L’École des cotes

Clube de Regatas Brasil v Operario PR

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-09 23:30 UTC

Score final : Clube de Regatas Brasil 3–0 Operario PR

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Clube de Regatas Brasil (Local)

Prévision 44.92%2.23cote équitable
EV -5.67%
Avantage -2.70%
Kelly -5.16%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.74%45.15%44.92%48.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.882.012.052.1053.19%49.77%48.78%47.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Operario PR (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.35%3.79cote équitable
EV +2.77%
Avantage +0.711%
Kelly +0.956%
Croissance +0.026%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.11%26.21%26.31%27.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.593.503.9030.30%27.87%28.57%25.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.73%3.48cote équitable
EV -1.45%
Avantage -0.424%
Kelly -0.598%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.43

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.30%28.64%28.77%30.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.223.253.4335.71%31.01%30.77%29.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.10%EV -11.96%E -6.10%K -12.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.17%EV +2.77%E +0.711%K +0.956%G +0.026%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -2.32%E -0.681%K -0.965%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 23:19
Unibet (NL)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -12.41%E -6.36%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV +2.77%E +0.711%K +0.956%G +0.026%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.32%E -0.681%K -0.965%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 23:19
Casumo1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -12.41%E -6.36%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV +2.77%E +0.711%K +0.956%G +0.026%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.32%E -0.681%K -0.965%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 23:19
Unibet (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -12.41%E -6.36%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV +2.77%E +0.711%K +0.956%G +0.026%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.32%E -0.681%K -0.965%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 23:19
Svenska Spel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -12.41%E -6.36%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV +2.77%E +0.711%K +0.956%G +0.026%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.32%E -0.681%K -0.965%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 23:19
betPARX1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -12.41%E -6.36%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV +2.77%E +0.711%K +0.956%G +0.026%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.32%E -0.681%K -0.965%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 23:19
ATG (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -12.41%E -6.36%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV +2.77%E +0.711%K +0.956%G +0.026%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.32%E -0.681%K -0.965%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 23:19
BetRivers1.97I 50.76%NM 47.27%EV -11.51%E -5.84%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV +0.136%E +0.036%K +0.049%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-09 22:44
Grosvenor1.92I 52.08%NM 47.91%EV -13.76%E -7.17%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.21%EV +0.136%E +0.036%K +0.049%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 23:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -14.21%E -7.44%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -1.18%E -0.315%K -0.430%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 23:19
TABtouch1.89I 52.91%NM 47.95%EV -15.11%E -7.99%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.17%EV -1.18%E -0.315%K -0.430%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-09 23:19
Pinnacle2.08I 48.08%NM 46.21%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.77%EV -1.71%E -0.458%K -0.626%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.02%EV -1.45%E -0.424%K -0.598%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-09 23:14
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 47.93%EV -15.56%E -8.27%K -17.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -2.50%E -0.675%K -0.925%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.72%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.94%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-09 23:19
Virgin Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 47.93%EV -15.56%E -8.27%K -17.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -2.50%E -0.675%K -0.925%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.72%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.94%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-09 23:20
LiveScore Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 47.93%EV -15.56%E -8.27%K -17.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -2.50%E -0.675%K -0.925%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.72%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.94%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-09 23:19
Marathon Bet2.01I 49.75%NM 46.12%EV -9.72%E -4.83%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.61%EV -4.61%E -1.27%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.27%EV -5.76%E -1.76%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 23:15
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -5.13%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-09 23:04
LowVig.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 45.21%EV -7.02%E -3.39%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.13%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 23:14
BetOnline.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 45.21%EV -7.02%E -3.39%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.13%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 23:14
1xBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.00%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.29%EV -6.19%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.71%EV -6.34%E -1.94%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 23:19
BetUS2.01I 49.75%NM 45.97%EV -9.72%E -4.83%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-09 23:24
Bovada2.01I 49.75%NM 45.77%EV -9.72%E -4.83%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 23:12
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -5.67%E -2.70%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 13:34
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -8.06%E -2.52%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 13:34
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -7.92%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 23:25
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -7.92%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -6.63%E -2.04%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 23:05
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -9.50%E -3.02%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 13:34
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.35%EV -6.57%E -3.16%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -9.50%E -3.02%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 13:34
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.92%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.06%E -2.52%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 23:24
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.92%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.06%E -2.52%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 23:15
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.92%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.06%E -2.52%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 23:15
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.92%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.06%E -2.52%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 23:14
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.92%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.06%E -2.52%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 23:14
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.92%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -8.06%E -2.52%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 13:34
Codere (IT)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.59%EV -7.47%E -3.63%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -9.50%E -3.02%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 13:35
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -10.16%E -5.08%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -9.50%E -3.02%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-09 23:14
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -7.92%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -10.40%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -8.06%E -2.52%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 13:34
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -7.92%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -10.40%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.93%E -3.53%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-09 13:34
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.18%EV -10.16%E -5.08%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.40%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -8.06%E -2.52%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-09 23:24
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -12.41%E -6.36%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -10.40%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -5.19%E -1.57%K -2.26%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-09 23:24
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -7.92%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.40%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -13.81%E -4.60%K -6.90%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-09 13:34
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -7.92%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.40%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -13.81%E -4.60%K -6.90%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-09 13:34
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -7.92%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.40%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -13.81%E -4.60%K -6.90%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-09 13:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -7.92%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.40%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -13.81%E -4.60%K -6.90%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-09 13:34
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -10.16%E -5.08%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -10.40%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -10.93%E -3.53%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-09 23:23
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.57%EV -14.21%E -7.44%K -15.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.04%EV -10.40%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.40%EV -19.55%E -6.98%K -10.86%G +0.000%17.5%2026-05-09 23:24
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -7.92%E -3.86%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -13.04%E -3.95%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -10.93%E -3.53%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-09 13:33
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 46.09%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.05%0.4%2026-05-09 23:24
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 45.53%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36%0.8%2026-05-09 23:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.53%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36%0.8%2026-05-09 23:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.53%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36%0.8%2026-05-09 23:25
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.57%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.90%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.53%1.6%2026-05-09 23:24