.18%E -3.22%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -6.55%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-17 00:10
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -7.18%E -3.22%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -6.55%E -1.90%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-17 00:05
BetRivers2.18I 45.87%NM 41.62%EV -9.26%E -4.25%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -9.26%E -2.76%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.26%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-17 00:10
Grosvenor2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -10.51%E -4.89%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -10.61%E -3.22%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -9.89%E -3.43%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-17 00:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 41.51%EV -10.93%E -5.11%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -11.97%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.17%EV -10.82%E -3.80%K -5.85%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-17 00:05
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 41.73%EV -11.76%E -5.55%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22%EV -11.97%E -3.68%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.04%EV -10.82%E -3.80%K -5.85%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-17 00:10
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 41.56%EV -12.59%E -6.00%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -13.32%E -4.16%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.17%EV -12.39%E -4.42%K -6.88%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-17 00:10
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 41.56%EV -12.59%E -6.00%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -13.32%E -4.16%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.17%EV -12.39%E -4.42%K -6.88%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-17 00:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.