The School of OddsClosing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.91
assuming max odds 4.50
assuming max odds 3.50
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.29%EV -2.02%E -1.06%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 22.03%EV -6.64%E -1.52%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.68%EV -5.31%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| Unibet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.94%EV -2.02%E -1.06%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -16.49%E -4.23%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -5.85%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| Casumo | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.94%EV -2.02%E -1.06%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -16.49%E -4.23%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -5.85%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.94%EV -2.02%E -1.06%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -16.49%E -4.23%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -5.85%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.35%EV -3.05%E -1.61%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -15.42%E -3.90%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -5.85%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.35%EV -3.05%E -1.61%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -15.42%E -3.90%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -5.85%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.35%EV -3.05%E -1.61%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -15.42%E -3.90%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -5.85%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| betPARX | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.35%EV -3.05%E -1.61%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -15.42%E -3.90%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -5.85%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.29%EV -3.56%E -1.89%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -19.70%E -5.25%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.95%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-12 21:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -5.10%E -2.76%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -5.78%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -9.95%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -6.12%E -3.35%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -5.78%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.95%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -6.12%E -3.35%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -14.35%E -3.59%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| Grosvenor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -6.12%E -3.35%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -19.70%E -5.25%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -9.95%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.60%EV -6.12%E -3.35%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.04%EV -20.77%E -5.61%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.36%EV -11.31%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.74%EV -6.64%E -3.65%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -20.77%E -5.61%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.29%EV -11.31%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -7.15%E -3.95%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -5.78%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -7.15%E -3.95%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -5.78%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.51%EV -7.15%E -3.95%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.05%EV -21.84%E -5.98%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.51%EV -7.15%E -3.95%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.05%EV -21.84%E -5.98%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.24%EV -7.66%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -3.64%E -0.809%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| Betway | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -7.66%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -7.28%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-12 22:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.25%EV -7.66%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -6.85%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -8.58%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-12 22:00 |
| Betsson | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.25%EV -7.66%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -6.85%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -8.58%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-12 22:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -7.66%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -8.99%E -2.12%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-12 22:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -7.66%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -8.99%E -2.12%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -7.66%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -7.92%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -8.58%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| theScore Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.66%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -14.35%E -3.59%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -7.66%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.06%E -2.40%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -7.66%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.06%E -2.40%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -7.66%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.06%E -2.40%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| betfred_uk | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -7.66%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -14.35%E -3.59%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -9.95%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-12 21:58 |
| BoyleSports | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -7.66%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -14.35%E -3.59%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.11%EV -8.69%E -4.88%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -3.64%E -0.809%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| BetMGM | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.19%EV -9.20%E -5.20%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.93%EV -7.28%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -11.31%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-12 21:58 |
| BetUS | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.37%EV -9.72%E -5.52%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -7.28%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| Bovada | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.74%EV -10.23%E -5.85%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -3.64%E -0.809%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -5.85%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| 888sport | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -10.23%E -5.85%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -5.78%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.95%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| William Hill | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -10.23%E -5.85%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -5.78%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.95%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -10.23%E -5.85%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -5.78%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.95%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -10.23%E -5.85%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -5.78%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.95%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -10.23%E -5.85%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -10.06%E -2.40%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.95%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-12 21:58 |
| betano_uk | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -10.23%E -5.85%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -10.06%E -2.40%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.95%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-12 21:58 |
| Neds | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.25%EV -10.23%E -5.85%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -7.28%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.25%EV -10.23%E -5.85%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -7.28%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| Coral | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.25%EV -10.23%E -5.85%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -7.28%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -10.23%E -5.85%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -10.06%E -2.40%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.11%EV -14.33%E -8.58%K -21.39%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -3.64%E -0.809%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.22% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.51% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.27% | 0.5% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.22% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.51% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.27% | 0.5% | 2026-07-12 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.01% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.16% | 0.9% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.15% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08% | 1.2% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| Smarkets | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.20% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.98% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.82% | 2.2% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |