L’École des cotes

Criciuma v Athletic Club (MG)

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-02 00:32 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Criciuma (Local)

Prévision 56.91%1.76cote équitable
EV -2.68%
Avantage -1.57%
Kelly -3.78%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.68%56.97%56.81%59.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.521.631.621.7165.79%61.19%61.73%58.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Athletic Club (MG) (Visiteur)

Prévision 16.84%5.94cote équitable
EV -0.456%
Avantage -0.077%
Kelly -0.093%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.56%16.80%16.93%18.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.005.435.405.9120.00%18.42%18.52%16.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.24%3.81cote équitable
EV -3.42%
Avantage -0.929%
Kelly -1.28%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.07%26.22%26.26%27.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.493.503.6830.30%28.66%28.57%27.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 54.68%EV -2.68%E -1.57%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV -11.57%E -2.20%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -10.77%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-02 00:18
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 55.54%EV -3.25%E -1.91%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.48%EV -9.05%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.98%EV -8.14%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-02 00:30
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.54%EV -3.25%E -1.91%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.48%EV -9.05%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.98%EV -8.14%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-02 00:30
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.54%EV -3.25%E -1.91%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.48%EV -9.05%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.98%EV -8.14%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-02 00:30
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.54%EV -3.25%E -1.91%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.48%EV -9.05%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.98%EV -8.14%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-02 00:29
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 55.54%EV -3.25%E -1.91%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.48%EV -9.05%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.98%EV -8.14%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-02 00:30
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.54%EV -3.25%E -1.91%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.48%EV -9.05%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.98%EV -8.14%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-02 00:30
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 55.54%EV -3.25%E -1.91%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.48%EV -9.05%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.98%EV -8.14%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-02 00:29
Pinnacle1.67I 59.88%NM 57.47%EV -4.96%E -2.97%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.91I 16.92%NM 16.24%EV -0.456%E -0.077%K -0.093%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.29%EV -4.21%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-02 00:29
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.45%EV -4.96%E -2.97%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.26%EV -0.624%E -0.106%K -0.127%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.29%EV -4.21%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-02 00:30
LowVig.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.45%EV -4.96%E -2.97%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.26%EV -0.624%E -0.106%K -0.127%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.29%EV -4.21%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-02 00:30
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 57.45%EV -4.96%E -2.97%K -7.40%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.26%EV -0.624%E -0.106%K -0.127%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.29%EV -4.21%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-02 00:29
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.45%EV -6.10%E -3.69%K -9.38%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -7.36%E -1.34%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -8.14%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-02 00:28
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.45%EV -6.10%E -3.69%K -9.38%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -7.36%E -1.34%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -8.14%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-02 00:29
Grosvenor1.65I 60.61%NM 55.57%EV -6.10%E -3.69%K -9.38%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -11.57%E -2.20%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -10.77%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-02 00:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.72%EV -6.66%E -4.06%K -10.41%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -11.57%E -2.20%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -10.77%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-02 00:30
Codere (IT)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.36%EV -7.23%E -4.44%K -11.48%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -9.05%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.46%E -2.74%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-02 00:30
TABtouch1.63I 61.35%NM 55.78%EV -7.23%E -4.44%K -11.48%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.48%EV -12.41%E -2.39%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -10.77%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-02 00:30
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 57.32%EV -7.80%E -4.82%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -7.36%E -1.34%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.52%E -1.53%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-02 00:30
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.86%EV -7.80%E -4.82%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -11.57%E -2.20%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -5.52%E -1.53%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-02 00:29
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 56.54%EV -7.80%E -4.82%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.28%EV -10.73%E -2.02%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -8.14%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-02 00:29
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.54%EV -7.80%E -4.82%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.28%EV -10.73%E -2.02%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -8.14%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-02 00:29
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 56.46%EV -7.80%E -4.82%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.63%EV -7.36%E -1.34%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.77%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-02 00:30
PointsBet (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -7.80%E -4.82%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.42%EV -11.57%E -2.20%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -8.14%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-02 00:29
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 55.71%EV -7.80%E -4.82%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.35%EV -12.41%E -2.39%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -12.08%E -3.61%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-02 00:30
Virgin Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.71%EV -7.80%E -4.82%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.35%EV -12.41%E -2.39%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -12.08%E -3.61%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-02 00:30
LiveScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 55.71%EV -7.80%E -4.82%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.35%EV -12.41%E -2.39%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -12.08%E -3.61%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-02 00:30
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -7.80%E -4.82%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -15.78%E -3.16%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -10.77%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-02 00:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -7.80%E -4.82%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -15.78%E -3.16%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -10.77%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-02 00:29
1xBet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.17%EV -8.37%E -5.20%K -13.72%G +0.000%5.72I 17.48%NM 16.37%EV -3.66%E -0.639%K -0.775%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.45%EV -3.42%E -0.929%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-02 00:29
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 58.14%EV -8.37%E -5.20%K -13.72%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.86%EV -0.624%E -0.106%K -0.127%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.52%E -1.53%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-02 00:29
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.47%EV -8.37%E -5.20%K -13.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -7.36%E -1.34%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.52%E -1.53%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-02 00:29
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 57.47%EV -8.37%E -5.20%K -13.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -7.36%E -1.34%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.52%E -1.53%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-02 00:30
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 56.62%EV -8.37%E -5.20%K -13.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.57%EV -7.36%E -1.34%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.77%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-02 00:29
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.62%EV -8.37%E -5.20%K -13.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.57%EV -7.36%E -1.34%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.77%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-02 00:29
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.62%EV -8.37%E -5.20%K -13.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.57%EV -7.36%E -1.34%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.77%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-02 00:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.69%EV -8.37%E -5.20%K -13.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -15.78%E -3.16%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.77%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-02 00:30
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 55.69%EV -8.37%E -5.20%K -13.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.93%EV -15.78%E -3.16%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.77%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-02 00:29
Bovada1.60I 62.50%NM 57.84%EV -8.94%E -5.59%K -14.90%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -3.15%E -0.548%K -0.663%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.07%EV -6.83%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-02 00:27
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 56.77%EV -8.94%E -5.59%K -14.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -7.36%E -1.34%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -10.77%E -3.17%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-02 00:29
BoyleSports1.60I 62.50%NM 55.41%EV -8.94%E -5.59%K -14.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.73%EV -15.78%E -3.16%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -13.39%E -4.06%K -5.82%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-02 00:29
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 58.51%EV -10.65%E -6.78%K -18.68%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%EV -3.15%E -0.548%K -0.663%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -5.52%E -1.53%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-02 00:29
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 57.67%EV -10.65%E -6.78%K -18.68%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -7.36%E -1.34%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -8.14%E -2.33%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-02 00:29
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.37%EV -13.49%E -8.88%K -25.95%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.56%EV -2.31%E -0.398%K -0.481%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -5.52%E -1.53%K -2.12%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-02 00:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.62%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.38%1.0%2026-04-02 00:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.62%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.38%1.0%2026-04-02 00:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.62%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.38%1.0%2026-04-02 00:30
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 59.15%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.34%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50%1.8%2026-04-02 00:30
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.70%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.29%2.7%2026-04-02 00:30