La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Clube de Regatas Brasil v Juventude
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Clube de Regatas Brasil (Local)
Predicción 41.95%2.38momio equitativo
EV -3.53%
Ventaja -1.53%
Kelly -2.71%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.93%42.04%41.97%44.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.042.172.152.3049.02%46.18%46.51%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Juventude (Visitante)
Predicción 27.53%3.63momio equitativo
EV +0.208%
Ventaja +0.057%
Kelly +0.079%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.64
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.44%27.48%27.55%28.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.373.403.6432.26%29.71%29.41%27.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.52%3.28momio equitativo
EV -2.32%
Ventaja -0.725%
Kelly -1.05%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.03%30.47%30.49%31.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.053.023.2034.48%32.77%33.06%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.40%EV -4.78%E -2.11%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.44%EV +0.208%E +0.057%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.15%EV -5.68%E -1.84%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-18 23:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -10.24%E -4.78%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -2.32%E -0.725%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 23:10 |
| Casumo | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -10.24%E -4.78%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -2.32%E -0.725%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 23:10 |
| Unibet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -10.24%E -4.78%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -2.32%E -0.725%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 23:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -10.24%E -4.78%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -2.32%E -0.725%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 23:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -10.24%E -4.78%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -2.32%E -0.725%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 23:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -10.24%E -4.78%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -2.32%E -0.725%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 23:10 |
| betPARX | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -10.24%E -4.78%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -2.32%E -0.725%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 23:10 |
| BetRivers | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.09%EV -11.08%E -5.22%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -3.65%E -1.04%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -2.32%E -0.725%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 23:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -7.72%E -3.51%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.78%EV -4.75%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.10%EV -9.04%E -3.03%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-18 23:15 |
| DraftKings | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.84%EV -5.62%E -2.50%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -5.02%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -6.90%E -2.26%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 23:20 |
| Bovada | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.07%EV -8.14%E -3.72%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -5.02%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -9.95%E -3.37%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 23:18 |
| BetUS | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.07%EV -8.14%E -3.72%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -5.02%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -9.95%E -3.37%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 23:20 |
| Grosvenor | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.18%EV -12.75%E -6.13%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.64%EV -5.02%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -3.85%E -1.22%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 23:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.30%EV -13.17%E -6.36%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -5.02%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -3.85%E -1.22%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 23:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -3.53%E -1.53%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -8.43%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 23:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -3.53%E -1.53%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -8.43%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 23:20 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.72%E -3.51%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -5.37%E -1.73%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 23:20 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.72%E -3.51%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.48%E -3.96%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.72%E -3.51%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.48%E -3.96%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.72%E -3.51%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.48%E -3.96%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.72%E -3.51%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -11.48%E -3.96%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| TABtouch | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.05%EV -13.59%E -6.60%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -5.37%E -1.73%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-18 23:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -11.91%E -5.67%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -6.40%E -1.88%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -9.95%E -3.37%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-18 23:40 |
| Betsson | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.53%EV -6.88%E -3.10%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.94%EV -9.04%E -3.03%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| NordicBet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.53%EV -6.88%E -3.10%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.94%EV -9.04%E -3.03%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.21I 45.25%NM 41.51%EV -7.30%E -3.30%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.39%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -9.95%E -3.37%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| PlayUp | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.96%EV -9.82%E -4.57%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -11.48%E -3.96%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-18 23:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.11%EV -14.43%E -7.07%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -5.37%E -1.73%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-18 23:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.11%EV -14.43%E -7.07%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -5.37%E -1.73%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-18 23:10 |
| LeoVegas | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.11%EV -14.43%E -7.07%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -7.78%E -2.32%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -5.37%E -1.73%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-18 23:10 |
| Coolbet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.62%E -2.50%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.37%E -1.73%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| SportsBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.72%E -3.51%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.37%E -1.73%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| FanDuel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.72%E -3.51%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.37%E -1.73%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| theScore Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.82%E -4.57%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.15%E -2.77%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -5.37%E -1.73%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.72%E -3.51%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -10.53%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -5.37%E -1.73%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Paddy Power | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -9.82%E -4.57%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.53%E -3.24%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -8.43%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| BetMGM | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -7.72%E -3.51%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -11.90%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -8.43%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| betfred_uk | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -9.82%E -4.57%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.90%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.43%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-18 23:25 |
| Bet Victor | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -9.82%E -4.57%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.90%E -3.72%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.43%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-18 23:40 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.82%E -4.57%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -14.66%E -4.73%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -8.43%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-18 23:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.82%E -4.57%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -14.66%E -4.73%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -8.43%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-18 23:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.82%E -4.57%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -14.66%E -4.73%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -8.43%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-18 23:20 |
| Neds | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.82%E -4.57%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -14.66%E -4.73%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -8.43%E -2.81%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-18 23:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.33% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.95% | 1.0% | 2026-04-18 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.54% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.63% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.83% | 1.3% | 2026-04-18 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.75% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.54% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72% | 1.7% | 2026-04-18 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.75% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.54% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72% | 1.7% | 2026-04-18 23:20 |
| Smarkets | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.74% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.31% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.95% | 2.6% | 2026-04-18 23:40 |