The School of Odds

Clube de Regatas Brasil v Goiás

Kickoff: 2026-07-12 22:02 UTC

Final: Clube de Regatas Brasil 2–2 Goiás

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Clube de Regatas Brasil (Local)

Prediction 51.30%1.95fair odd
EV -2.02%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -2.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.29%51.19%51.26%54.11%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.671.811.801.9159.88%55.33%55.56%52.36%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Goiás (Visit)

Prediction 21.41%4.67fair odd
EV -3.64%
Edge -0.809%
Kelly -1.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.08%21.60%21.43%24.21%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.654.174.254.5027.40%23.99%23.53%22.22%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 27.29%3.66fair odd
EV -4.49%
Edge -1.28%
Kelly -1.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.82%27.21%27.31%28.30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.203.353.303.5031.25%29.88%30.30%28.57%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle1.91I 52.36%NM 50.29%EV -2.02%E -1.06%K -2.22%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 22.03%EV -6.64%E -1.52%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.68%EV -5.31%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 21:59
Unibet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.94%EV -2.02%E -1.06%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -16.49%E -4.23%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -5.85%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-12 21:59
Casumo1.91I 52.36%NM 48.94%EV -2.02%E -1.06%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -16.49%E -4.23%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -5.85%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-12 21:59
Unibet (NL)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.94%EV -2.02%E -1.06%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -16.49%E -4.23%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -5.85%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-12 21:59
Unibet (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.35%EV -3.05%E -1.61%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -15.42%E -3.90%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -5.85%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-12 21:59
Svenska Spel1.89I 52.91%NM 49.35%EV -3.05%E -1.61%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -15.42%E -3.90%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -5.85%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-12 21:59
ATG (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.35%EV -3.05%E -1.61%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -15.42%E -3.90%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -5.85%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-12 21:59
betPARX1.89I 52.91%NM 49.35%EV -3.05%E -1.61%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -15.42%E -3.90%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -5.85%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-12 21:59
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 48.29%EV -3.56%E -1.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -19.70%E -5.25%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.95%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-12 21:50
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -5.10%E -2.76%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -5.78%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -9.95%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-12 21:59
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -6.12%E -3.35%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -5.78%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.95%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-12 21:59
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -6.12%E -3.35%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -14.35%E -3.59%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-12 21:59
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -6.12%E -3.35%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -19.70%E -5.25%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -9.95%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-12 21:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.60%EV -6.12%E -3.35%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.04%EV -20.77%E -5.61%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.36%EV -11.31%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-12 21:59
TABtouch1.82I 54.95%NM 48.74%EV -6.64%E -3.65%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -20.77%E -5.61%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.29%EV -11.31%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-12 21:59
BetOnline.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -7.15%E -3.95%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -5.78%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-12 21:59
LowVig.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -7.15%E -3.95%K -8.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -5.78%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-12 21:59
LiveScore Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 48.51%EV -7.15%E -3.95%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.05%EV -21.84%E -5.98%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-12 21:59
Virgin Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 48.51%EV -7.15%E -3.95%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.05%EV -21.84%E -5.98%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-12 21:59
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.24%EV -7.66%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -3.64%E -0.809%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-12 21:59
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -7.66%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -7.28%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-12 22:00
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.25%EV -7.66%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -6.85%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -8.58%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-12 22:00
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 51.25%EV -7.66%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -6.85%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -8.58%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-12 22:00
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -7.66%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -8.99%E -2.12%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-12 22:00
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -7.66%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -8.99%E -2.12%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-12 21:59
Codere (IT)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -7.66%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -7.92%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -8.58%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-12 21:59
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.66%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -14.35%E -3.59%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-12 21:59
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -7.66%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.06%E -2.40%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-12 21:59
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -7.66%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.06%E -2.40%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-12 21:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -7.66%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.06%E -2.40%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-12 21:59
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -7.66%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -14.35%E -3.59%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -9.95%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-12 21:58
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -7.66%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -14.35%E -3.59%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-12 21:59
Marathon Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.11%EV -8.69%E -4.88%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -3.64%E -0.809%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-12 21:59
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 51.19%EV -9.20%E -5.20%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.93%EV -7.28%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -11.31%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-12 21:58
BetUS1.76I 56.82%NM 52.37%EV -9.72%E -5.52%K -12.78%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -7.28%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-12 21:59
Bovada1.75I 57.14%NM 52.74%EV -10.23%E -5.85%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -3.64%E -0.809%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -5.85%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-12 21:59
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -10.23%E -5.85%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -5.78%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.95%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-12 21:59
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -10.23%E -5.85%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -5.78%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.95%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-12 21:59
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -10.23%E -5.85%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -5.78%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.95%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-12 21:59
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -10.23%E -5.85%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -5.78%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.95%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-12 21:59
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -10.23%E -5.85%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -10.06%E -2.40%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.95%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-12 21:58
betano_uk1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -10.23%E -5.85%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -10.06%E -2.40%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.95%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-12 21:58
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 51.25%EV -10.23%E -5.85%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -7.28%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-12 21:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.25%EV -10.23%E -5.85%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -7.28%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-12 21:59
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 51.25%EV -10.23%E -5.85%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -7.28%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-12 21:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -10.23%E -5.85%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -10.06%E -2.40%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-12 21:59
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.11%EV -14.33%E -8.58%K -21.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -3.64%E -0.809%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-12 21:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 53.22%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.51%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.27%0.5%2026-07-12 21:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.22%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.51%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.27%0.5%2026-07-12 22:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.01%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.16%0.9%2026-07-12 21:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.15%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%1.2%2026-07-12 21:59
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.20%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.98%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.82%2.2%2026-07-12 21:59