语言:简体中文
Criciuma v Fortaleza
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Criciuma (主队)
预测 47.78%2.09公平赔率
EV -4.43%
优势 -2.22%
Kelly -4.43%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.00
博彩公司预测分布
45.67%47.89%47.74%50.91%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.771.931.932.0056.50%51.69%51.81%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
Fortaleza (客队)
预测 22.16%4.51公平赔率
EV -0.291%
优势 -0.065%
Kelly -0.083%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.50
博彩公司预测分布
20.02%22.04%22.17%22.83%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.904.144.104.5025.64%24.13%24.39%22.22%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 30.06%3.33公平赔率
EV -3.81%
优势 -1.19%
Kelly -1.73%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.20
博彩公司预测分布
28.79%30.07%30.09%31.59%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.802.993.003.2035.71%33.44%33.33%31.25%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Criciuma (主队)：47.78%；Fortaleza (客队)：22.16%；平局：30.06%。 对于“Fortaleza (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.51。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为4.50，期望值为-0.291%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (49 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -4.43%E -2.22%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -5.83%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -11.32%E -3.84%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-23 20:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -4.43%E -2.22%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -5.83%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -11.32%E -3.84%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-23 20:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -4.43%E -2.22%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -5.83%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -11.32%E -3.84%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-23 20:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -4.43%E -2.22%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -5.83%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -11.32%E -3.84%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-23 20:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -4.43%E -2.22%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -5.83%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -11.32%E -3.84%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-23 20:38 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -4.43%E -2.22%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -5.83%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -11.32%E -3.84%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-23 20:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -4.43%E -2.22%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -5.83%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -11.32%E -3.84%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-23 20:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -4.43%E -2.22%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -11.37%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -12.83%E -4.42%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-23 21:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -4.43%E -2.22%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -11.37%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -12.83%E -4.42%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-23 21:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -4.43%E -2.22%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -11.37%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -12.83%E -4.42%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-23 21:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -4.43%E -2.22%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -11.37%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -12.83%E -4.42%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-23 21:23 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.33%EV -4.91%E -2.47%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.49I 22.27%NM 21.42%EV -0.512%E -0.114%K -0.147%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.25%EV -4.41%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-23 21:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.53%EV -5.87%E -2.98%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -4.72%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -8.32%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-23 21:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.53%EV -5.87%E -2.98%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -4.72%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -8.32%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-23 21:23 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.82%E -3.50%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -6.94%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -5.31%E -1.69%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-23 09:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.78%EV -6.82%E -3.50%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -4.72%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.55%EV -8.32%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-23 21:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -6.82%E -3.50%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -6.94%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-23 14:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -6.82%E -3.50%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -6.94%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-23 21:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -6.82%E -3.50%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -11.37%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-23 21:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -6.82%E -3.50%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -9.15%E -2.23%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -12.83%E -4.42%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-23 20:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.30%EV -6.82%E -3.50%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -11.37%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.13%EV -12.83%E -4.42%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-23 20:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.81%EV -7.30%E -3.76%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -6.94%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.11%EV -7.42%E -2.41%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-23 21:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.50%EV -7.78%E -4.03%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.28I 23.36%NM 21.87%EV -5.17%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.62%EV -5.01%E -1.59%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-23 21:23 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -7.78%E -4.03%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -6.94%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -3.81%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-23 09:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.68%EV -7.78%E -4.03%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -5.83%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-23 21:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.30%EV -7.78%E -4.03%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -9.15%E -2.23%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-23 14:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.56%EV -7.78%E -4.03%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -9.15%E -2.23%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -14.33%E -5.03%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-23 20:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.43%EV -8.26%E -4.30%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -9.15%E -2.23%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-23 14:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.43%EV -8.26%E -4.30%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -9.15%E -2.23%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-23 14:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.40%EV -8.26%E -4.30%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -11.37%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.84%EV -8.32%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-23 21:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.43%EV -8.26%E -4.30%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.29%EV -11.37%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.28%EV -14.33%E -5.03%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-23 20:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -8.73%E -4.57%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -0.291%E -0.065%K -0.083%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.19%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-23 20:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -8.73%E -4.57%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -0.291%E -0.065%K -0.083%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.19%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-23 20:18 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -8.73%E -4.57%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -11.37%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-23 21:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.30%EV -8.73%E -4.57%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.59%EV -11.37%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-23 21:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.30%EV -8.73%E -4.57%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.59%EV -11.37%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-23 21:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.55%EV -8.73%E -4.57%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -13.59%E -3.48%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.66%EV -12.83%E -4.42%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-23 21:23 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.55%EV -8.73%E -4.57%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -13.59%E -3.48%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.66%EV -12.83%E -4.42%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-23 21:23 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.55%EV -8.73%E -4.57%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -13.59%E -3.48%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.66%EV -12.83%E -4.42%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-23 21:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.55%EV -8.73%E -4.57%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -13.59%E -3.48%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.66%EV -12.83%E -4.42%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-23 21:23 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.30%EV -8.73%E -4.57%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -11.37%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.59%EV -15.83%E -5.65%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-23 20:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.43%EV -9.21%E -4.85%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%EV -11.37%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-23 21:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 46.44%EV -9.69%E -5.13%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.22%EV -12.48%E -3.16%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.34%EV -15.83%E -5.65%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-23 20:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 46.44%EV -9.69%E -5.13%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.22%EV -12.48%E -3.16%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.34%EV -15.83%E -5.65%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-23 20:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -10.65%E -5.69%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -6.94%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -3.81%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-23 19:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.93%EV -11.60%E -6.27%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -4.06%E -0.937%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-23 20:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.93%EV -11.60%E -6.27%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -4.06%E -0.937%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-23 21:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.37%EV -12.56%E -6.86%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.13%EV -11.37%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.50%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-23 13:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.91%EV -15.42%E -8.71%K -20.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -0.291%E -0.065%K -0.083%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-23 20:39 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.50% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44% | 1.1% | 2026-08-23 21:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.50% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44% | 1.1% | 2026-08-23 21:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.50% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44% | 1.1% | 2026-08-23 21:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.50% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44% | 1.1% | 2026-08-23 21:24 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.28% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.75% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.96% | 2.5% | 2026-08-23 21:24 |