Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Clube de Regatas Brasil v Criciuma

2026-08-30 21:00 UTC — Brazil Série B

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Clube de Regatas Brasil (Local)

Prediction 39.05%2.56fair odd
EV -7.05%
Edge -2.96%
Kelly -5.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.85%39.05%39.05%39.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.332.382.3844.44%42.83%42.02%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Criciuma (Visit)

Prediction 31.59%3.17fair odd
EV -6.80%
Edge -2.30%
Kelly -3.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.51%31.59%31.59%31.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.882.952.9536.36%34.69%33.90%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.35%3.41fair odd
EV -6.07%
Edge -1.90%
Kelly -2.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.16%29.35%29.35%29.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.123.203.2033.33%32.02%31.25%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Clube de Regatas Brasil (Local): 39.05%; Criciuma (Visit): 31.59%; Draw: 29.35%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.41. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.20, with an expected value of -6.07%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -7.05%E -2.96%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -6.80%E -2.30%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 21:39
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -7.05%E -2.96%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -6.80%E -2.30%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 21:39
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -7.05%E -2.96%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -6.80%E -2.30%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 21:39
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -7.05%E -2.96%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -6.80%E -2.30%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 21:39
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -7.05%E -2.96%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -6.80%E -2.30%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 21:39
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -7.05%E -2.96%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -6.80%E -2.30%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 21:39
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.21%EV -7.05%E -2.96%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.63%EV -6.80%E -2.30%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.07%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 21:38
BetRivers🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.05%EV -9.01%E -3.87%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.59%EV -9.01%E -3.13%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-23 21:39
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -10.18%E -4.43%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.51%EV -9.95%E -3.49%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.44%EV -10.47%E -3.43%K -5.11%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-23 21:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.03%EV -10.96%E -4.81%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.79%EV -11.53%E -4.12%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.18%EV -10.47%E -3.43%K -5.11%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-23 21:09
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.85%EV -10.96%E -4.81%K -8.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.63%EV -11.53%E -4.12%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.52%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-23 21:39
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.94%EV -12.13%E -5.39%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -13.11%E -4.77%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-23 21:39
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.94%EV -12.13%E -5.39%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -13.11%E -4.77%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -11.94%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-23 21:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.