Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.39
assuming max odds 3.38
assuming max odds 3.17
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Clube de Regatas Brasil (Local): 40.80%; Criciuma (Visit): 28.80%; Draw: 30.41%. For Clube de Regatas Brasil (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.45. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.39, with an expected value of -2.50%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.27%EV -2.50%E -1.05%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.48%EV -2.66%E -0.788%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.25%EV -6.35%E -2.06%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-30 20:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.49%EV -3.31%E -1.40%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.99%EV -13.03%E -4.31%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 29.52%EV -3.61%E -1.14%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 20:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.97%EV -3.72%E -1.58%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -4.97%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.44%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 20:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.97%EV -3.72%E -1.58%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -4.97%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.44%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 20:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.28%EV -4.13%E -1.76%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -4.97%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -7.26%E -2.38%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 20:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.10%EV -5.76%E -2.49%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -6.41%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -10.30%E -3.49%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-30 20:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.17%E -2.68%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -9.29%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -4.22%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 20:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.17%E -2.68%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.97%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 20:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.17%E -2.68%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.97%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 20:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.17%E -2.68%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -6.41%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-30 20:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.17%E -2.68%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.85%E -2.45%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -10.30%E -3.49%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-30 20:48 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.17%E -2.68%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.85%E -2.45%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.21%EV -10.30%E -3.49%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-30 20:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -6.17%E -2.68%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -13.61%E -4.54%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-30 20:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.17%E -2.68%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.73%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.82%E -4.08%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-30 20:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.17%E -2.68%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.73%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.82%E -4.08%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-30 20:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.17%E -2.68%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.73%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.82%E -4.08%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-30 20:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -6.17%E -2.68%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.73%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.82%E -4.08%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-30 20:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -8.21%E -3.65%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.97%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 20:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -8.21%E -3.65%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.97%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 20:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -8.21%E -3.65%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.97%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 20:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -8.21%E -3.65%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.97%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 20:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -8.21%E -3.65%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.97%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 20:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -8.21%E -3.65%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.97%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 20:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -8.21%E -3.65%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -4.97%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 20:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.21%E -3.65%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.73%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-30 20:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.21%E -3.65%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -10.73%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-30 20:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.25%EV -8.21%E -3.65%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -7.85%E -2.45%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.45%EV -12.43%E -4.32%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-30 20:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.25%EV -8.21%E -3.65%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -7.85%E -2.45%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.45%EV -12.43%E -4.32%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-30 20:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -8.21%E -3.65%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -13.61%E -4.54%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-30 20:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -8.21%E -3.65%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -13.61%E -4.54%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-30 20:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -8.21%E -3.65%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -13.61%E -4.54%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-30 20:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -10.25%E -4.66%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.41%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-30 20:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -10.25%E -4.66%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -6.41%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-30 20:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -10.25%E -4.66%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -6.41%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.26%E -2.38%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-30 20:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -10.25%E -4.66%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -6.41%E -1.97%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -7.26%E -2.38%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-30 20:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -10.25%E -4.66%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.73%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -5.74%E -1.85%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-30 17:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -10.25%E -4.66%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -9.29%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -7.26%E -2.38%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-30 12:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.14%EV -11.07%E -5.08%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -7.85%E -2.45%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -4.22%E -1.34%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-30 20:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.25%EV -11.47%E -5.29%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.41%EV -9.29%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.34%EV -10.30%E -3.49%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-30 20:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.36%EV -11.88%E -5.50%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.36%EV -9.29%E -2.95%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.28%EV -10.30%E -3.49%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-30 20:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.01%EV -12.29%E -5.72%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -4.97%E -1.50%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -10.30%E -3.49%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-30 20:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -12.29%E -5.72%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.73%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -12.29%E -5.72%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.73%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -12.29%E -5.72%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.73%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-30 17:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -12.29%E -5.72%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.73%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -8.78%E -2.93%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-30 17:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.09%EV -12.29%E -5.72%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.96%EV -12.17%E -3.99%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.95%EV -10.30%E -3.49%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-30 20:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.41%EV -13.51%E -6.37%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -10.73%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.27%EV -11.82%E -4.08%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-30 20:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.41%EV -13.51%E -6.37%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -10.73%E -3.46%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.27%EV -11.82%E -4.08%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-30 20:55 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.62% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.46% | 0.9% | 2026-08-30 20:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.46% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34% | 1.3% | 2026-08-30 20:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.46% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34% | 1.3% | 2026-08-30 20:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.46% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34% | 1.3% | 2026-08-30 20:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.29% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.26% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.45% | 2.6% | 2026-08-30 20:35 |