Idioma:Español
Criciuma v Fortaleza
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Criciuma (Local)
Predicción 47.78%2.09momio equitativo
EV -4.43%
Ventaja -2.22%
Kelly -4.43%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.67%47.89%47.74%50.91%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.771.931.932.0056.50%51.69%51.81%50.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Fortaleza (Visitante)
Predicción 22.16%4.51momio equitativo
EV -0.291%
Ventaja -0.065%
Kelly -0.083%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.02%22.04%22.17%22.83%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.904.144.104.5025.64%24.13%24.39%22.22%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 30.06%3.33momio equitativo
EV -3.81%
Ventaja -1.19%
Kelly -1.73%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.79%30.07%30.09%31.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.802.993.003.2035.71%33.44%33.33%31.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Criciuma (Local): 47.78%; Fortaleza (Visitante): 22.16%; Empate: 30.06%. Para Fortaleza (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.51. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 4.50, con un valor esperado de -0.291%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -4.43%E -2.22%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -5.83%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -11.32%E -3.84%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-23 20:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -4.43%E -2.22%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -5.83%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -11.32%E -3.84%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-23 20:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -4.43%E -2.22%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -5.83%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -11.32%E -3.84%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-23 20:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -4.43%E -2.22%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -5.83%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -11.32%E -3.84%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-23 20:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -4.43%E -2.22%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -5.83%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -11.32%E -3.84%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-23 20:38 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -4.43%E -2.22%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -5.83%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -11.32%E -3.84%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-23 20:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -4.43%E -2.22%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -5.83%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -11.32%E -3.84%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-23 20:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -4.43%E -2.22%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -11.37%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -12.83%E -4.42%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-23 21:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -4.43%E -2.22%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -11.37%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -12.83%E -4.42%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-23 21:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -4.43%E -2.22%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -11.37%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -12.83%E -4.42%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-23 21:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -4.43%E -2.22%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -11.37%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -12.83%E -4.42%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-23 21:23 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.33%EV -4.91%E -2.47%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 4.49I 22.27%NM 21.42%EV -0.512%E -0.114%K -0.147%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.25%EV -4.41%E -1.39%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-23 21:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.53%EV -5.87%E -2.98%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -4.72%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -8.32%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-23 21:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.53%EV -5.87%E -2.98%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.77%EV -4.72%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -8.32%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-23 21:23 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.82%E -3.50%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29%EV -6.94%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -5.31%E -1.69%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-23 09:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.78%EV -6.82%E -3.50%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV -4.72%E -1.10%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.55%EV -8.32%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-23 21:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -6.82%E -3.50%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -6.94%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-23 14:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -6.82%E -3.50%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -6.94%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-23 21:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -6.82%E -3.50%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -11.37%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-23 21:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -6.82%E -3.50%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -9.15%E -2.23%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -12.83%E -4.42%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-23 20:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.30%EV -6.82%E -3.50%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -11.37%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.13%EV -12.83%E -4.42%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-23 20:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.81%EV -7.30%E -3.76%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.08%EV -6.94%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.11%EV -7.42%E -2.41%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-23 21:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.50%EV -7.78%E -4.03%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.28I 23.36%NM 21.87%EV -5.17%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.62%EV -5.01%E -1.59%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-23 21:23 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -7.78%E -4.03%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -6.94%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -3.81%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-23 09:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.68%EV -7.78%E -4.03%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -5.83%E -1.37%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-23 21:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.30%EV -7.78%E -4.03%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -9.15%E -2.23%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-23 14:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.56%EV -7.78%E -4.03%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -9.15%E -2.23%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -14.33%E -5.03%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-23 20:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.43%EV -8.26%E -4.30%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -9.15%E -2.23%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-23 14:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.43%EV -8.26%E -4.30%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -9.15%E -2.23%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.36%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-23 14:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.40%EV -8.26%E -4.30%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -11.37%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.84%EV -8.32%E -2.73%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-23 21:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.43%EV -8.26%E -4.30%K -8.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.29%EV -11.37%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.28%EV -14.33%E -5.03%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-23 20:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -8.73%E -4.57%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -0.291%E -0.065%K -0.083%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.19%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-23 20:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -8.73%E -4.57%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -0.291%E -0.065%K -0.083%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.19%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-23 20:18 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.76%EV -8.73%E -4.57%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -11.37%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-23 21:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.30%EV -8.73%E -4.57%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.59%EV -11.37%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-23 21:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.30%EV -8.73%E -4.57%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.59%EV -11.37%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-23 21:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.55%EV -8.73%E -4.57%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -13.59%E -3.48%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.66%EV -12.83%E -4.42%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-23 21:23 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.55%EV -8.73%E -4.57%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -13.59%E -3.48%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.66%EV -12.83%E -4.42%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-23 21:23 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.55%EV -8.73%E -4.57%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -13.59%E -3.48%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.66%EV -12.83%E -4.42%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-23 21:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.55%EV -8.73%E -4.57%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -13.59%E -3.48%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.66%EV -12.83%E -4.42%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-23 21:23 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.30%EV -8.73%E -4.57%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.11%EV -11.37%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.59%EV -15.83%E -5.65%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-23 20:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.43%EV -9.21%E -4.85%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%EV -11.37%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-23 21:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 46.44%EV -9.69%E -5.13%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.22%EV -12.48%E -3.16%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.34%EV -15.83%E -5.65%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-23 20:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 46.44%EV -9.69%E -5.13%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.22%EV -12.48%E -3.16%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.34%EV -15.83%E -5.65%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-23 20:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -10.65%E -5.69%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -6.94%E -1.65%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -3.81%E -1.19%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-23 19:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.93%EV -11.60%E -6.27%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -4.06%E -0.937%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-23 20:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.93%EV -11.60%E -6.27%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -4.06%E -0.937%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-23 21:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.37%EV -12.56%E -6.86%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.13%EV -11.37%E -2.84%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.50%EV -9.82%E -3.27%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-23 13:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.91%EV -15.42%E -8.71%K -20.03%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -0.291%E -0.065%K -0.083%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -6.82%E -2.20%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-23 20:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.50% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44% | 1.1% | 2026-08-23 21:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.50% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44% | 1.1% | 2026-08-23 21:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.50% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44% | 1.1% | 2026-08-23 21:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.50% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44% | 1.1% | 2026-08-23 21:24 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.28% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.75% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.96% | 2.5% | 2026-08-23 21:24 |