Language:English
Criciuma v Athletic Club (MG)
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Criciuma (Local)
Prediction 56.91%1.76fair odd
EV -2.68%
Edge -1.57%
Kelly -3.78%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.68%56.97%56.81%59.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.631.621.7165.79%61.19%61.73%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Athletic Club (MG) (Visit)
Prediction 16.84%5.94fair odd
EV -0.456%
Edge -0.077%
Kelly -0.093%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.56%16.80%16.93%18.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.435.405.9120.00%18.42%18.52%16.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.24%3.81fair odd
EV -3.42%
Edge -0.929%
Kelly -1.28%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.07%26.22%26.26%27.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.493.503.6830.30%28.66%28.57%27.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Criciuma (Local): 56.91%; Athletic Club (MG) (Visit): 16.84%; Draw: 26.24%. For Athletic Club (MG) (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.94. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 5.91, with an expected value of -0.456%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.68%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV -11.57%E -2.20%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -10.77%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-02 00:18 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.54%EV -3.25%E -1.91%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.48%EV -9.05%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.98%EV -8.14%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-02 00:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.54%EV -3.25%E -1.91%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.48%EV -9.05%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.98%EV -8.14%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-02 00:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.54%EV -3.25%E -1.91%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.48%EV -9.05%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.98%EV -8.14%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-02 00:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.54%EV -3.25%E -1.91%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.48%EV -9.05%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.98%EV -8.14%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-02 00:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.54%EV -3.25%E -1.91%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.48%EV -9.05%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.98%EV -8.14%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-02 00:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.54%EV -3.25%E -1.91%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.48%EV -9.05%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.98%EV -8.14%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-02 00:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.54%EV -3.25%E -1.91%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.48%EV -9.05%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.98%EV -8.14%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-02 00:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.47%EV -4.96%E -2.97%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 5.91I 16.92%NM 16.24%EV -0.456%E -0.077%K -0.093%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.29%EV -4.21%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-02 00:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.45%EV -4.96%E -2.97%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.26%EV -0.624%E -0.106%K -0.127%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.29%EV -4.21%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-02 00:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.45%EV -4.96%E -2.97%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.26%EV -0.624%E -0.106%K -0.127%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.29%EV -4.21%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-02 00:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.45%EV -4.96%E -2.97%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.26%EV -0.624%E -0.106%K -0.127%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.29%EV -4.21%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-02 00:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.45%EV -6.10%E -3.69%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -7.36%E -1.34%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -8.14%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-02 00:28 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.45%EV -6.10%E -3.69%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -7.36%E -1.34%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -8.14%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-02 00:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.57%EV -6.10%E -3.69%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -11.57%E -2.20%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -10.77%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-02 00:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.72%EV -6.66%E -4.06%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -11.57%E -2.20%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -10.77%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-02 00:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.36%EV -7.23%E -4.44%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -9.05%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.46%E -2.74%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-02 00:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.78%EV -7.23%E -4.44%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.48%EV -12.41%E -2.39%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -10.77%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-02 00:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.32%EV -7.80%E -4.82%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -7.36%E -1.34%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.52%E -1.53%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-02 00:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.86%EV -7.80%E -4.82%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -11.57%E -2.20%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -5.52%E -1.53%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-02 00:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.54%EV -7.80%E -4.82%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.28%EV -10.73%E -2.02%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -8.14%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-02 00:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.54%EV -7.80%E -4.82%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.28%EV -10.73%E -2.02%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -8.14%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-02 00:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.46%EV -7.80%E -4.82%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -7.36%E -1.34%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.77%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-02 00:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.80%E -4.82%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.42%EV -11.57%E -2.20%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.14%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-02 00:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.71%EV -7.80%E -4.82%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.35%EV -12.41%E -2.39%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -12.08%E -3.61%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-02 00:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.71%EV -7.80%E -4.82%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.35%EV -12.41%E -2.39%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -12.08%E -3.61%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-02 00:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.71%EV -7.80%E -4.82%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.35%EV -12.41%E -2.39%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -12.08%E -3.61%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-02 00:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -7.80%E -4.82%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -15.78%E -3.16%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -10.77%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-02 00:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -7.80%E -4.82%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -15.78%E -3.16%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -10.77%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-02 00:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.17%EV -8.37%E -5.20%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 5.72I 17.48%NM 16.37%EV -3.66%E -0.639%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.45%EV -3.42%E -0.929%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-02 00:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.14%EV -8.37%E -5.20%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -0.624%E -0.106%K -0.127%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.52%E -1.53%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-02 00:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.47%EV -8.37%E -5.20%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -7.36%E -1.34%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.52%E -1.53%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-02 00:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.47%EV -8.37%E -5.20%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -7.36%E -1.34%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.52%E -1.53%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-02 00:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.62%EV -8.37%E -5.20%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.57%EV -7.36%E -1.34%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.77%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-02 00:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.62%EV -8.37%E -5.20%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.57%EV -7.36%E -1.34%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.77%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-02 00:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.62%EV -8.37%E -5.20%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.57%EV -7.36%E -1.34%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.77%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-02 00:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.69%EV -8.37%E -5.20%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -15.78%E -3.16%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.77%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-02 00:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.69%EV -8.37%E -5.20%K -13.72%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -15.78%E -3.16%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.77%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-02 00:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.84%EV -8.94%E -5.59%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -3.15%E -0.548%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -6.83%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-02 00:27 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.77%EV -8.94%E -5.59%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -7.36%E -1.34%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -10.77%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-02 00:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 55.41%EV -8.94%E -5.59%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.73%EV -15.78%E -3.16%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -13.39%E -4.06%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-02 00:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.51%EV -10.65%E -6.78%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV -3.15%E -0.548%K -0.663%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -5.52%E -1.53%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-02 00:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.67%EV -10.65%E -6.78%K -18.68%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -7.36%E -1.34%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -8.14%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-02 00:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.37%EV -13.49%E -8.88%K -25.95%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.56%EV -2.31%E -0.398%K -0.481%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -5.52%E -1.53%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-02 00:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.62% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.38% | 1.0% | 2026-04-02 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.62% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.38% | 1.0% | 2026-04-02 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.62% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.38% | 1.0% | 2026-04-02 00:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.15% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.34% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50% | 1.8% | 2026-04-02 00:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.01% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.70% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.29% | 2.7% | 2026-04-02 00:30 |