Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.10
assuming max odds 3.90
assuming max odds 3.43
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Clube de Regatas Brasil (Local): 44.92%; Operario PR (Visit): 26.35%; Draw: 28.73%. For Operario PR (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.79. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.77%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.10%EV -11.96%E -6.10%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.17%EV +2.77%E +0.711%K +0.956%G +0.026% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -2.32%E -0.681%K -0.965%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 23:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -12.41%E -6.36%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV +2.77%E +0.711%K +0.956%G +0.026% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.32%E -0.681%K -0.965%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 23:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -12.41%E -6.36%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV +2.77%E +0.711%K +0.956%G +0.026% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.32%E -0.681%K -0.965%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 23:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -12.41%E -6.36%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV +2.77%E +0.711%K +0.956%G +0.026% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.32%E -0.681%K -0.965%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 23:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -12.41%E -6.36%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV +2.77%E +0.711%K +0.956%G +0.026% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.32%E -0.681%K -0.965%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 23:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -12.41%E -6.36%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV +2.77%E +0.711%K +0.956%G +0.026% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.32%E -0.681%K -0.965%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 23:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -12.41%E -6.36%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV +2.77%E +0.711%K +0.956%G +0.026% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.32%E -0.681%K -0.965%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 23:19 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.27%EV -11.51%E -5.84%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV +0.136%E +0.036%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-09 22:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.91%EV -13.76%E -7.17%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.21%EV +0.136%E +0.036%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-09 23:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -14.21%E -7.44%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -1.18%E -0.315%K -0.430%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-09 23:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.95%EV -15.11%E -7.99%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.17%EV -1.18%E -0.315%K -0.430%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-09 23:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.21%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.77%EV -1.71%E -0.458%K -0.626%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.02%EV -1.45%E -0.424%K -0.598%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-09 23:14 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.93%EV -15.56%E -8.27%K -17.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -2.50%E -0.675%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.72%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-09 23:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.93%EV -15.56%E -8.27%K -17.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -2.50%E -0.675%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.72%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-09 23:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.93%EV -15.56%E -8.27%K -17.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -2.50%E -0.675%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.72%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-09 23:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.12%EV -9.72%E -4.83%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.61%EV -4.61%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.27%EV -5.76%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-09 23:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -5.13%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-09 23:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.21%EV -7.02%E -3.39%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.13%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 23:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.21%EV -7.02%E -3.39%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.13%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-09 23:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.00%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.29%EV -6.19%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.71%EV -6.34%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 23:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 45.97%EV -9.72%E -4.83%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-09 23:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 45.77%EV -9.72%E -4.83%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-09 23:12 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -8.06%E -2.52%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -7.92%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-09 23:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -7.92%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-09 23:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -9.50%E -3.02%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -9.50%E -3.02%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.92%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.06%E -2.52%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-09 23:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.92%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.06%E -2.52%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-09 23:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.92%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.06%E -2.52%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-09 23:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.92%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.06%E -2.52%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-09 23:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.92%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.06%E -2.52%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-09 23:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.92%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.06%E -2.52%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.59%EV -7.47%E -3.63%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -9.50%E -3.02%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-09 13:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -10.16%E -5.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -9.50%E -3.02%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-09 23:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -7.92%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -10.40%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.06%E -2.52%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -7.92%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -10.40%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.93%E -3.53%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -10.16%E -5.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.40%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -8.06%E -2.52%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-09 23:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -12.41%E -6.36%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -10.40%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-09 23:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -7.92%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.40%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -13.81%E -4.60%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -7.92%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.40%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -13.81%E -4.60%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -7.92%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.40%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -13.81%E -4.60%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -7.92%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.40%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -13.81%E -4.60%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -10.16%E -5.08%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -10.40%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -10.93%E -3.53%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-09 23:23 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.57%EV -14.21%E -7.44%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.04%EV -10.40%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.40%EV -19.55%E -6.98%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 17.5% | 2026-05-09 23:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -7.92%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -13.04%E -3.95%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -10.93%E -3.53%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-09 13:33 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.09% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.05% | 0.4% | 2026-05-09 23:24 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.53% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36% | 0.8% | 2026-05-09 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.53% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36% | 0.8% | 2026-05-09 23:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.53% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36% | 0.8% | 2026-05-09 23:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.57% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.90% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.53% | 1.6% | 2026-05-09 23:24 |