L’École des cotes

Cuiabá v Atletico Goianiense

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-23 23:30 UTC

Score final : Cuiabá 0–1 Atletico Goianiense

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cuiabá (Local)

Prévision 43.01%2.33cote équitable
EV -4.10%
Avantage -1.84%
Kelly -3.33%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.98%43.08%43.06%46.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.922.102.132.2352.08%47.63%46.84%44.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Atletico Goianiense (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.81%4.03cote équitable
EV -0.777%
Avantage -0.194%
Kelly -0.259%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.51%24.78%24.80%25.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.733.734.0028.57%26.82%26.85%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 32.19%3.11cote équitable
EV -1.82%
Avantage -0.598%
Kelly -0.890%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.31%32.13%32.14%33.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.752.882.883.0536.36%34.67%34.72%32.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.23I 44.84%NM 43.09%EV -4.10%E -1.84%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -2.02%E -0.511%K -0.684%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.58%EV -5.04%E -1.71%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-23 23:15
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.92%EV -5.39%E -2.45%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.52%EV -4.50%E -1.17%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.65%E -2.29%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-23 23:25
1xBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.54%EV -5.39%E -2.45%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.50%EV -7.30%E -2.53%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-23 23:20
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.39%E -2.45%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -8.22%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -8.26%E -2.90%K -4.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-23 22:19
LowVig.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 43.14%EV -6.25%E -2.87%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -0.777%E -0.194%K -0.259%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.35%EV -9.23%E -3.27%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-23 23:25
BetOnline.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 43.14%EV -6.25%E -2.87%K -5.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -0.777%E -0.194%K -0.259%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.35%EV -9.23%E -3.27%K -5.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-23 23:25
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -6.25%E -2.87%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -8.22%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.73%EV -9.23%E -3.27%K -5.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-23 22:20
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -6.25%E -2.87%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -8.22%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.73%EV -9.23%E -3.27%K -5.07%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-23 22:20
Codere (IT)2.16I 46.30%NM 42.32%EV -7.11%E -3.29%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.04%EV -9.46%E -2.59%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.64%EV -9.87%E -3.53%K -5.48%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-23 22:20
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -8.22%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.43%E -1.14%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-23 22:00
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -8.22%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -3.43%E -1.14%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-23 22:00
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.66%EV -5.04%E -1.71%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-23 22:35
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -5.74%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -6.65%E -2.29%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-23 22:15
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -5.74%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -9.87%E -3.53%K -5.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-23 23:27
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 42.71%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -9.87%E -3.53%K -5.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-23 23:05
LeoVegas2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.70%E -2.97%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -8.26%E -2.90%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-23 22:35
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.70%E -2.97%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -8.26%E -2.90%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-23 22:14
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.20%EV -11.48%E -4.17%K -6.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-23 23:25
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.20%EV -11.48%E -4.17%K -6.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-23 23:15
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.20%EV -11.48%E -4.17%K -6.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-23 23:15
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.20%EV -11.48%E -4.17%K -6.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-23 23:25
betano_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -13.18%E -3.77%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -9.87%E -3.53%K -5.48%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-23 22:30
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -7.54%E -3.51%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -13.18%E -3.77%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -9.87%E -3.53%K -5.48%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-23 22:29
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 42.72%EV -8.83%E -4.16%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -11.94%E -3.36%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -8.26%E -2.90%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-23 23:29
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -9.69%E -4.61%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -8.22%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -6.65%E -2.29%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-23 22:00
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -9.69%E -4.61%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.70%E -2.97%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -6.65%E -2.29%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-23 23:20
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -9.69%E -4.61%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -10.70%E -2.97%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.53%EV -7.30%E -2.53%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-23 21:59
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -9.69%E -4.61%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -13.18%E -3.77%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -7.30%E -2.53%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-23 22:00
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.69%E -4.61%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.18%E -3.77%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -9.87%E -3.53%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-23 22:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.69%E -4.61%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.18%E -3.77%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -9.87%E -3.53%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-23 22:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.69%E -4.61%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.18%E -3.77%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -9.87%E -3.53%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-23 22:15
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.69%E -4.61%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.18%E -3.77%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -9.87%E -3.53%K -5.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-23 22:15
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 43.45%EV -11.84%E -5.78%K -11.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.70%E -2.97%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.81%EV -9.87%E -3.53%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-23 22:00
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.00%EV -13.13%E -6.50%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -2.02%E -0.511%K -0.684%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -1.82%E -0.598%K -0.890%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-23 23:15
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 46.00%EV -13.13%E -6.50%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -2.02%E -0.511%K -0.684%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -1.82%E -0.598%K -0.890%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-23 23:15
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.00%EV -13.13%E -6.50%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -2.02%E -0.511%K -0.684%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -1.82%E -0.598%K -0.890%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-23 23:15
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.00%EV -13.13%E -6.50%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -2.02%E -0.511%K -0.684%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -1.82%E -0.598%K -0.890%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-23 23:15
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 46.00%EV -13.13%E -6.50%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -2.02%E -0.511%K -0.684%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -1.82%E -0.598%K -0.890%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-23 23:15
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.00%EV -13.13%E -6.50%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -2.02%E -0.511%K -0.684%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -1.82%E -0.598%K -0.890%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-23 23:15
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 46.00%EV -13.13%E -6.50%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -2.02%E -0.511%K -0.684%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.47%EV -1.82%E -0.598%K -0.890%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-23 23:15
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -13.99%E -6.99%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -5.74%E -1.51%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -3.43%E -1.14%K -1.72%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-23 23:15
Grosvenor1.95I 51.28%NM 45.85%EV -16.14%E -8.28%K -16.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.84%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -5.04%E -1.71%K -2.59%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-23 23:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 45.74%EV -16.57%E -8.54%K -17.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.66%EV -6.98%E -1.86%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -6.65%E -2.29%K -3.50%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-23 23:15
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 45.72%EV -17.00%E -8.81%K -18.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.85%EV -8.22%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.43%EV -6.65%E -2.29%K -3.50%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-23 23:15
LiveScore Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 45.61%EV -17.43%E -9.08%K -18.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.99%EV -9.46%E -2.59%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.40%EV -7.30%E -2.53%K -3.88%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-23 23:15
Virgin Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 45.61%EV -17.43%E -9.08%K -18.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.99%EV -9.46%E -2.59%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.40%EV -7.30%E -2.53%K -3.88%G +0.000%14.2%2026-07-23 23:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.81%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.55%0.7%2026-07-23 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.56%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.08%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.36%1.3%2026-07-23 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.56%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.08%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.36%1.3%2026-07-23 23:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.56%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.08%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.36%1.3%2026-07-23 23:25
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.68%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.94%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.39%1.9%2026-07-23 23:25