La escuela de los momios

Criciuma v Clube de Regatas Brasil

Inicio: 2026-04-26 23:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Criciuma (Local)

Predicción 46.16%2.17momio equitativo
EV -5.83%
Ventaja -2.86%
Kelly -5.61%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.04

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.54%46.14%46.18%47.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.911.992.002.0452.36%50.21%50.00%49.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Clube de Regatas Brasil (Visitante)

Predicción 24.25%4.12momio equitativo
EV -0.347%
Ventaja -0.084%
Kelly -0.112%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.11

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.02%24.23%24.22%25.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.793.834.1128.57%26.36%26.14%24.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.59%3.38momio equitativo
EV -3.82%
Ventaja -1.18%
Kelly -1.70%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.54%29.63%29.60%31.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.093.103.2534.72%32.40%32.26%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 46.28%EV -5.83%E -2.86%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -5.44%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -5.30%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 00:20
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.28%EV -5.83%E -2.86%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -5.44%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -5.30%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 00:25
Unibet (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.28%EV -5.83%E -2.86%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -5.44%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -5.30%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 00:25
Unibet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.28%EV -5.83%E -2.86%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -5.44%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -5.30%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 00:25
Svenska Spel2.04I 49.02%NM 46.28%EV -5.83%E -2.86%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -5.44%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -5.30%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 00:25
ATG (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.28%EV -5.83%E -2.86%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -5.44%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -5.30%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 00:25
betPARX2.04I 49.02%NM 46.28%EV -5.83%E -2.86%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -5.44%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -5.30%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-21 00:25
Coolbet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.17%EV -6.29%E -3.10%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -9.08%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -3.82%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 22:04
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.76%E -3.34%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.02%EV -0.347%E -0.084%K -0.112%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.13%EV -7.08%E -2.25%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-20 16:25
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 46.17%EV -6.76%E -3.34%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -6.65%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -6.78%E -2.15%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 00:25
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 45.91%EV -6.76%E -3.34%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -3.01%E -0.753%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.91%EV -11.22%E -3.74%K -5.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 11:29
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 45.91%EV -6.76%E -3.34%K -6.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -3.01%E -0.753%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.91%EV -11.22%E -3.74%K -5.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 11:30
1xBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.55%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.22%EV -2.77%E -0.691%K -0.921%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.23%EV -8.85%E -2.87%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 05:54
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 46.42%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.11%EV -6.65%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.47%EV -6.78%E -2.15%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 23:34
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -10.29%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -3.82%E -1.18%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 20:29
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -5.44%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -8.26%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 23:34
Betsson2.00I 50.00%NM 46.20%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -6.65%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -8.26%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 12:50
NordicBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.20%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -6.65%E -1.73%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -8.26%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 12:50
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -7.86%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -8.26%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 00:25
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -12.71%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -5.30%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 20:29
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -12.71%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -5.30%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 20:28
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -12.71%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -5.30%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 20:29
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -12.71%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -5.30%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 22:04
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -5.44%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -14.18%E -4.89%K -7.46%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 05:29
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -5.44%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -14.18%E -4.89%K -7.46%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 05:30
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -5.44%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -14.18%E -4.89%K -7.46%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 05:30
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -5.44%E -1.39%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -14.18%E -4.89%K -7.46%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 05:29
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -10.29%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -11.22%E -3.74%K -5.61%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-22 23:35
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -15.14%E -4.32%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -8.26%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 20:30
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -12.71%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -14.18%E -4.89%K -7.46%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-20 07:20
Marathon Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.78%EV -8.60%E -4.34%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -3.01%E -0.753%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.07%EV -8.85%E -2.87%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 05:49
Bovada1.98I 50.51%NM 46.64%EV -8.60%E -4.34%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -3.01%E -0.753%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -9.74%E -3.19%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-20 16:19
BetUS1.98I 50.51%NM 46.64%EV -8.60%E -4.34%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -3.01%E -0.753%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -9.74%E -3.19%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 02:34
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 46.00%EV -8.60%E -4.34%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -10.29%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -8.26%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 13:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.43%EV -9.06%E -4.60%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.07%EV -7.86%E -2.07%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.50%EV -8.26%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-21 00:25
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 45.81%EV -9.06%E -4.60%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -12.71%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -8.26%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 18:14
TABtouch1.96I 51.02%NM 46.41%EV -9.53%E -4.86%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -9.08%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -8.26%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-21 00:24
Codere (IT)1.96I 51.02%NM 45.96%EV -9.53%E -4.86%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.02%EV -9.08%E -2.42%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -11.22%E -3.74%K -5.61%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 15:55
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -9.99%E -5.12%K -10.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -3.01%E -0.753%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -5.30%E -1.66%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 17:24
LiveScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -9.99%E -5.12%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -10.29%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.51%EV -9.74%E -3.19%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-21 00:25
Virgin Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -9.99%E -5.12%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -10.29%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.51%EV -9.74%E -3.19%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-21 00:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -9.99%E -5.12%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -12.71%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.22%E -3.74%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-20 15:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -9.99%E -5.12%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -12.71%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.22%E -3.74%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-20 15:10
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -9.99%E -5.12%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -12.71%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.22%E -3.74%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-20 15:09
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -9.99%E -5.12%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -12.71%E -3.53%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.22%E -3.74%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-20 15:09
LeoVegas1.94I 51.55%NM 46.29%EV -10.45%E -5.39%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -10.29%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.44%EV -9.74%E -3.19%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-21 00:25
Bet Victor1.93I 51.81%NM 46.64%EV -10.91%E -5.65%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -10.29%E -2.78%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -8.26%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-21 15:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.27%EV -11.83%E -6.20%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.71%EV -15.14%E -4.32%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.02%EV -14.77%E -5.13%K -7.86%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-23 23:34
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.