Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Clube de Regatas Brasil v Juventude

Kickoff: 2026-04-18 23:45 UTC

Final: Clube de Regatas Brasil 0–1 Juventude

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

44 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Clube de Regatas Brasil (Local)

Prediction 41.95%2.38fair odd
EV -3.53%
Edge -1.53%
Kelly -2.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.93%42.04%41.97%44.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.042.172.152.3049.02%46.18%46.51%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Juventude (Visit)

Prediction 27.53%3.63fair odd
EV +0.208%
Edge +0.057%
Kelly +0.079%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.44%27.48%27.55%28.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.373.403.6432.26%29.71%29.41%27.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 30.52%3.28fair odd
EV -2.32%
Edge -0.725%
Kelly -1.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.03%30.47%30.49%31.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.053.023.2034.48%32.77%33.06%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Clube de Regatas Brasil (Local): 41.95%; Juventude (Visit): 27.53%; Draw: 30.52%. For Juventude (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.63. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.64, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.208%.

Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.40%EV -4.78%E -2.11%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.44%EV +0.208%E +0.057%K +0.079%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.15%EV -5.68%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-18 23:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -10.24%E -4.78%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -2.32%E -0.725%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 23:10
Casumo🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -10.24%E -4.78%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -2.32%E -0.725%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 23:10
Unibet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -10.24%E -4.78%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -2.32%E -0.725%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 23:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -10.24%E -4.78%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -2.32%E -0.725%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 23:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -10.24%E -4.78%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -2.32%E -0.725%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 23:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -10.24%E -4.78%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -2.32%E -0.725%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 23:10
betPARX🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -10.24%E -4.78%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -2.32%E -0.725%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 23:10
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -11.08%E -5.22%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -2.32%E -0.725%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 23:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -7.72%E -3.51%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.78%EV -4.75%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.10%EV -9.04%E -3.03%K -4.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 23:15
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.84%EV -5.62%E -2.50%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -5.02%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -6.90%E -2.26%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 23:20
Bovada🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 42.07%EV -8.14%E -3.72%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -5.02%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -9.95%E -3.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 23:18
BetUS🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 42.07%EV -8.14%E -3.72%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -5.02%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -9.95%E -3.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 23:20
Grosvenor🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.18%EV -12.75%E -6.13%K -11.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -5.02%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -3.85%E -1.22%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30%EV -13.17%E -6.36%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -5.02%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -3.85%E -1.22%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 23:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -3.53%E -1.53%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -8.43%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 23:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -3.53%E -1.53%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -8.43%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 23:20
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.72%E -3.51%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.37%E -1.73%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 23:20
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.72%E -3.51%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.48%E -3.96%K -6.04%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 23:25
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.72%E -3.51%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.48%E -3.96%K -6.04%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 23:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.72%E -3.51%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.48%E -3.96%K -6.04%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 23:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.72%E -3.51%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.48%E -3.96%K -6.04%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 23:25
TABtouch🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.05%EV -13.59%E -6.60%K -12.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -5.37%E -1.73%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 23:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -11.91%E -5.67%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -9.95%E -3.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-18 23:40
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.53%EV -6.88%E -3.10%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.94%EV -9.04%E -3.03%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 23:25
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.53%EV -6.88%E -3.10%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.94%EV -9.04%E -3.03%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 23:25
Codere (IT)🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 41.51%EV -7.30%E -3.30%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.39%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -9.95%E -3.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 23:25
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.96%EV -9.82%E -4.57%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -11.48%E -3.96%K -6.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-18 23:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.11%EV -14.43%E -7.07%K -13.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -5.37%E -1.73%K -2.56%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 23:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.11%EV -14.43%E -7.07%K -13.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -5.37%E -1.73%K -2.56%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 23:10
LeoVegas🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.11%EV -14.43%E -7.07%K -13.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -5.37%E -1.73%K -2.56%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 23:10
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.62%E -2.50%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.37%E -1.73%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 23:25
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.72%E -3.51%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.37%E -1.73%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 23:25
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.72%E -3.51%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.37%E -1.73%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 23:25
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.82%E -4.57%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -5.37%E -1.73%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 23:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.72%E -3.51%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -10.53%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -5.37%E -1.73%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 23:25
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -9.82%E -4.57%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.53%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -8.43%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 23:25
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -7.72%E -3.51%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -11.90%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.43%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 23:25
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -9.82%E -4.57%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.90%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.43%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 23:25
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -9.82%E -4.57%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.90%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.43%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-18 23:40
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.82%E -4.57%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -14.66%E -4.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -8.43%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-18 23:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.82%E -4.57%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -14.66%E -4.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -8.43%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-18 23:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.82%E -4.57%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -14.66%E -4.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -8.43%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-18 23:20
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.82%E -4.57%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -14.66%E -4.73%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -8.43%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-18 23:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.33%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95%1.0%2026-04-18 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.54%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.63%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.83%1.3%2026-04-18 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.75%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.54%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72%1.7%2026-04-18 23:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.75%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.54%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72%1.7%2026-04-18 23:20
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 42.74%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.31%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.95%2.6%2026-04-18 23:40