La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Clube de Regatas Brasil v Goiás
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Clube de Regatas Brasil (Local)
Predicción 51.30%1.95momio equitativo
EV -2.02%
Ventaja -1.06%
Kelly -2.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.29%51.19%51.26%54.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.671.811.801.9159.88%55.33%55.56%52.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Goiás (Visitante)
Predicción 21.41%4.67momio equitativo
EV -3.64%
Ventaja -0.809%
Kelly -1.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.08%21.60%21.43%24.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.654.174.254.5027.40%23.99%23.53%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.29%3.66momio equitativo
EV -4.49%
Ventaja -1.28%
Kelly -1.80%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.82%27.21%27.31%28.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.353.303.5031.25%29.88%30.30%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.29%EV -2.02%E -1.06%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 22.03%EV -6.64%E -1.52%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.68%EV -5.31%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| Unibet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.94%EV -2.02%E -1.06%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -16.49%E -4.23%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -5.85%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| Casumo | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.94%EV -2.02%E -1.06%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -16.49%E -4.23%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -5.85%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.94%EV -2.02%E -1.06%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -16.49%E -4.23%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -5.85%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.35%EV -3.05%E -1.61%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -15.42%E -3.90%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -5.85%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.35%EV -3.05%E -1.61%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -15.42%E -3.90%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -5.85%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.35%EV -3.05%E -1.61%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -15.42%E -3.90%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -5.85%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| betPARX | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.35%EV -3.05%E -1.61%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.61%EV -15.42%E -3.90%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -5.85%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.29%EV -3.56%E -1.89%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -19.70%E -5.25%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.95%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-12 21:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -5.10%E -2.76%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -5.78%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -9.95%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.75%EV -6.12%E -3.35%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.11%EV -5.78%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.95%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -6.12%E -3.35%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -14.35%E -3.59%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| Grosvenor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -6.12%E -3.35%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -19.70%E -5.25%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -9.95%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.60%EV -6.12%E -3.35%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.04%EV -20.77%E -5.61%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.36%EV -11.31%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.74%EV -6.64%E -3.65%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -20.77%E -5.61%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.29%EV -11.31%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -7.15%E -3.95%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -5.78%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -7.15%E -3.95%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.33%EV -5.78%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.51%EV -7.15%E -3.95%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.05%EV -21.84%E -5.98%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.51%EV -7.15%E -3.95%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.05%EV -21.84%E -5.98%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.24%EV -7.66%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -3.64%E -0.809%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| Betway | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -7.66%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -7.28%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-12 22:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.25%EV -7.66%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -6.85%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -8.58%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-12 22:00 |
| Betsson | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.25%EV -7.66%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.21%EV -6.85%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.54%EV -8.58%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-12 22:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -7.66%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -8.99%E -2.12%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-12 22:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.20%EV -7.66%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -8.99%E -2.12%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.13%EV -7.66%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.40%EV -7.92%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -8.58%E -2.56%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| theScore Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.66%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -14.35%E -3.59%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -7.66%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.06%E -2.40%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -7.66%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.06%E -2.40%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -7.66%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -10.06%E -2.40%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| betfred_uk | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -7.66%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -14.35%E -3.59%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -9.95%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-12 21:58 |
| BoyleSports | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.69%EV -7.66%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -14.35%E -3.59%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.95%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.11%EV -8.69%E -4.88%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -3.64%E -0.809%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.22%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| BetMGM | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.19%EV -9.20%E -5.20%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.93%EV -7.28%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -11.31%E -3.48%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-12 21:58 |
| BetUS | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.37%EV -9.72%E -5.52%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -7.28%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| Bovada | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.74%EV -10.23%E -5.85%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -3.64%E -0.809%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -5.85%E -1.70%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| 888sport | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -10.23%E -5.85%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -5.78%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.95%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| William Hill | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -10.23%E -5.85%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -5.78%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.95%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -10.23%E -5.85%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -5.78%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.95%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.87%EV -10.23%E -5.85%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -5.78%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -9.95%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -10.23%E -5.85%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -10.06%E -2.40%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.95%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-12 21:58 |
| betano_uk | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.36%EV -10.23%E -5.85%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -10.06%E -2.40%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.95%E -3.01%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-12 21:58 |
| Neds | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.25%EV -10.23%E -5.85%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -7.28%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.25%EV -10.23%E -5.85%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -7.28%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| Coral | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.25%EV -10.23%E -5.85%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.72%EV -7.28%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.03%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -10.23%E -5.85%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -10.06%E -2.40%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.68%E -3.96%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.11%EV -14.33%E -8.58%K -21.39%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.08%EV -3.64%E -0.809%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -4.49%E -1.28%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.22% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.51% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.27% | 0.5% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.22% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.51% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.27% | 0.5% | 2026-07-12 22:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.01% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.83% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.16% | 0.9% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.15% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.77% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08% | 1.2% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |
| Smarkets | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.20% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.98% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.82% | 2.2% | 2026-07-12 21:59 |