Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Criciuma v Clube de Regatas Brasil

Kickoff: 2026-04-26 23:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Criciuma (Local)

Prediction 46.16%2.17fair odd
EV -5.83%
Edge -2.86%
Kelly -5.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.54%46.14%46.18%47.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.911.992.002.0452.36%50.21%50.00%49.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Clube de Regatas Brasil (Visit)

Prediction 24.25%4.12fair odd
EV -0.347%
Edge -0.084%
Kelly -0.112%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.02%24.23%24.22%25.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.793.834.1128.57%26.36%26.14%24.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.59%3.38fair odd
EV -3.82%
Edge -1.18%
Kelly -1.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.54%29.63%29.60%31.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.093.103.2534.72%32.40%32.26%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Criciuma (Local): 46.16%; Clube de Regatas Brasil (Visit): 24.25%; Draw: 29.59%. For Clube de Regatas Brasil (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.12. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.11, with an expected value of -0.347%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Casumo🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.28%EV -5.83%E -2.86%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -5.44%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -5.30%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 00:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.28%EV -5.83%E -2.86%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -5.44%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -5.30%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 00:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.28%EV -5.83%E -2.86%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -5.44%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -5.30%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 00:25
Unibet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.28%EV -5.83%E -2.86%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -5.44%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -5.30%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 00:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.28%EV -5.83%E -2.86%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -5.44%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -5.30%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 00:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.28%EV -5.83%E -2.86%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -5.44%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -5.30%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 00:25
betPARX🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.28%EV -5.83%E -2.86%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -5.44%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -5.30%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 00:25
Coolbet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.17%EV -6.29%E -3.10%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -9.08%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -3.82%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 22:04
Pinnacle🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.76%E -3.34%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.02%EV -0.347%E -0.084%K -0.112%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.13%EV -7.08%E -2.25%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-20 16:25
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.17%EV -6.76%E -3.34%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -6.65%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -6.78%E -2.15%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 00:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.91%EV -6.76%E -3.34%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -3.01%E -0.753%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.91%EV -11.22%E -3.74%K -5.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 11:29
LowVig.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.91%EV -6.76%E -3.34%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -3.01%E -0.753%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.91%EV -11.22%E -3.74%K -5.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 11:30
1xBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.55%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.22%EV -2.77%E -0.691%K -0.921%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.23%EV -8.85%E -2.87%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 05:54
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.42%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -6.65%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.47%EV -6.78%E -2.15%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 23:34
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -10.29%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -3.82%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 20:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -5.44%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -8.26%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 23:34
Betsson🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.20%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -6.65%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -8.26%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 12:50
NordicBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.20%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -6.65%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -8.26%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 12:50
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -7.86%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -8.26%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 00:25
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -12.71%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -5.30%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 20:29
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -12.71%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -5.30%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 20:28
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -12.71%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -5.30%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 20:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -12.71%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -5.30%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 22:04
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -5.44%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -14.18%E -4.89%K -7.46%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 05:29
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -5.44%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -14.18%E -4.89%K -7.46%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 05:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -5.44%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -14.18%E -4.89%K -7.46%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 05:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -5.44%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -14.18%E -4.89%K -7.46%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 05:29
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -10.29%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.22%E -3.74%K -5.61%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-22 23:35
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -15.14%E -4.32%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -8.26%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 20:30
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -12.71%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -14.18%E -4.89%K -7.46%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-20 07:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.78%EV -8.60%E -4.34%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -3.01%E -0.753%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.07%EV -8.85%E -2.87%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 05:49
Bovada🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.64%EV -8.60%E -4.34%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -3.01%E -0.753%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -9.74%E -3.19%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-20 16:19
BetUS🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.64%EV -8.60%E -4.34%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -3.01%E -0.753%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -9.74%E -3.19%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 02:34
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.00%EV -8.60%E -4.34%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -10.29%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -8.26%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 13:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.43%EV -9.06%E -4.60%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.07%EV -7.86%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50%EV -8.26%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-21 00:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.81%EV -9.06%E -4.60%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -12.71%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -8.26%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 18:14
TABtouch🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.41%EV -9.53%E -4.86%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -9.08%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -8.26%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-21 00:24
Codere (IT)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.96%EV -9.53%E -4.86%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -9.08%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.22%E -3.74%K -5.61%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 15:55
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -9.99%E -5.12%K -10.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -3.01%E -0.753%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -5.30%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 17:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -9.99%E -5.12%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -10.29%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.51%EV -9.74%E -3.19%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-21 00:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -9.99%E -5.12%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -10.29%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.51%EV -9.74%E -3.19%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-21 00:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -9.99%E -5.12%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -12.71%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.22%E -3.74%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-20 15:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -9.99%E -5.12%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -12.71%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.22%E -3.74%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-20 15:10
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -9.99%E -5.12%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -12.71%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.22%E -3.74%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-20 15:09
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -9.99%E -5.12%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -12.71%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.22%E -3.74%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-20 15:09
LeoVegas🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.29%EV -10.45%E -5.39%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -10.29%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.44%EV -9.74%E -3.19%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-21 00:25
Bet Victor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.64%EV -10.91%E -5.65%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -10.29%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -8.26%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-21 15:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.27%EV -11.83%E -6.20%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.71%EV -15.14%E -4.32%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.02%EV -14.77%E -5.13%K -7.86%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-23 23:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.